Fujian Cement Inc (600802) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Fujian Cement Inc is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.62 – ¥8.69 · fair‑value band ¥2.68 – ¥8.05 · the ¥5.33 price screens above the ¥2.68 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Fujian Cement Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells clinker and cement in the People's Republic of China. The company's products are used in infrastructure projects, such as roads, railways, airports, water conservancy, urban real estate development, and rural civil buildings.
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Fujian Cement Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells clinker and cement in the People's Republic of China. The company's products are used in infrastructure projects, such as roads, railways, airports, water conservancy, urban real estate development, and rural civil buildings. It offers its products under the Lianshi and Jianfu brand names. The company was founded in 1958 and is based in Fuzhou, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Fujian Cement Inc (600802) currently trades at ¥5.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.68, implying the stock looks roughly 98.9% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥2.73 per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the ¥5.33 price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at ¥1.38, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥2.68 (bear) to ¥8.05 (bull), the price of ¥5.33 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Fujian Cement Inc reported revenue of 1.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 3.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound −19.4%/yr. Reported net income was −127M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 2.4B CNY (≈ $364M) · P/S ratio 1.36 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.3300 · Dividend yield 2.0% · Net margin −8.3% · Return on equity −21.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.7% · Operating margin −22.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −53% fair-value upside, at −50%, 600802 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥2.68Fair Value ¥2.68Bull ¥8.05
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−12.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−16.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.4%
Revenue growth 35 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
14.8% (2020) → −5.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Materials · 257 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score40 · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−10% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−22% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−21% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)2.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.26× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.29× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.20× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA7.0× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 2
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)87· sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)39· sector 45
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
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Is Fujian Cement Inc (600802) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.68 versus a price of ¥5.33, about −50% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600802?
Our model-based fair value for Fujian Cement Inc is ¥2.68 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥5.33.
What is the quality score of 600802?
Fujian Cement Inc has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Fujian Cement Inc (600802)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥2.68 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.68, optimistic scenario ¥8.05. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Fujian Cement Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥2.68, about −50% upside versus a price of ¥5.33 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.68, optimistic scenario ¥8.05. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Fujian Cement Inc (600802)?
Fujian Cement Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Fujian Cement Inc pay a dividend?
Fujian Cement Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.97% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Fujian Cement Inc (600802)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Fujian Cement Inc it is ¥2.68 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ¥5.33. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Fujian Cement Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 600802 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥5.33, fair value ¥2.68, a gap of about −50% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600802?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥5.33); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥2.68). For Fujian Cement Inc the two are ¥2.65 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Fujian Cement Inc worth?
The market values Fujian Cement Inc at about 2.4B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ¥5.33; our models calculate a fair value of ¥2.68 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600802?
Our models span a range for Fujian Cement Inc: cautious scenario ¥2.68, base ¥2.68, optimistic ¥8.05 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ¥5.33). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Fujian Cement Inc (600802)?
Balance-sheet figures for Fujian Cement Inc (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −21.4%, debt of 0.26 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600802 from its 52-week high?
Fujian Cement Inc trades at ¥5.33, about 42% below its 52-week high of ¥9.12 and 21% above the low of ¥4.39 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥2.68 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Fujian Cement Inc?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value CRH plc, Holcim AG, Vulcan Materials Company, UltraTech Cement Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Fujian Cement Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ¥5.33, calculated fair value ¥2.68 (−50%), Quality Score 40/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600802 calculated?
We run Fujian Cement Inc through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥2.68, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Fujian Cement Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Fujian Cement Inc right now?
Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (¥2.68 to ¥8.05). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Fujian Cement Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Fujian Cement Inc (600802)?
The market capitalisation of Fujian Cement Inc is 2.4B CNY (≈ $364M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Fujian Cement Inc (600802)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Fujian Cement Inc is 1.36 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Fujian Cement Inc (600802)?
Earnings per share at Fujian Cement Inc are ¥−0.3300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Fujian Cement Inc (600802)?
The dividend yield of Fujian Cement Inc is 2.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Fujian Cement Inc (600802)?
The net margin of Fujian Cement Inc is −8.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Fujian Cement Inc (600802)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Fujian Cement Inc is −21.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Fujian Cement Inc (600802)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Fujian Cement Inc is −3.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Fujian Cement Inc (600802)?
The operating margin of Fujian Cement Inc is −22.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Fujian Cement Inc (600802)?
Revenue at Fujian Cement Inc is growing −21.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −16.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Fujian Cement Inc (600802)?
Earnings per share at Fujian Cement Inc are growing +34.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Fujian Cement Inc (600802) generate?
The free cash flow of Fujian Cement Inc is −50.1M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Fujian Cement Inc (600802) carry?
The net debt of Fujian Cement Inc is 1.3B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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