Falabella S.A (FALABELLA) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CL · Market cap 15.0T CLP
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price +10.0% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 37% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (5,892 CLP to 12,406 CLP) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1,476 CLP – 6,734 CLP · fair‑value band 5,892 CLP – 12,406 CLP · the 6,470 CLP price screens below the 8,880 CLP fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Falabella S.A (FALABELLA) currently trades at 6,470 CLP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 8,880 CLP, implying the stock looks roughly 37.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Falabella S.A generated revenue of 13.6T CLP at a net margin of 10.3%. Revenue grew 6.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.6%. Net debt stands at 661B CLP. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 5,892 CLP (bear case) to 12,406 CLP (bull case); at 6,470 CLP, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 23% fair-value upside, at 37%, FALABELLA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (10,208 CLP) versus Asset-Based (2,129 CLP). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Falabella S.A. engages in the retail sale of clothing, accessories, household, electronics, beauty, and other products in Chile, Argentina, Peru, Colombia, Uruguay, Mexico, and Brazil. It operates through Home Improvement, Real Estate, Supermarkets, and Other Businesses segments.
Full company description
Falabella S.A. engages in the retail sale of clothing, accessories, household, electronics, beauty, and other products in Chile, Argentina, Peru, Colombia, Uruguay, Mexico, and Brazil. It operates through Home Improvement, Real Estate, Supermarkets, and Other Businesses segments. The company operates multi-specialist stores, which sells various clothing and accessories, as well as products for the home, electronics, beauty products, and others under the Falabella brand; hypermarkets and supermarkets format that offers food and other non-food products under the Tottus brand. It also sells construction and home improvement products, including construction materials, hardware, tools, kitchen accessories, bathroom, garden, and decoration products under the Sodimac brand. In addition, the company engages in the construction and leasing of commercial centers; and provision of financial services, such as CMR, insurance brokers, and banking, as well as manufacturing of textiles. Further, it provides digital payments; and involved in online business superstore, as well as operates department stores; and financial retails. Falabella S.A. was founded in 1889 and is headquartered in Santiago, Chile.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Falabella S.A reported revenue of 13.3T CLP in FY2025 versus 11.5T CLP in FY2021, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was 1.3T CLP in FY2025, compounding +19.9%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Department Stores · 127 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A. LIVEPOLC1 | 99.62 MXN | 263.70 MXN | +165% |
| 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 | 3.70 MYR | 1.45 MYR | -61% |
| Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD | 2,040 CLP | 2,516 CLP | +23% |
| Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM | ₹113.94 | ₹37.39 | -67% |
| SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 | 610,000 KRW | 200,259 KRW | -67% |
| Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V., SORIANAB | 30.04 MXN | 59.59 MXN | +98% |
| Lotte Shopping Co 023530 | 155,300 KRW | 81,725 KRW | -47% |
| Lojas Renner S.A LREN3 | R$14.10 | R$33.36 | +137% |
| La Comer, S.A. LACOMERUBC | 34.37 MXN | 51.49 MXN | +50% |
| PT Daya Intiguna Yasa Tbk MDIY | 1,005 IDR | 880.69 IDR | -12% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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