2530 (2530) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · Market cap HK$750M
Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Share price +0.6% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range HK$0.4939 – HK$0.7900 · the HK$0.7500 price screens above the HK$0.3400 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.
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2530 (2530) currently trades at HK$0.7500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3400 — implying the stock looks roughly 54.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, 2530 generated revenue of HK$189M at a net margin of 2.9%. Revenue declined 26.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$398M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
2530 reported revenue of HK$184M in FY2025 versus HK$338M in FY2021, a compound −14.0%/yr. Reported net income was HK$5.4M in FY2025, compounding −54.0%/yr from FY2021.
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Similar stocks
6 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé S.A NESN | CHF 79.73 | CHF 55.79 | -30% |
| Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 | ¥34.03 | ¥23.66 | -30% |
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,386 | ₹278.10 | -80% |
| 3288 3288 | HK$30.26 | HK$27.44 | -9% |
| Grupo Bimbo, S.A. BIMBOA | 57.10 MXN | 45.03 MXN | -21% |
| Uni-President Enterprises Corp 1216 | 73.80 TWD | 61.57 TWD | -17% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.