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Nanning Department Store Co Ltd (600712) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Nanning Department Store Co Ltd ¥2.75, price ¥5.39, upside -49.0%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · CN · ISIN CNE000000KP3

ND Thin data Oct 4, 2026

Nanning Department Store Co Ltd

600712 · SHG

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

Low debt
Quality 47/100
Fair value ¥2.75 · Strongly overvalued (−49.0%)
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −9.6 %/yr in CNY)
Loss-making · -5.7% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/13)
Narrow moat 14/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥8.10 ¥3.02 Fair Value ¥2.75 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.02 – ¥8.10 · fair‑value band ¥2.21 – ¥3.49 · the ¥5.39 price screens above the ¥2.75 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Nanning Department Store Co., Ltd. engages in commercial retail business in the People's Republic of China. It is involved in department stores, home appliances, supermarkets, automobiles, and e-commerce business. Nanning Department Store Co., Ltd. was founded in 1956 and is headquartered in Nanning, China.

Stock analysis

Nanning Department Store Co Ltd (600712) currently trades at ¥5.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.75, 49.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥0.9300 per share, and 0 of the 5 models we run sit above the ¥5.39 price.

Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at ¥0.5300, and 5 of the 5 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥2.21 (bear) to ¥3.49 (bull), the price of ¥5.39 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Nanning Department Store Co Ltd reported revenue of 471M CNY in FY2025 versus 808M CNY in FY2021, a compound −12.6%/yr. Reported net income was −41.3M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 2.9B CNY (≈ $438M) · P/S ratio 6.32 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.0500 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin −8.8% · Return on equity −3.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.9% · Operating margin 1.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −6% fair-value upside, at −49%, 600712 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥2.21 Fair Value ¥2.75 Bull ¥3.49
Price ¥5.39 · Upside -49.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings ¥0.4400 ¥0.5300 ¥0.6700 78
Gordon GGM ¥0.1100 ¥0.1200 ¥0.1300 69
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.1100 ¥0.1300 ¥0.1600 67
All 5 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥0.4400 ¥0.5300 ¥0.6700 78
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.1100 ¥0.1200 ¥0.1300 69
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.1100 ¥0.1300 ¥0.1600 67
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥0.6300 ¥0.7900 ¥0.9500 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.6900 ¥0.9300 ¥1.39 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 67
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 16
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−23.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −14.9% a year
Revenue growth 32 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−15.5% (2020) → −5.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

600712 screens overvalued: fair value 49% below the price. Compare with Falabella S.A →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Department Stores · 104 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 47 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −49.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −0.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −5.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −5.7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.05× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.58× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.94× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 13.7× · Priciest 25%
PEG 3.99× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 39
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 4
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)97 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)5 · sector 42

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Falabella S.A FALABELLA 6,450 CLP 6,080 CLP −6%
Dillard's, Inc DDS $664.07 $568.06 −14%
99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 3.20 MYR 1.52 MYR −53%
Macy's, Inc M $22.73 $43.20 +90%
Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD 1,990 CLP 1,955 CLP −2%
Central Retail Corporation CRC 30.00 THB 20.89 THB −30%
Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM ₹103.50 ₹103.60 +0%
POYA International Co 5904 69.70 TWD 76.67 TWD +10%
SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 347,000 KRW 143,353 KRW −59%
Easyhome New Retail Group 000785 ¥2.30 ¥1.37 −40%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nanning Department Store Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600712

Frequently asked questions

Is Nanning Department Store Co Ltd (600712) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.75 versus a price of ¥5.39, about −49% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600712?
Our model-based fair value for Nanning Department Store Co Ltd is ¥2.75 (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥5.39.
What is the quality score of 600712?
Nanning Department Store Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nanning Department Store Co Ltd (600712)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥2.75 (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 5 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.21, optimistic scenario ¥3.49. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nanning Department Store Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥2.75, about −49% upside versus a price of ¥5.39 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.21, optimistic scenario ¥3.49. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nanning Department Store Co Ltd (600712)?
Nanning Department Store Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 464M CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
Does Nanning Department Store Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Nanning Department Store Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.26% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Nanning Department Store Co Ltd (600712)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nanning Department Store Co Ltd it is ¥2.75 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of ¥5.39. It is the blended result of 5 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nanning Department Store Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, 600712 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥5.39, fair value ¥2.75, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600712?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥5.39); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥2.75). For Nanning Department Store Co Ltd the two are ¥2.64 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nanning Department Store Co Ltd worth?
The market values Nanning Department Store Co Ltd at about 2.9B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is ¥5.39; our models calculate a fair value of ¥2.75 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600712?
Our models span a range for Nanning Department Store Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥2.21, base ¥2.75, optimistic ¥3.49 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price ¥5.39). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 600712?
The PEG ratio of Nanning Department Store Co Ltd is 3.99 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 4, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nanning Department Store Co Ltd (600712)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nanning Department Store Co Ltd (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity −3.5%, debt of 0.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600712 from its 52-week high?
Nanning Department Store Co Ltd trades at ¥5.39, about 30% below its 52-week high of ¥7.73 and 22% above the low of ¥4.42 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥2.75 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nanning Department Store Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Falabella S.A, Dillard's, Inc, 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings, Macy's, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nanning Department Store Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price ¥5.39, calculated fair value ¥2.75 (−49%), Quality Score 47/100, from 5 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600712 calculated?
We run Nanning Department Store Co Ltd through 5 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥2.75, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Nanning Department Store Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nanning Department Store Co Ltd (600712)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was ¥5.39. Our model-based fair value is ¥2.75, about −49% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nanning Department Store Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.49). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Nanning Department Store Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Nanning Department Store Co Ltd (600712)?
The market capitalisation of Nanning Department Store Co Ltd is 2.9B CNY (≈ $438M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nanning Department Store Co Ltd (600712)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nanning Department Store Co Ltd is 6.32 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nanning Department Store Co Ltd (600712)?
Earnings per share at Nanning Department Store Co Ltd are ¥−0.0500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Nanning Department Store Co Ltd (600712)?
The dividend yield of Nanning Department Store Co Ltd is 0.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Nanning Department Store Co Ltd (600712)?
The net margin of Nanning Department Store Co Ltd is −8.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nanning Department Store Co Ltd (600712)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nanning Department Store Co Ltd is −3.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nanning Department Store Co Ltd (600712)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nanning Department Store Co Ltd is −1.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nanning Department Store Co Ltd (600712)?
The operating margin of Nanning Department Store Co Ltd is 1.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nanning Department Store Co Ltd (600712)?
Revenue at Nanning Department Store Co Ltd is growing −5.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nanning Department Store Co Ltd (600712)?
Earnings per share at Nanning Department Store Co Ltd are growing +251% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Nanning Department Store Co Ltd (600712) generate?
The free cash flow of Nanning Department Store Co Ltd is −8.9M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Nanning Department Store Co Ltd (600712) carry?
The net debt of Nanning Department Store Co Ltd is 81.7M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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