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Nuobikan Artificial (2635) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Nuobikan Artificial HK$11.61, price HK$8.88, upside +30.7%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Technology · HK

NA Some data Sep 27, 2026

Nuobikan Artificial

2635 · HK

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value HK$11.61 · Undervalued (+30.7%)
!Quality 42/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +25.4 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 23.7% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
✓Wide moat 76/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$68.50 HK$8.86 Fair Value HK$11.61 Dec 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

9‑month range HK$8.86 – HK$68.50 · fair‑value band HK$8.70 – HK$14.52 · the HK$8.88 price screens below the HK$11.61 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Nuobikan Artificial Intelligence Technology (Chengdu) Co., Ltd. designs and develops an industrial application of advanced technologies including AI and digital twins that target areas of transportation, energy, and urban management. It focuses on AI Transportation; AI Energy; and AI Urban Governance.

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Nuobikan Artificial Intelligence Technology (Chengdu) Co., Ltd. designs and develops an industrial application of advanced technologies including AI and digital twins that target areas of transportation, energy, and urban management. It focuses on AI Transportation; AI Energy; and AI Urban Governance. The company also provides integrated software and hardware solutions adopting comprehensive AI industry models for monitoring, inspection, and maintenance purposes. Additionally, it also offers rail transit solutions for transportation business, including inspection of railway traction power supply systems, monitoring of railway external environment, and inspection of cargo train operation status; integrated software and hardware solutions, such as IT operation and maintenance of integrated grid construction and defect detection of power transmission and distribution lines for grid companies and electricity sector; and urban management solution that include park management and intelligent solutions. The company was formerly known as Chengdu Nuobikan Technology Company Limited. Nuobikan Artificial Intelligence Technology (Chengdu) Co., Ltd. was founded in 2015 and is based in Chengdu, China.

Stock analysis

Nuobikan Artificial (2635) currently trades at HK$8.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$11.61, implying the stock looks roughly 23.5% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$15.48 per share, and 7 of the 15 models we run sit above the HK$8.88 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$2.63, and 8 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: HK$8.70 (bear) to HK$14.52 (bull), the price of HK$8.88 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Nuobikan Artificial reported revenue of 498M CNY in FY2025 versus 253M CNY in FY2022, a compound +25.4%/yr. Reported net income was 118M CNY in FY2025, compounding +23.1%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap HK$4.3B (≈ $546M) · P/E ratio 28.3 · P/S ratio 6.69 · EPS (TTM) HK$1.18 · Net margin 23.7% · Return on equity 14.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.8% · Operating margin 30.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 53% fair-value upside, at 31%, 2635 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$8.70 Fair Value HK$11.61 Bull HK$14.52
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.8858 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings HK$4.16 HK$7.05 HK$12.39 71
EPV HK$4.78 HK$5.23 HK$5.60 71
ROIC Compounder HK$5.34 HK$6.91 HK$7.92 69
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings HK$4.16 HK$7.05 HK$12.39 71
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$3.08 HK$21.45 HK$30.11 60
Lynch FV HK$7.26 HK$10.37 HK$13.48 58
PEG = 1.0 HK$7.26 HK$10.37 HK$13.48 55
EPV HK$4.78 HK$5.23 HK$5.60 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$9.50 HK$12.67 HK$15.83 63
P/S Multiple HK$5.77 HK$7.69 HK$9.61 58
P/B Multiple HK$5.77 HK$7.69 HK$9.61 55
EV/EBIT HK$10.88 HK$14.01 HK$17.14 66
EV/EBITDA HK$10.20 HK$13.11 HK$16.02 67
EV/Revenue HK$6.23 HK$8.27 HK$10.30 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.96 HK$2.63 HK$3.93 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$3.38 HK$3.77 HK$4.74 68
ROIC Compounder HK$5.34 HK$6.91 HK$7.92 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$10.83 HK$15.48 HK$20.12 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 4

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 24
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 22
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 95
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 8
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+23.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−27.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−27.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.30% → 27%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Information Technology Services · 470 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +30.7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 14.2% · Above median
Return on assets 6.3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 23.7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 30.9% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 22.9% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 28.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.57× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 7.34× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 22.9× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)74 · sector 44
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 31
PAST (return on equity)57 · sector 36
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 43

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
International Business Machines Corporation IBM $225.51 $186.56 −17%
Accenture plc ACN $176.11 $305.06 +73%
Tata Consultancy Services Limited TCS ₹2,082 ₹2,993 +44%
Infosys Limited INFY ₹994.10 ₹1,691 +70%
HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH ₹1,258 ₹1,926 +53%
Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation CTSH $56.84 $138.62 +144%
Amadeus IT Group AMS €53.48 €65.98 +23%
Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc BR $163.77 $159.88 −2%
Fidelity National Information Services, Inc FIS $33.35 $32.72 −2%
Wipro Limited WIPRO ₹164.02 ₹287.86 +76%

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Nuobikan Artificial · Fair Value
HK$11.61 +24%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nuobikan Artificial Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2635

Frequently asked questions

Is Nuobikan Artificial (2635) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$11.61 versus a price of HK$8.88, about +31% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2635?
Our model-based fair value for Nuobikan Artificial is HK$11.61 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$8.88.
What is the quality score of 2635?
Nuobikan Artificial has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nuobikan Artificial (2635)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$11.61 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$8.70, optimistic scenario HK$14.52. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nuobikan Artificial stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$11.61, about +31% upside versus a price of HK$8.88 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$8.70, optimistic scenario HK$14.52. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nuobikan Artificial (2635)?
Nuobikan Artificial reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 498M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Nuobikan Artificial (2635)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nuobikan Artificial it is HK$11.61 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$8.88. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nuobikan Artificial stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 2635 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$8.88, fair value HK$11.61, a gap of about +31% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2635?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$8.88); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$11.61). For Nuobikan Artificial the two are HK$2.73 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nuobikan Artificial worth?
The market values Nuobikan Artificial at about HK$4.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$8.88; our models calculate a fair value of HK$11.61 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2635?
Our models span a range for Nuobikan Artificial: cautious scenario HK$8.70, base HK$11.61, optimistic HK$14.52 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$8.88). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2635?
Nuobikan Artificial trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 28.3 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$11.61 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.6, P/S 7.3, EV/EBITDA 22.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nuobikan Artificial (2635)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nuobikan Artificial (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 14.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Nuobikan Artificial?
From the same area (Technology) we also value International Business Machines Corporation, Accenture plc, Tata Consultancy Services Limited, Infosys Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nuobikan Artificial stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$8.88, calculated fair value HK$11.61 (+31%), Quality Score 42/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2635 calculated?
We run Nuobikan Artificial through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$11.61, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Nuobikan Artificial currently trades 24 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nuobikan Artificial (2635)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$8.88. Our model-based fair value is HK$11.61, about +31% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nuobikan Artificial right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Key figures of Nuobikan Artificial

How large is the market capitalisation of Nuobikan Artificial (2635)?
The market capitalisation of Nuobikan Artificial is HK$4.3B (≈ $546M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nuobikan Artificial (2635)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nuobikan Artificial is 6.69 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nuobikan Artificial (2635)?
Earnings per share at Nuobikan Artificial are HK$1.18 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 28.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Nuobikan Artificial (2635)?
The net margin of Nuobikan Artificial is 23.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nuobikan Artificial (2635)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nuobikan Artificial is 14.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nuobikan Artificial (2635)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nuobikan Artificial is 14.8% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nuobikan Artificial (2635)?
The operating margin of Nuobikan Artificial is 30.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nuobikan Artificial (2635)?
Revenue at Nuobikan Artificial is growing +22.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +25.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nuobikan Artificial (2635)?
Earnings per share at Nuobikan Artificial are growing +19.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Nuobikan Artificial (2635) generate?
The free cash flow of Nuobikan Artificial is −12.6M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Nuobikan Artificial (2635) carry?
The net debt of Nuobikan Artificial is 5.0M CNY (fiscal year 2023). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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