Haitian Flav (3288) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Haitian Flav HK$26.19, price HK$27.44, upside -4.6%, quality 70 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
15‑month range HK$26.60 – HK$37.11 · fair‑value band HK$19.46 – HK$34.70 · the HK$27.44 price screens above the HK$26.19 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company Ltd. engages in the production and sale of condiments, food and agricultural products, and beverages in China. The company offers soybean paste, soy sauce, flavoured sauce, oyster sauce, vinegar, cooking wine, and compound seasonings.
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Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company Ltd. engages in the production and sale of condiments, food and agricultural products, and beverages in China. The company offers soybean paste, soy sauce, flavoured sauce, oyster sauce, vinegar, cooking wine, and compound seasonings. It also engages in packaging materials and glass bottles packaging and catering services. The company exports its products worldwide. The company was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Foshan, China. Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Guangdong Haitian Group Co., Ltd.
Stock analysis
Haitian Flav (3288) currently trades at HK$27.44, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$26.19, implying the stock looks roughly 4.8% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$23.09 per share, and 2 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$27.44 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$4.73, and 24 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: HK$19.46 (bear) to HK$34.70 (bull), the price of HK$27.44 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Haitian Flav reported revenue of 28.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 25.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was 7.0B CNY in FY2025, compounding +1.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$177B (≈ $22.6B) · P/E ratio 21.0 · P/S ratio 5.12 · EPS (TTM) HK$1.34 · Dividend yield 3.9% · Net margin 24.4% · Return on equity 19.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 18.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at −5%, 3288 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$19.46Fair Value HK$26.19Bull HK$34.70
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.2052 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.77/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.1%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+4.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+0.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.9%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.28% → 28%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+3.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+7.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +1.5% a year for the price and +5.3% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 667 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)19% · Top 25%
Return on assets12% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)25% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)31% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Haitian Flav Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3288
Frequently asked questions
Is Haitian Flav (3288) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$26.19 versus a price of HK$27.44, about −5% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 3288?
Our model-based fair value for Haitian Flav is HK$26.19 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$27.44.
What is the quality score of 3288?
Haitian Flav has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Haitian Flav (3288)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$26.19 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$19.46, optimistic scenario HK$34.70. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Haitian Flav stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$26.19, about −5% upside versus a price of HK$27.44 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario HK$19.46, optimistic scenario HK$34.70. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Haitian Flav (3288)?
Haitian Flav reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 29.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Haitian Flav pay a dividend?
Haitian Flav currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.86% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Haitian Flav (3288)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Haitian Flav would have to grow free cash flow by +3.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +3.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 3288 use?
Our models discount Haitian Flav at 8.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.11, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Haitian Flav that is +3.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Haitian Flav (3288) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Haitian Flav grew +3.7 % a year. The price currently implies +3.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Haitian Flav (3288) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +0.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Haitian Flav (+3.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Haitian Flav (3288)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.70 %: that much free cash flow Haitian Flav produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Haitian Flav (3288)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Haitian Flav it is HK$26.19 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$27.44. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Haitian Flav stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 3288 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$27.44, fair value HK$26.19, a gap of about −5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 3288?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$27.44); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$26.19). For Haitian Flav the two are HK$1.25 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Haitian Flav worth?
The market values Haitian Flav at about HK$177B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$27.44; our models calculate a fair value of HK$26.19 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 3288?
Our models span a range for Haitian Flav: cautious scenario HK$19.46, base HK$26.19, optimistic HK$34.70 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$27.44). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 3288?
Haitian Flav trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$26.19 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.8, P/B 3.7, P/S 5.1, EV/EBITDA 14.1.
What is the PEG ratio of 3288?
The PEG ratio of Haitian Flav is 1.84 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Haitian Flav (3288)?
Balance-sheet figures for Haitian Flav (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 19.1%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 70/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 3288 from its 52-week high?
Haitian Flav trades at HK$27.44, about 26% below its 52-week high of HK$37.11 and 3% above the low of HK$26.60 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$26.19 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Haitian Flav?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, The Kraft Heinz Company, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Haitian Flav stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$27.44, calculated fair value HK$26.19 (−5%), Quality Score 70/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 3288 calculated?
We run Haitian Flav through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$26.19, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Haitian Flav itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Haitian Flav (3288)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was HK$27.44. Our model-based fair value is HK$26.19, about −5% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Haitian Flav right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Haitian Flav
How large is the market capitalisation of Haitian Flav (3288)?
The market capitalisation of Haitian Flav is HK$177B (≈ $22.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Haitian Flav (3288)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Haitian Flav is 5.12 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Haitian Flav (3288)?
Earnings per share at Haitian Flav are HK$1.34 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Haitian Flav (3288)?
The dividend yield of Haitian Flav is 3.9% (payout 79.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Haitian Flav (3288)?
The net margin of Haitian Flav is 24.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Haitian Flav (3288)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Haitian Flav is 19.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Haitian Flav (3288)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Haitian Flav is 18.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Haitian Flav (3288)?
The operating margin of Haitian Flav is 31.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Haitian Flav (3288)?
Revenue at Haitian Flav is growing +8.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Haitian Flav (3288)?
Earnings per share at Haitian Flav are growing +5.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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