EN DE
Data-driven stock valuation

Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V (BIMBOA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Consumer Defensive · MX · Market cap 241B MXN (≈ $14.2B) · ISIN MXP495211262

At a glance

GB Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V BIMBOA · MX
Price56.14 MXN
Fair Value82.59 MXN
Upside+47.1%
Quality62/100

A solid business, trading 32% below our fair value of 82.59 MXN.

As of Aug 28, 2026, the fair value of Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V is 82.59 MXN per share against a price of 56.14 MXN, so the fair value sits 47% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +5.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.8% net margin
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
!Moderate moat 51/100
Evidence: High Range 36.83 MXN to 121.08 MXN

Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 11 days ago

Watch Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card. Watch for free

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (36.83 MXN to 121.08 MXN). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

93.50 MXN 36.17 MXN Fair Value 82.59 MXN May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 36.17 MXN – 93.50 MXN · fair‑value band 36.83 MXN – 121.08 MXN · the 56.14 MXN price screens below the 82.59 MXN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V (BIMBOA) currently trades at 56.14 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 82.59 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 32.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 91.13 MXN per share, and 11 of the 26 models we run sit above the 56.14 MXN price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 17.79 MXN, and 15 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V generated revenue of 424B MXN at a net margin of 2.8%. Revenue declined 3.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.7%. Net debt stands at 145B MXN. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026

Scenario range: 36.83 MXN (bear) to 121.08 MXN (bull), the price of 56.14 MXN sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −26% fair-value upside, at 47%, BIMBOA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.87 MXN per share) are deliberately not added.

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 41.39 MXN 90.30 MXN 172.10 MXN 76
Residual Income 24.39 MXN 26.95 MXN 40.97 MXN 75
Growth DCF 42.32 MXN 91.13 MXN 173.96 MXN 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 41.39 MXN 90.30 MXN 172.10 MXN 76
Owner Earnings 7.18 MXN 32.92 MXN 75.95 MXN 68
5Y Revenue Exit 47.06 MXN 101.13 MXN 171.93 MXN 70
5Y EBITDA Exit 81.31 MXN 167.35 MXN 270.95 MXN 73
5Y P/E Exit 17.50 MXN 43.97 MXN 72.12 MXN 68
10Y Revenue Exit 41.78 MXN 92.15 MXN 163.54 MXN 63
10Y EBITDA Exit 67.17 MXN 140.03 MXN 243.29 MXN 65
10Y P/E Exit 25.01 MXN 50.81 MXN 83.14 MXN 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 17.59 MXN 63.59 MXN 85.74 MXN 64
Lynch FV 15.07 MXN 21.52 MXN 27.98 MXN 61
PEG = 1.0 15.07 MXN 21.52 MXN 27.98 MXN 57
EPV 27.40 MXN 37.67 MXN 46.80 MXN 73
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 9.95 MXN 21.72 MXN 36.54 MXN 65
DDM Multi-Stage 9.95 MXN 17.79 MXN 22.63 MXN 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple 40.74 MXN 54.32 MXN 67.90 MXN 63
P/S Multiple 32.98 MXN 43.97 MXN 54.97 MXN 58
P/B Multiple 32.98 MXN 43.97 MXN 54.97 MXN 55
EV/EBIT 86.01 MXN 124.94 MXN 163.87 MXN 65
EV/EBITDA 114.79 MXN 163.32 MXN 211.85 MXN 67
EV/Revenue 52.57 MXN 88.30 MXN 124.02 MXN 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 13.88 MXN 18.60 MXN 27.77 MXN 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 42.32 MXN 91.13 MXN 173.96 MXN 74
Rev-Margin DCF 47.06 MXN 100.33 MXN 164.02 MXN 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income 24.39 MXN 26.95 MXN 40.97 MXN 75
ROIC Compounder 27.40 MXN 46.00 MXN 73.35 MXN 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 28.59 MXN 40.84 MXN 53.09 MXN 67

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (91.13 MXN) versus Dividend Discount (17.79 MXN). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).

Notify me when BIMBOA reaches fair value

Put BIMBOA on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.

Set up alert →

Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.

Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 20.6
P/S ratio 0.54 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) 2.72 MXN price ÷ EPS = P/E 20.6
Dividend yield 1.8% payout 38.1%
Net margin 2.6% FY2025
Return on equity 10.7% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 11.7% avg 5y
Operating margin 7.9% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 424B MXN TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −3.0% 3y avg +2.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +34.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 24.9B MXN FY2025
Net debt 145B MXN FY2025 · ≈ 5.8 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 54
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 31
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 40
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 89
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Grupo Bimbo, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, produces, distributes, and markets bakery products. It offers sliced bread, buns and rolls, pastries, cakes, cookies, toast, English muffins, bagels, tortillas and flatbreads, and salty snacks. The company operates Mexico, North America, Central America, Latin America, Europe and Africa, and Asia.

Full company description

Grupo Bimbo, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, produces, distributes, and markets bakery products. It offers sliced bread, buns and rolls, pastries, cakes, cookies, toast, English muffins, bagels, tortillas and flatbreads, and salty snacks. The company operates Mexico, North America, Central America, Latin America, Europe and Africa, and Asia. Grupo Bimbo, S.A.B. de C.V. was founded in 1945 and is based in Mexico City, Mexico.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V reported revenue of 427B MXN in FY2025 versus 349B MXN in FY2021, a compound +5.2%/yr. Reported net income was 11.1B MXN in FY2025, compounding −8.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 64/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
427B MXN
Latest YoY
+4.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (25Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.0%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in MXN) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in MXN: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+6.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+5.1%
Dividend yield1.8%
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9.0% (2020) → 9.2% (2025) · steady
Worst earnings drop65% (2024) · in MXN
Revenue +5.2%/yr
FY21 349B MXN
FY22 399B MXN
FY23 400B MXN
FY24 408B MXN
FY25 427B MXN
Net income −8.5%/yr
FY21 15.9B MXN
FY22 46.9B MXN
FY23 15.5B MXN
FY24 12.5B MXN
FY25 11.1B MXN

Watch BIMBOA, get fair value alerts →

Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorFama-French ModelIntrinsic Value
Share or link this analysis
𝕏 Post WhatsApp LinkedIn Reddit
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V · Fair Value
82.59 MXN +32%Fair Value
Calculator →

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BIMBOA

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 649 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +17% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.18× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.02× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.57× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.6× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.3× · Cheaper than median
PEG 2.51× · Priciest 25%

What the price implies (reverse DCF)

The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.

Implied FCF growth, 10 years+0.6 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years+5.2 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+3.0 %
FCF yield on price10.29 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models7.9 %

The price demands less growth than the company recently delivered: even a weaker business would justify the price. Ranking of the largest stocks →

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE56 · sector 24
FUTURE0 · sector 20
PAST43 · sector 28
HEALTH41 · sector 96
DIVIDEND37 · sector 54

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 28, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 78.76 CHF 57.26 −27%
Danone S.A BN €64.28 €48.41 −25%
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,478 ₹251.94 −83%
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $24.85 $24.59 −1%
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥35.05 ¥21.93 −37%
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥25.51 ¥32.50 +27%
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥25.28 ¥9.89 −61%
General Mills, Inc GIS $38.29 $28.32 −26%
Wilmar International Limited F34 3.64 SGD 3.89 SGD +7%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,511 ₹1,765 −68%

Compare Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Consumer Defensive stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names ⭐ Top Rated 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screenerFilter by region, size and sector Compare toolTwo stocks side by side Extrinsic Value Calculator…Calculator with industry benchmark Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula &…Calculator with industry benchmark

Frequently asked questions

Is Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V (BIMBOA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 82.59 MXN versus a price of 56.14 MXN, about +47% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BIMBOA?
Our model-based fair value for Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V is 82.59 MXN (as of Aug 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 56.14 MXN.
What is the quality score of BIMBOA?
Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V (BIMBOA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 82.59 MXN (as of Aug 28, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 36.83 MXN, optimistic scenario 121.08 MXN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 82.59 MXN, about +47% upside versus a price of 56.14 MXN (undervalued). Cautious scenario 36.83 MXN, optimistic scenario 121.08 MXN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V (BIMBOA)?
Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 424B MXN (latest available figure, as of Aug 28, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BIMBOA?
The net profit margin of Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V is about 2.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V pay a dividend?
Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.84% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 28, 2026).
What growth is priced into Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V (BIMBOA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V would have to grow free cash flow by +0.6 % per year for ten years (discount rate 7.9 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.2 % per year. As of Aug 28, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BIMBOA use?
Our models discount Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V at 7.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.29. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
Free · no account needed

Watch Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V in the live analysis

One click puts Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.

Watch for free →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.