Ryohin Keikaku Co (RYKKY) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $11.8B
Ryohin Keikaku Co
RYKKY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price +12.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 50% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($8.17). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.59 – $14.65 · fair‑value band $4.57 – $8.17 · the $13.18 price screens above the $6.53 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Ryohin Keikaku Co (RYKKY) currently trades at $13.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.53, implying the stock looks roughly 50.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Ryohin Keikaku Co generated revenue of $402B at a net margin of -1.7%. Revenue declined 3.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $32.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $4.57 (bear case) to $8.17 (bull case); at $13.18, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 50% fair-value upside, at -50%, RYKKY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($7.40) versus Asset-Based ($1.30). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Ryohin Keikaku Co., Ltd. engages in the retail of household goods, and food items in Japan and internationally. The company conducts programs regarding disaster prevention into daily life using familiar daily products and initiatives with developing countries; engages in video production, home sales, renewable energy business, and product development and …
Full company description
Ryohin Keikaku Co., Ltd. engages in the retail of household goods, and food items in Japan and internationally. The company conducts programs regarding disaster prevention into daily life using familiar daily products and initiatives with developing countries; engages in video production, home sales, renewable energy business, and product development and production management. It also engages in the sales of mobile; sells native products through online stores; farmland and mountain foothills conservation; production, consulting, and design of residential, offices, and public spaces; design of office fixtures and related products; construction of large-scale wooden structures; distributes and sells vegetables; and sales of detached houses and apartment renovations. In addition, it operates MUJI to GO offers travel products; MUJI and ReMUJI sells reuse and recycling of some products; MUJI STAY, an accommodation service under MUJI HOTEL, MUJI BASE, MUJI room, and MUJI Camp names; MUJI 500 offers fundamental and daily life product shop dedicated mainly to products priced at 500 yen or less; Café&Meal provides meals, desserts, and drinks; IDÉE, an interior brand offers furniture and accessories, textiles and green products, vintage items, music, and books; healthcare center; develops school gardens into plots to lease as a space for huts with vegetable gardens unders MUJI HUT name; operates campsites; and MUJI HOUSE, one room space solution. Ryohin Keikaku Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ryohin Keikaku Co reported revenue of $785B in FY2025 versus $454B in FY2021, a compound +14.7%/yr. Reported net income was $50.8B in FY2025, compounding +10.7%/yr from FY2021.
RYKKY screens 50% overvalued. Compare with Falabella S.A →
Peer Group
Department Stores · 127 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
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| Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V., SORIANAB | 30.04 MXN | 59.59 MXN | +98% |
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| Lojas Renner S.A LREN3 | R$14.10 | R$33.36 | +137% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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