81211 (81211) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · Market cap HK$1.0T

8 81211 81211 · HK

PriceHK$67.90

Fair ValueHK$42.60

Upside-37.3%

Quality35/100

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Evidence: High Range HK$31.95 – HK$75.88

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated today

Share price −18.7% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$62.90 – HK$122.30 · fair‑value band HK$31.95 – HK$75.88 · the HK$67.90 price screens above the HK$42.60 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

81211 (81211) currently trades at HK$67.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$42.60 — implying the stock looks roughly 37.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, 81211 generated revenue of HK$784B at a net margin of 3.5%. Revenue declined 11.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.2%. Net debt stands at HK$89.9B. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$784B

Revenue growth (YoY) -11.8%

Net margin 3.5%

Return on equity 11.2%

Free cash flow −HK$97.3B FY2025

P/E ratio 34.8

More key figures

Operating margin 4.8%

EPS (TTM) HK$3.05

EPS growth (YoY) -56.9%

Net debt HK$89.9B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

81211 reported revenue of HK$794B in FY2025 versus HK$216B in FY2021, a compound +38.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$32.6B in FY2025, compounding +80.9%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +38.4%/yr

FY21 HK$216B

FY22 HK$424B

FY23 HK$602B

FY24 HK$777B

FY25 HK$794B

Net income +80.9%/yr

FY21 HK$3.0B

FY22 HK$16.6B

FY23 HK$30.0B

FY24 HK$40.3B

FY25 HK$32.6B

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Frequently asked questions

Is 81211 (81211) undervalued?

As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$42.60 versus a price of HK$67.90 — about −37% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 81211?

Our model-based fair value for 81211 is HK$42.60 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$67.90.

What is the quality score of 81211?

81211 has a Quality Score of 35/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 81211 (81211)?

81211 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$784B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 81211?

The net profit margin of 81211 is about 3.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.