Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company (3288) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$177B
Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 34 days ago
Share price +8.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 16% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- Our model range runs from HK$20.36 (bear) to HK$33.10 (bull), base HK$27.45. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 70/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (14 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
14‑month range HK$29.00 – HK$37.11 · fair‑value band HK$20.36 – HK$33.10 · the HK$32.74 price screens above the HK$27.45 fair value. As of Jul 7, 2026.
Analysis
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company (3288) currently trades at HK$32.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$27.45, implying the stock looks roughly 16.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company generated revenue of HK$29.6B at a net margin of 24.6%. Revenue grew 8.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.1%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 21.0. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$20.36 (bear case) to HK$33.10 (bull case); at HK$32.74, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -16%, 3288 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$23.03) versus Asset-Based (HK$4.73). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company Ltd. engages in the production and sale of condiments, food and agricultural products, and beverages in China. The company offers soybean paste, soy sauce, flavoured sauce, oyster sauce, vinegar, cooking wine, and compound seasonings.
Full company description
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company Ltd. engages in the production and sale of condiments, food and agricultural products, and beverages in China. The company offers soybean paste, soy sauce, flavoured sauce, oyster sauce, vinegar, cooking wine, and compound seasonings. It also engages in packaging materials and glass bottles packaging and catering services. The company exports its products worldwide. The company was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Foshan, China. Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Guangdong Haitian Group Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company reported revenue of HK$28.9B in FY2025 versus HK$25.0B in FY2021, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$7.0B in FY2025, compounding +1.4%/yr from FY2021.
3288 screens 16% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →
Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 649 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,427 | ₹362.37 | -75% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,413 | ₹1,870 | -65% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,089 | ₹327.27 | -70% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 6,650 IDR | 15,757 IDR | +137% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,139,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -11% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹413.80 | ₹157.04 | -62% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 58,500 VND | 68,259 VND | +17% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,750 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +54% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,490 IDR | 4,355 IDR | -3% |
| Nongshim Co 004370 | 348,500 KRW | 530,619 KRW | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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