Ningbo Fangzheng Automobile Mould Co.Ltd. (300998) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 4.0B CNY (≈ $601M) · ISIN CNE100004L85
What is Ningbo Fangzheng Automobile Mould Co.Ltd. really worth?
Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Below-average quality, and trading another 742% above our fair value of ¥3.38.
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Share price +29.3% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.23). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥12.32 – ¥52.79 · fair‑value band ¥2.54 – ¥4.23 · the ¥28.45 price screens above the ¥3.38 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Ningbo Fangzheng Automobile Mould Co.Ltd. (300998) currently trades at ¥28.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.38, implying the stock looks roughly 741.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥6.40 per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the ¥28.45 price. Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ¥1.55, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Ningbo Fangzheng Automobile Mould Co.Ltd. generated revenue of 1.3B CNY at a net margin of 1.9%. Revenue declined 7.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.3%. Net debt stands at 197M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥2.54 (bear case) to ¥4.23 (bull case); at ¥28.45, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −44% fair-value upside, at −88%, 300998 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥6.40) versus Economic Profit (¥1.55). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Ningbo Fangzheng Automobile Mould Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of automotive plastic molds. The company offers blow mold, air conditioning and air filtering, low pressure injection, console, door plate, dashboard, and bumper series. Ningbo Fangzheng Automobile Mould Co.,Ltd.
Full company description
Ningbo Fangzheng Automobile Mould Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of automotive plastic molds. The company offers blow mold, air conditioning and air filtering, low pressure injection, console, door plate, dashboard, and bumper series. Ningbo Fangzheng Automobile Mould Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Ninghai, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ningbo Fangzheng Automobile Mould Co.Ltd. reported revenue of 1.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 702M CNY in FY2021, a compound +16.4%/yr. Reported net income was 27.3M CNY in FY2025, compounding +1.3%/yr from FY2021.
300998 screens 742% overvalued. Compare with O'Reilly Automotive, Inc →
Peer Group
Auto Parts · 656 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| O'Reilly Automotive, Inc ORLY | $88.50 | $47.50 | −46% |
| AutoZone, Inc AZO | $2,932 | $2,287 | −22% |
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 450,500 KRW | 643,909 KRW | +43% |
| Fuyao Glass Industry Group 600660 | ¥57.67 | ¥84.47 | +46% |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹165.30 | ₹80.63 | −51% |
| Magna International Inc MGA | $66.00 | $68.17 | +3% |
| Genuine Parts Company GPC | $137.51 | $58.07 | −58% |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹48,700 | ₹11,534 | −76% |
| Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 | ¥50.30 | ¥28.28 | −44% |
| Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG | ₹2,063 | ₹393.20 | −81% |
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