Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V (BIMBOA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 22, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V stock MXN 85.51, price MXN 59.94, upside +42.7%, quality 61 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 45.46 MXN – 93.50 MXN · fair‑value band 49.72 MXN – 121.30 MXN · the 59.94 MXN price screens below the 85.51 MXN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 23, 2026.
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Grupo Bimbo, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, produces, distributes, and markets bakery products. It offers sliced bread, buns and rolls, pastries, cakes, cookies, toast, English muffins, bagels, tortillas and flatbreads, and salty snacks.
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The company operates Mexico, North America, Central America, Latin America, Europe and Africa, and Asia. Grupo Bimbo, S.A.B. de C.V. was founded in 1945 and is based in Mexico City, Mexico.
Stock analysis
Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V (BIMBOA) currently trades at 59.94 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 85.51 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 29.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 98.11 MXN per share, and 11 of the 24 models we run sit above the 59.94 MXN price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 14.73 MXN, and 13 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 49.72 MXN (bear) to 121.30 MXN (bull), the price of 59.94 MXN sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V reported revenue of 427B MXN in FY2025 versus 349B MXN in FY2021, a compound +5.2%/yr. Reported net income was 11.1B MXN in FY2025, compounding −8.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 258B MXN (≈ $13.7B) Large · P/E ratio 22.1 · P/S ratio 0.61 · EPS (TTM) 2.71 MXN · Dividend yield 1.8% · Net margin 2.8% · Return on equity 11.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 49 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 43%, BIMBOA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear49.72 MXNFair Value 85.51 MXNBull121.30 MXN
Price 59.94 MXN · Upside +42.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.33 MXN per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.64/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.9% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MXN ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MXN: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+6.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5.1% vs 15.4%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 9%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+6.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Mexico: IMF forecast 3.3% a year to 2030, 4.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +3.1% a year for the price and −0.2% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (98 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
Compare Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 616 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score61 · Above median
Fair Value upside+42.7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)11.6% · Above median
Return on assets2.7% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)2.8% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)8.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−2.2% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)1.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.18× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)22.1× · Pricier than median
P/B2.16× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BIMBOA
Frequently asked questions
Is Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V (BIMBOA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 85.51 MXN versus a price of 59.94 MXN, about +43% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BIMBOA?
Our model-based fair value for Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V is 85.51 MXN (as of Oct 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 59.94 MXN.
What is the quality score of BIMBOA?
Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V (BIMBOA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 85.51 MXN (as of Oct 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 49.72 MXN, optimistic scenario 121.30 MXN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 85.51 MXN, about +43% upside versus a price of 59.94 MXN (undervalued). Cautious scenario 49.72 MXN, optimistic scenario 121.30 MXN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V (BIMBOA)?
Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 421B MXN (latest available figure, as of Oct 23, 2026).
Does Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V pay a dividend?
Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V currently shows a dividend yield of 1.79% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V (BIMBOA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V would have to grow free cash flow by +6.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.2 % per year. As of Oct 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BIMBOA use?
Our models discount Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V at 10.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.32, country premium for Mexico. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V that is +6.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V (BIMBOA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V grew +5.2 % a year. The price currently implies +6.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V (BIMBOA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V (+6.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V (BIMBOA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.63 %: that much free cash flow Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V (BIMBOA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V it is 85.51 MXN per share (as of Oct 23, 2026), against a price of 59.94 MXN. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 23, 2026, BIMBOA trades below its calculated fair value: price 59.94 MXN, fair value 85.51 MXN, a gap of about +43% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BIMBOA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (59.94 MXN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (85.51 MXN). For Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V the two are 25.57 MXN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V worth?
The market values Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V at about 258B MXN (market capitalisation, as of Oct 23, 2026). Per share that is 59.94 MXN; our models calculate a fair value of 85.51 MXN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BIMBOA?
Our models span a range for Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V: cautious scenario 49.72 MXN, base 85.51 MXN, optimistic 121.30 MXN per share (as of Oct 23, 2026, price 59.94 MXN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BIMBOA?
Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 22.1 (as of Oct 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 85.51 MXN is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.5, P/B 2.2, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 6.6.
What is the PEG ratio of BIMBOA?
The PEG ratio of Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V is 2.51 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V (BIMBOA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V (as of Oct 23, 2026): return on equity 11.6%, debt of 1.18 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BIMBOA from its 52-week high?
Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V trades at 59.94 MXN, about 11% below its 52-week high of 67.34 MXN and 14% above the low of 52.63 MXN (as of Oct 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 85.51 MXN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 23, 2026: price 59.94 MXN, calculated fair value 85.51 MXN (+43%), Quality Score 61/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BIMBOA calculated?
We run Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 85.51 MXN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V currently trades 30 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V (BIMBOA)?
The closing price on Oct 22, 2026 was 59.94 MXN. Our model-based fair value is 85.51 MXN, about +43% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V right now?
Solid quality (61/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (49.72 MXN to 121.30 MXN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V
How large is the market capitalisation of Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V (BIMBOA)?
The market capitalisation of Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V is 258B MXN (≈ $13.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V (BIMBOA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V is 0.61 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V (BIMBOA)?
Earnings per share at Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V are 2.71 MXN (price ÷ EPS = P/E 22.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V (BIMBOA)?
The dividend yield of Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V is 1.8% (payout 39.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V (BIMBOA)?
The net margin of Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V is 2.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V (BIMBOA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V is 11.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V (BIMBOA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V is 11.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V (BIMBOA)?
The operating margin of Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V is 8.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V (BIMBOA)?
Revenue at Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V is growing −2.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V (BIMBOA)?
Earnings per share at Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V are growing +4.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V (BIMBOA) carry?
The net debt of Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V is 145B MXN (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Oct 23, 2026