Nippon Television Holdings (NPTVF) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · US · Market cap $4.5B
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +0.7% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 32% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range ($17.21 to $33.11) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $7.00 – $24.73 · fair‑value band $17.21 – $33.11 · the $18.16 price screens below the $23.96 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Nippon Television Holdings (NPTVF) currently trades at $18.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $23.96, implying the stock looks roughly 32.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Nippon Television Holdings generated revenue of $484B at a net margin of 11.7%. Revenue declined 2.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $88.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $17.21 (bear case) to $33.11 (bull case); at $18.16, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at 32%, NPTVF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($25.38) versus Earnings-Based ($14.24). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Nippon Television Holdings, Inc. operates as a media and content company in Japan. The company engages in the production of broadcasting programs; digital broadcasting; technical production related to studios, live broadcasting, master technology, EJ news gathering, editing, postproduction, animations, etc.; and programming, content production, closed …
Full company description
Nippon Television Holdings, Inc. operates as a media and content company in Japan. The company engages in the production of broadcasting programs; digital broadcasting; technical production related to studios, live broadcasting, master technology, EJ news gathering, editing, postproduction, animations, etc.; and programming, content production, closed captioning, library, etc. It is also involved in sporting and NTV events; the management of NTV school; art design, and lighting and sound effects; design of sets, flip charts, and TV graphics; production of pamphlets, posters, etc.; intellectual property management; management of music publishing, CD master, and merchandising rights; production CDs and DVDs; rental of recording studios; and operation of fitness clubs, museums, and insurance agencies. In addition, the company engages in the production and construction of exhibitions, sales promotion events, international sports events, theme parks, amusement facilities, national ceremonies, etc.; production of program-related merchandise goods; construction management, printing, and renewable energy business; ICT, development of apps for business, web development, video streaming, infrastructure solutions, and advertising; production of animation, TV programs, commercial films, graphic designs, illustrations, characters, and other content; copyright management; and internet content streaming. Further, it engages in the provision of software and systems for VOD and live streaming platforms and players; news gathering, reporting, and production of information, sports programs, etc.; gathering and analysis of international media news; shooting, engineering; 3D computer graphics; services to program and technology production, clerical, and management duties; e-commerce, esports, and talent production agency businesses; contractual production; and influencers network and production business. The company was incorporated in 1952 and is based in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Nippon Television Holdings reported revenue of $487B in FY2026 versus $406B in FY2022, a compound +4.7%/yr. Reported net income was $57.1B in FY2026, compounding +4.8%/yr from FY2022.
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Peer Group
Broadcasting · 69 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Broadcasting median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Broadcasting stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nexstar Media Group NXST | $183.71 | $78.52 | -57% |
| SES S.A SESG | €7.46 | €15.46 | +107% |
| PT Elang Mahkota Teknologi Tbk, through its subsidiaries, EMTK | 505.00 IDR | 1,094 IDR | +117% |
| MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V MFEB | €3.64 | €5.38 | +48% |
| Jiangsu Broadcasting Cable Information Network Corporation 600959 | ¥3.07 | ¥1.14 | -63% |
| Sun TV Network Limited SUNTV | ₹489.20 | ₹586.58 | +20% |
| MBC Group 4072 | 20.06 SAR | 19.56 SAR | -2% |
| Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co 600037 | ¥7.13 | ¥3.64 | -49% |
| PT Surya Citra Media Tbk, SCMA | 206.00 IDR | 229.91 IDR | +12% |
| Zee Entertainment Enterprises Limited ZEEL | ₹92.61 | ₹53.22 | -43% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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