Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd (300585) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd ¥5.75, price ¥13.83, upside -58.4%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.49 – ¥42.52 · fair‑value band ¥4.43 – ¥7.44 · the ¥13.83 price screens above the ¥5.75 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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NanJing AoLian AE&EA Co.,Ltd engages in the research, development, production, and sale of automotive electronic and electrical components in China.
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NanJing AoLian AE&EA Co.,Ltd engages in the research, development, production, and sale of automotive electronic and electrical components in China. The company offers electronic accelerator pedal assemblies, shift controllers and switches, automotive air conditioning controllers, low temperature starting devices, electronic throttles, electromagnetic solenoid, car rearview mirrors, and urea heating tubes, as well as wire harness, vehicle and other controllers, battery management systems, and special vehicle power system components. It also engages in software and information technology; trading, manufacturing; and business activities. NanJing AoLian AE&EA Co.,Ltd was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Nanjing, China.
Stock analysis
Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd (300585) currently trades at ¥13.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.75, implying the stock looks roughly 140.4% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ¥2.78 per share, and 0 of the 10 models we run sit above the ¥13.83 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at ¥2.41, and 10 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥4.43 (bear) to ¥7.44 (bull), the price of ¥13.83 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd reported revenue of 467M CNY in FY2025 versus 451M CNY in FY2021, a compound +0.9%/yr. Reported net income was −69.7M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 3.1B CNY (≈ $466M) · P/S ratio 7.01 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.4300 · Net margin −14.9% · Return on equity −11.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.2% · Operating margin −8.4% · Revenue (TTM) 446M CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −58%, 300585 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥4.43Fair Value ¥5.75Bull ¥7.44
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.34/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.7% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.9%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
6.5% (2020) → −1.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+44.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +41.9% a year for the price.
Compare Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 684 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Above median
Fair Value upside−58.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−16.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−8.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−19.9% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.73× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)1.04× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF17.4× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 19
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 37
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300585
Frequently asked questions
Is Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd (300585) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.75 versus a price of ¥13.83, about −58% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300585?
Our model-based fair value for Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd is ¥5.75 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥13.83.
What is the quality score of 300585?
Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd (300585)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥5.75 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥4.43, optimistic scenario ¥7.44. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥5.75, about −58% upside versus a price of ¥13.83 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥4.43, optimistic scenario ¥7.44. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd (300585)?
Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 446M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd (300585)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +44.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 300585 use?
Our models discount Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.97, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd that is +44.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd (300585) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd grew +2.3 % a year. The price currently implies +44.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd (300585) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd (+44.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd (300585)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.13 %: that much free cash flow Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd (300585)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd it is ¥5.75 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥13.83. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 300585 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥13.83, fair value ¥5.75, a gap of about −58% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300585?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥13.83); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥5.75). For Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd the two are ¥8.08 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd worth?
The market values Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd at about 3.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥13.83; our models calculate a fair value of ¥5.75 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300585?
Our models span a range for Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥4.43, base ¥5.75, optimistic ¥7.44 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥13.83). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd (300585)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −11.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300585 from its 52-week high?
Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd trades at ¥13.83, about 41% below its 52-week high of ¥23.29 and 17% above the low of ¥11.79 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥5.75 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥13.83, calculated fair value ¥5.75 (−58%), Quality Score 55/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300585 calculated?
We run Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥5.75, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd (300585)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was ¥13.83. Our model-based fair value is ¥5.75, about −58% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥7.44). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd (300585)?
The market capitalisation of Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd is 3.1B CNY (≈ $466M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd (300585)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd is 7.01 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd (300585)?
Earnings per share at Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd are ¥−0.4300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd (300585)?
The net margin of Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd is −14.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd (300585)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd is −11.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd (300585)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd is 0.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd (300585)?
The operating margin of Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd is −8.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd (300585)?
Revenue at Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd is growing −19.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd (300585)?
Earnings per share at Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd are growing −19.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd (300585) hold?
Nanjing Aolian Ae&Ea Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 79.9M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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