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Nippon Television Holdings (NPTVF) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $4.5B

NT Nippon Television Holdings logo Nippon Television Holdings NPTVF · US
Price$18.16
Fair Value$23.96
Upside+32.0%
Quality63/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 11.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.57% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/11)
Moderate moat 45/100
Evidence: High Range $17.21 – $33.11 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +0.7% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 32% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($17.21 to $33.11) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$24.73 $7.00 Fair Value $23.96 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.00 – $24.73 · fair‑value band $17.21 – $33.11 · the $18.16 price screens below the $23.96 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Nippon Television Holdings (NPTVF) currently trades at $18.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $23.96, implying the stock looks roughly 32.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Nippon Television Holdings generated revenue of $484B at a net margin of 11.7%. Revenue declined 2.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $88.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $17.21 (bear case) to $33.11 (bull case); at $18.16, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at 32%, NPTVF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $16.38 $21.08 $27.63 80
Rev-Margin DCF $16.83 $24.15 $32.19 74
ROIC Compounder $12.63 $14.24 $15.63 72
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $15.96 $20.91 $28.18 38
Owner Earnings $18.04 $23.76 $32.15 31
5Y Revenue Exit $16.83 $23.96 $33.10 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $17.63 $25.35 $34.30 41
5Y P/E Exit $20.38 $30.12 $40.21 38
10Y Revenue Exit $15.93 $22.07 $29.36 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $16.85 $22.98 $30.18 37
10Y P/E Exit $18.51 $26.09 $34.22 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $9.84 $19.46 $24.40 54
EPV $12.63 $14.24 $15.63 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $23.87 $31.82 $39.78 63
P/S Multiple $18.44 $24.59 $30.74 58
P/B Multiple $18.44 $24.59 $30.74 55
EV/EBIT $23.61 $30.68 $37.75 53
EV/EBITDA $21.14 $27.38 $33.62 54
EV/Revenue $18.49 $25.38 $32.27 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $12.68 $16.98 $25.35 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $16.38 $21.08 $27.63 80
Rev-Margin DCF $16.83 $24.15 $32.19 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $19.51 $19.89 $19.45 61
ROIC Compounder $12.63 $14.24 $15.63 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $17.21 $24.59 $31.96 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($25.38) versus Earnings-Based ($14.24). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $484B
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.0%
Net margin 11.7%
Return on equity 6.1%
Free cash flow $54.3B FY2026
P/E ratio 12.9
More key figures
Operating margin 12.0%
EPS (TTM) $1.41
Dividend yield 1.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -39.6%
Net cash $88.2B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 58
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 71
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 87
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Nippon Television Holdings, Inc. operates as a media and content company in Japan. The company engages in the production of broadcasting programs; digital broadcasting; technical production related to studios, live broadcasting, master technology, EJ news gathering, editing, postproduction, animations, etc.; and programming, content production, closed …

Full company description

Nippon Television Holdings, Inc. operates as a media and content company in Japan. The company engages in the production of broadcasting programs; digital broadcasting; technical production related to studios, live broadcasting, master technology, EJ news gathering, editing, postproduction, animations, etc.; and programming, content production, closed captioning, library, etc. It is also involved in sporting and NTV events; the management of NTV school; art design, and lighting and sound effects; design of sets, flip charts, and TV graphics; production of pamphlets, posters, etc.; intellectual property management; management of music publishing, CD master, and merchandising rights; production CDs and DVDs; rental of recording studios; and operation of fitness clubs, museums, and insurance agencies. In addition, the company engages in the production and construction of exhibitions, sales promotion events, international sports events, theme parks, amusement facilities, national ceremonies, etc.; production of program-related merchandise goods; construction management, printing, and renewable energy business; ICT, development of apps for business, web development, video streaming, infrastructure solutions, and advertising; production of animation, TV programs, commercial films, graphic designs, illustrations, characters, and other content; copyright management; and internet content streaming. Further, it engages in the provision of software and systems for VOD and live streaming platforms and players; news gathering, reporting, and production of information, sports programs, etc.; gathering and analysis of international media news; shooting, engineering; 3D computer graphics; services to program and technology production, clerical, and management duties; e-commerce, esports, and talent production agency businesses; contractual production; and influencers network and production business. The company was incorporated in 1952 and is based in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Nippon Television Holdings reported revenue of $487B in FY2026 versus $406B in FY2022, a compound +4.7%/yr. Reported net income was $57.1B in FY2026, compounding +4.8%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 73/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$487B
Latest YoY
+5.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+4.5%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y)
+2.7%
Revenue +4.7%/yr
FY22 $406B
FY23 $414B
FY24 $424B
FY25 $462B
FY26 $487B
Net income +4.8%/yr
FY22 $47.4B
FY23 $34.1B
FY24 $34.7B
FY25 $46.0B
FY26 $57.1B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nippon Television Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NPTVF

Peer Group

Broadcasting · 69 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +32% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.6% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Broadcasting median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.9× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 76 · sector 36
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 24 · sector 3
HEALTH 100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 31 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Broadcasting stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nexstar Media Group NXST $183.71 $78.52 -57%
SES S.A SESG €7.46 €15.46 +107%
PT Elang Mahkota Teknologi Tbk, through its subsidiaries, EMTK 505.00 IDR 1,094 IDR +117%
MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V MFEB €3.64 €5.38 +48%
Jiangsu Broadcasting Cable Information Network Corporation 600959 ¥3.07 ¥1.14 -63%
Sun TV Network Limited SUNTV ₹489.20 ₹586.58 +20%
MBC Group 4072 20.06 SAR 19.56 SAR -2%
Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co 600037 ¥7.13 ¥3.64 -49%
PT Surya Citra Media Tbk, SCMA 206.00 IDR 229.91 IDR +12%
Zee Entertainment Enterprises Limited ZEEL ₹92.61 ₹53.22 -43%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nippon Television Holdings (NPTVF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $23.96 versus a price of $18.16, about +32% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NPTVF?
Our model-based fair value for Nippon Television Holdings is $23.96 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $18.16.
What is the quality score of NPTVF?
Nippon Television Holdings has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Nippon Television Holdings (NPTVF)?
Nippon Television Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $484B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NPTVF?
The net profit margin of Nippon Television Holdings is about 11.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Nippon Television Holdings pay a dividend?
Nippon Television Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.57% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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