TVZone Media Co Ltd (603721) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of TVZone Media Co Ltd stock ¥3.94, price ¥18.29, upside -78.5%, quality 77 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 31, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥10.18 – ¥43.00 · fair‑value band ¥3.03 – ¥4.86 · the ¥18.29 price screens above the ¥3.94 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Oct 31, 2026.
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TVZone Media Co., Ltd. produces, distributes, and markets video content for television, Internet, and mobile Internet, TV series, broadcasting operation, and film television drama in China.
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The company primarily engages in the production of online movies, documentaries, TV series, short videos, and other video content. It also operates Taojutao and Zhongxugou, an online trading platform for TV drama copyrights. The company was founded in 2007 and is based in Changsha, China.
TVZone Media Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Changsha Broadcast & Television Group.
Stock analysis
TVZone Media Co Ltd (603721) currently trades at ¥18.29, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.94, 78.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥5.43 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥18.29 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥0.5200, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥3.03 (bear) to ¥4.86 (bull), the price of ¥18.29 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
TVZone Media Co Ltd reported revenue of 342M CNY in FY2025 versus 273M CNY in FY2021, a compound +5.7%/yr. Reported net income was 26.5M CNY in FY2025, compounding +4.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.4B CNY (≈ $357M) Small · P/E ratio 91.5 · P/S ratio 7.27 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.2000 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 8.2% · Return on equity 5.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −78%, 603721 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.5200 to ¥13.35). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear¥3.03Fair Value ¥3.94Bull¥4.86
Price ¥18.29 · Upside -78.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0999 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.63/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.7% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
≈ +5.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year≈ +5.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.base effect: 5.0% / −6.3%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−8% → 7%
⚠ Base effect: the rate starts in the earnings trough around 2020 (starting value 0.16 per share, median 0.40 in 2015 to 2018). It measures the recovery from the trough, not lasting growth.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+25.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +23.1% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Broadcasting · 70 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score77 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−78.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)5.3% · Above median
Return on assets2.9% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)8.2% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)−15.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−46.2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.34× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Broadcasting median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)91.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B4.78× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)7.27× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow33.4× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA99.8× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 60
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 23
PAST (return on equity)21· sector 9
HEALTH (low debt)83· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)9· sector 79
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TVZone Media Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/603721
Frequently asked questions
Is TVZone Media Co Ltd (603721) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.94 versus a price of ¥18.29, about −78% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 603721?
Our model-based fair value for TVZone Media Co Ltd is ¥3.94 (as of Oct 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥18.29.
What is the quality score of 603721?
TVZone Media Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 77/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TVZone Media Co Ltd (603721)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥3.94 (as of Oct 31, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥3.03, optimistic scenario ¥4.86. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the TVZone Media Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥3.94, about −78% upside versus a price of ¥18.29 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥3.03, optimistic scenario ¥4.86. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TVZone Media Co Ltd (603721)?
TVZone Media Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 327M CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 31, 2026).
Does TVZone Media Co Ltd pay a dividend?
TVZone Media Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.44% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 31, 2026).
What growth is priced into TVZone Media Co Ltd (603721)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, TVZone Media Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +25.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.7 % per year. As of Oct 31, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 603721 use?
Our models discount TVZone Media Co Ltd at 12.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.08, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For TVZone Media Co Ltd that is +25.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has TVZone Media Co Ltd (603721) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at TVZone Media Co Ltd grew +2.7 % a year. The price currently implies +25.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of TVZone Media Co Ltd (603721) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into TVZone Media Co Ltd (+25.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of TVZone Media Co Ltd (603721)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.99 %: that much free cash flow TVZone Media Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of TVZone Media Co Ltd (603721)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TVZone Media Co Ltd it is ¥3.94 per share (as of Oct 31, 2026), against a price of ¥18.29. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is TVZone Media Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 31, 2026, 603721 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥18.29, fair value ¥3.94, a gap of about −78% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 603721?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥18.29); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥3.94). For TVZone Media Co Ltd the two are ¥14.35 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is TVZone Media Co Ltd worth?
The market values TVZone Media Co Ltd at about 2.4B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 31, 2026). Per share that is ¥18.29; our models calculate a fair value of ¥3.94 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 603721?
Our models span a range for TVZone Media Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥3.03, base ¥3.94, optimistic ¥4.86 per share (as of Oct 31, 2026, price ¥18.29). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 603721?
TVZone Media Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 91.5 (as of Oct 31, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥3.94 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.8, P/S 7.3, EV/EBITDA 99.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of TVZone Media Co Ltd (603721)?
Balance-sheet figures for TVZone Media Co Ltd (as of Oct 31, 2026): return on equity 5.3%, debt of 0.34 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 77/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 603721 from its 52-week high?
TVZone Media Co Ltd trades at ¥18.29, about 29% below its 52-week high of ¥25.94 and 27% above the low of ¥14.40 (as of Oct 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥3.94 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to TVZone Media Co Ltd?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Nexstar Media Group, Sun TV Network Limited, Jiangsu Broadcasting Cable Information Network Corporation, SES S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is TVZone Media Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 31, 2026: price ¥18.29, calculated fair value ¥3.94 (−78%), Quality Score 77/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 603721 calculated?
We run TVZone Media Co Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥3.94, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. TVZone Media Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of TVZone Media Co Ltd (603721)?
The closing price on Oct 30, 2026 was ¥18.29. Our model-based fair value is ¥3.94, about −78% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with TVZone Media Co Ltd right now?
A high-quality business (quality 77/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.86). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Key figures of TVZone Media Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of TVZone Media Co Ltd (603721)?
The market capitalisation of TVZone Media Co Ltd is 2.4B CNY (≈ $357M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of TVZone Media Co Ltd (603721)?
The price-to-sales ratio of TVZone Media Co Ltd is 7.27 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of TVZone Media Co Ltd (603721)?
Earnings per share at TVZone Media Co Ltd are ¥0.2000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 91.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of TVZone Media Co Ltd (603721)?
The dividend yield of TVZone Media Co Ltd is 0.4% (payout 40.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of TVZone Media Co Ltd (603721)?
The net margin of TVZone Media Co Ltd is 8.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of TVZone Media Co Ltd (603721)?
The return on equity (ROE) of TVZone Media Co Ltd is 5.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of TVZone Media Co Ltd (603721)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TVZone Media Co Ltd is 0.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of TVZone Media Co Ltd (603721)?
The operating margin of TVZone Media Co Ltd is −15.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at TVZone Media Co Ltd (603721)?
Revenue at TVZone Media Co Ltd is growing −46.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +17.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at TVZone Media Co Ltd (603721)?
Earnings per share at TVZone Media Co Ltd are growing −47.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does TVZone Media Co Ltd (603721) hold?
TVZone Media Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 35.5M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Oct 31, 2026