Aeon Co (AONNY) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $23.3B
Aeon Co
AONNY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Share price −1.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 64% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.98). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $5.03 – $18.25 · fair‑value band $2.39 – $3.98 · the $8.80 price screens above the $3.18 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Aeon Co (AONNY) currently trades at $8.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.18, implying the stock looks roughly 63.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Aeon Co generated revenue of $10.7T at a net margin of 0.7%. Revenue grew 11.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.8%. Net debt stands at $3.1T. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $2.39 (bear case) to $3.98 (bull case); at $8.80, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 50% fair-value upside, at -64%, AONNY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($11.01) versus Earnings-Based ($0.8636). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Aeon Co., Ltd. operates in the retail industry in Japan, China, ASEAN countries, and internationally. It operates through General Merchandise Store, Supermarket, Discount Store, Health & Wellness, Comprehensive Finance, Developer, and Service and Specialty Shops segments. The company operates general supermarket, uniform price general merchandise sales, etc.
Full company description
Aeon Co., Ltd. operates in the retail industry in Japan, China, ASEAN countries, and internationally. It operates through General Merchandise Store, Supermarket, Discount Store, Health & Wellness, Comprehensive Finance, Developer, and Service and Specialty Shops segments. The company operates general supermarket, uniform price general merchandise sales, etc.; supermarkets, convenience stores, small supermarkets; discount stores; and drugstores, dispensing pharmacies, etc. It is also involved in credit card business, fee-based business, banking; development and leasing of shopping centers; comprehensive facility management services, amusement, restaurants, family restaurants, specialty stores selling casual fashion, and shoes, etc.; retail business in the ASEAN region and China; and mobile marketing business, digital business, etc. The company was founded in 1758 and is headquartered in Chiba, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Aeon Co reported revenue of $11.2T in FY2026 versus $8.7T in FY2022, a compound +6.5%/yr. Reported net income was $75.9B in FY2026, compounding +84.8%/yr from FY2022.
AONNY screens 64% overvalued. Compare with Falabella S.A →
Peer Group
Department Stores · 127 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Falabella S.A FALABELLA | 5,875 CLP | 8,880 CLP | +51% |
| El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A. LIVEPOLC1 | 99.62 MXN | 263.70 MXN | +165% |
| 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 | 3.70 MYR | 1.45 MYR | -61% |
| Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD | 2,040 CLP | 2,516 CLP | +23% |
| Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM | ₹113.94 | ₹37.39 | -67% |
| SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 | 610,000 KRW | 200,259 KRW | -67% |
| Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V., SORIANAB | 30.04 MXN | 59.59 MXN | +98% |
| Lotte Shopping Co 023530 | 155,300 KRW | 81,725 KRW | -47% |
| Lojas Renner S.A LREN3 | R$14.10 | R$33.36 | +137% |
| La Comer, S.A. LACOMERUBC | 34.37 MXN | 51.49 MXN | +50% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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