Nestlé India Limited (NESTLEIND) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · IN · Market cap ₹2.8T
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price +5.1% over the past month.
A strong business, but screening 76% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 76/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹451.79). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹790.64 – ₹1,535 · fair‑value band ₹272.94 – ₹451.79 · the ₹1,535 price screens above the ₹362.37 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Nestlé India Limited (NESTLEIND) currently trades at ₹1,535, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹362.37, implying the stock looks roughly 76.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 76/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Nestlé India Limited generated revenue of ₹231B at a net margin of 15.1%. Revenue grew 23.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 76.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ₹9.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹272.94 (bear case) to ₹451.79 (bull case); at ₹1,535, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 17% fair-value upside, at -76%, NESTLEIND screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹448.50) versus Asset-Based (₹17.92). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Nestlé India Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of food products in India and internationally. The company provides milk products and nutrition, including dairy whitener, condensed milk, UHT milk, yogurt, maternal and infant formula, baby foods, health care nutrition; prepared dishes and cooking aids, such as noodles, sauces, seasonings, pasta, …
Full company description
Nestlé India Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of food products in India and internationally. The company provides milk products and nutrition, including dairy whitener, condensed milk, UHT milk, yogurt, maternal and infant formula, baby foods, health care nutrition; prepared dishes and cooking aids, such as noodles, sauces, seasonings, pasta, cereals, and pet foods; powdered and liquid beverages comprising instant coffee and tea, as well as ready to drink beverages; and confectionery products consisting of bar countlines, tablets, and sugar confectionery products. The company was incorporated in 1959 and is headquartered in Gurugram, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Nestlé India Limited reported revenue of ₹232B in FY2025 versus ₹147B in FY2021, a compound +12.1%/yr. Reported net income was ₹35.0B in FY2025, compounding +13.4%/yr from FY2021.
NESTLEIND screens 76% overvalued. Compare with Britannia Industries Limited →
Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 650 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 35/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,413 | ₹1,870 | -65% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,089 | ₹327.27 | -70% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 6,650 IDR | 15,757 IDR | +137% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,139,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -11% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹413.80 | ₹157.04 | -62% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 58,500 VND | 68,259 VND | +17% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,750 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +54% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,490 IDR | 4,355 IDR | -3% |
| Nongshim Co 004370 | 348,500 KRW | 530,619 KRW | +52% |
| PT Siantar Top Tbk, STTP | 10,300 IDR | 15,316 IDR | +49% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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