Falabella S.A (FALABELLA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Falabella S.A stock CLP 4,819, price CLP 6,504, that is 25.9% below the price, quality 60 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1,476 CLP – 6,825 CLP · fair‑value band 3,652 CLP – 6,662 CLP · the 6,504 CLP price screens above the 4,819 CLP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 3, 2026.
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Falabella S.A. engages in the retail sale of clothing, accessories, household, electronics, beauty, and other products in Chile, Argentina, Peru, Colombia, Uruguay, Mexico, and Brazil. It operates through Home Improvement, Real Estate, Supermarkets, and Other Businesses segments.
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The company operates multi-specialist stores, which sells various clothing and accessories, as well as products for the home, electronics, beauty products, and others under the Falabella brand; hypermarkets and supermarkets format that offers food and other non-food products under the Tottus brand.
It also sells construction and home improvement products, including construction materials, hardware, tools, kitchen accessories, bathroom, garden, and decoration products under the Sodimac brand.
In addition, the company engages in the construction and leasing of commercial centers; and provision of financial services, such as CMR, insurance brokers, and banking, as well as manufacturing of textiles.
Further, it provides digital payments; and involved in online business superstore, as well as operates department stores; and financial retails. Falabella S.A. was founded in 1889 and is headquartered in Santiago, Chile.
Stock analysis
Falabella S.A (FALABELLA) currently trades at 6,504 CLP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 4,819 CLP, 26% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 10,208 CLP per share, and 8 of the 26 models we run sit above the 6,504 CLP price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 1,616 CLP, and 18 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 3,652 CLP (bear) to 6,662 CLP (bull), the price of 6,504 CLP sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Falabella S.A reported revenue of 13.3T CLP in FY2025 versus 11.5T CLP in FY2021, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was 1.3T CLP in FY2025, compounding +19.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 16.3T CLP (≈ $16.7B) Large · P/E ratio 12.3 · P/S ratio 1.73 · EPS (TTM) 530.00 CLP · Net margin 9.6% · Return on equity 19.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.6% (5-year average) · Operating margin 11.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −26%, FALABELLA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear3,652 CLPFair Value 4,819 CLPBull6,662 CLP
Price 6,504 CLP · Downside -25.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (453.04 CLP per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.74/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.7% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in CLP (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in CLP: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+98.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+98.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 11%
2025 sits 1,391% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+1.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+6.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Chile: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 4.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −1.7% a year for the price and +3.1% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Department Stores · 107 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Above median
Fair Value upside−25.9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)19.0% · Top 25%
Return on assets7.4% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)14.1% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)11.2% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)9.8% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.06× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)12.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B2.05× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)1.73× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)23.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA12.1× · Pricier than median
PEG1.03× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)49· sector 6
PAST (return on equity)76· sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)97· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 43
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Falabella S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FALABELLA
Frequently asked questions
Is Falabella S.A (FALABELLA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 4,819 CLP versus a price of 6,504 CLP, about 26% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FALABELLA?
Our model-based fair value for Falabella S.A is 4,819 CLP (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 6,504 CLP.
What is the quality score of FALABELLA?
Falabella S.A has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Falabella S.A (FALABELLA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 4,819 CLP (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 3,652 CLP, optimistic scenario 6,662 CLP. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Falabella S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 4,819 CLP, about 26% lower versus a price of 6,504 CLP (overvalued). Cautious scenario 3,652 CLP, optimistic scenario 6,662 CLP. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Falabella S.A (FALABELLA)?
Falabella S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 13.9T CLP (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Falabella S.A (FALABELLA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Falabella S.A would have to grow free cash flow by +1.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.0 % per year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of FALABELLA use?
Our models discount Falabella S.A at 8.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.50, country premium for Chile. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Falabella S.A that is +1.3 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (8.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Falabella S.A (FALABELLA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Falabella S.A grew +7.0 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +1.3 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Falabella S.A (FALABELLA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Falabella S.A (+1.3 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Falabella S.A (FALABELLA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.41 %: that much free cash flow Falabella S.A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Falabella S.A (FALABELLA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Falabella S.A it is 4,819 CLP per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of 6,504 CLP. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Falabella S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, FALABELLA trades above its calculated fair value: price 6,504 CLP, fair value 4,819 CLP, a gap of about −26% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FALABELLA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (6,504 CLP); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (4,819 CLP). For Falabella S.A the two are 1,685 CLP per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Falabella S.A worth?
The market values Falabella S.A at about 16.3T CLP (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is 6,504 CLP; our models calculate a fair value of 4,819 CLP per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FALABELLA?
Our models span a range for Falabella S.A: cautious scenario 3,652 CLP, base 4,819 CLP, optimistic 6,662 CLP per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price 6,504 CLP). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of FALABELLA?
Falabella S.A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.3 (as of Nov 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 4,819 CLP is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 9 fiscal years (2017 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2025 ex one-offs: 27.5. Other multiples: PEG 1.0, P/B 2.1, P/S 1.7, EV/EBITDA 12.1.
What is the PEG ratio of FALABELLA?
The PEG ratio of Falabella S.A is 1.03 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 3, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Falabella S.A (FALABELLA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Falabella S.A (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity 19.0%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FALABELLA from its 52-week high?
Falabella S.A trades at 6,504 CLP, about 5% below its 52-week high of 6,825 CLP and 23% above the low of 5,300 CLP (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 4,819 CLP is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Falabella S.A?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Dillard's, Inc, 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings, Macy's, Inc, Central Retail Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Falabella S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price 6,504 CLP, calculated fair value 4,819 CLP (−26%), Quality Score 60/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FALABELLA calculated?
We run Falabella S.A through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 4,819 CLP builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Falabella S.A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Falabella S.A (FALABELLA)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 6,504 CLP. Our model-based fair value is 4,819 CLP, about 26% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Falabella S.A right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (3,652 CLP to 6,662 CLP) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Falabella S.A
How large is the market capitalisation of Falabella S.A (FALABELLA)?
The market capitalisation of Falabella S.A is 16.3T CLP (≈ $16.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Falabella S.A (FALABELLA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Falabella S.A is 1.73 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Falabella S.A (FALABELLA)?
Earnings per share at Falabella S.A are 530.00 CLP (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Falabella S.A (FALABELLA)?
The net margin of Falabella S.A is 9.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Falabella S.A (FALABELLA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Falabella S.A is 19.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Falabella S.A (FALABELLA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Falabella S.A is 3.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Falabella S.A (FALABELLA)?
The operating margin of Falabella S.A is 11.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Falabella S.A (FALABELLA)?
Revenue at Falabella S.A is growing +9.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Falabella S.A (FALABELLA)?
Earnings per share at Falabella S.A are growing −16.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Falabella S.A (FALABELLA) carry?
The net debt of Falabella S.A is 661B CLP (fiscal year 2022, ≈ 0.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Nov 3, 2026