3709 (3709) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · Market cap HK$3.3B

3 3709 3709 · HK

PriceHK$4.89

Fair ValueHK$11.61

Upside+137.4%

Quality59/100

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Evidence: High Range HK$8.71 – HK$14.52

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Share price −18.2% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$4.65 – HK$8.08 · fair‑value band HK$8.71 – HK$14.52 · the HK$4.89 price screens below the HK$11.61 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

3709 (3709) currently trades at HK$4.89, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$11.61 — implying the stock looks roughly 137.4% undervalued today. We read business quality at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, 3709 generated revenue of HK$6.3B at a net margin of 6.3%. Revenue declined 3.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.9%. Net debt stands at HK$1.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$6.3B

Revenue growth (YoY) -3.1%

Net margin 6.3%

Return on equity 8.9%

Free cash flow HK$1.4B FY2025

P/E ratio 7.2

More key figures

Operating margin 5.7%

EPS (TTM) HK$0.4200

Dividend yield 6.5%

EPS growth (YoY) -41.7%

Net debt HK$1.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

3709 reported revenue of HK$6.3B in FY2025 versus HK$6.4B in FY2021, a compound −0.3%/yr. Reported net income was HK$397M in FY2025, compounding −8.4%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue −0.3%/yr

FY21 HK$6.4B

FY22 HK$5.7B

FY23 HK$6.9B

FY24 HK$6.6B

FY25 HK$6.3B

Net income −8.4%/yr

FY21 HK$564M

FY22 HK$382M

FY23 HK$838M

FY24 HK$469M

FY25 HK$397M

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6 more Apparel Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

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Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A IDEXY	$15.66	$11.99	-23%
The TJX Companies, Inc TJX	C$29.33	C$16.00	-45%
Fast Retailing Co FRCOY	$52.64	$18.56	-65%
6288 6288	HK$40.98	HK$15.00	-63%
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NEXT plc NXGPF	$190.69	$200.58	+5%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 3709 (3709) undervalued?

As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$11.61 versus a price of HK$4.89 — about +137% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 3709?

Our model-based fair value for 3709 is HK$11.61 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$4.89.

What is the quality score of 3709?

3709 has a Quality Score of 59/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 3709 (3709)?

3709 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$6.3B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 3709?

The net profit margin of 3709 is about 6.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

Does 3709 pay a dividend?

3709 currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.52% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.