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SES S.A (SESG) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · FR · Market cap €3.1B

SS SES S.A SESG · PA
Price€5.47
Fair Value€15.46
Upside+182.9%
Quality45/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -4.7% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/14)
Narrow moat 28/100
Evidence: High Range €5.32 – €18.88 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from €15.57 to €15.46 (−0.7%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −30.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 183% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (€5.32 to €18.88). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (45/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€9.89 €2.54 Fair Value €15.46 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €2.54 – €9.89 · fair‑value band €5.32 – €18.88 · the €5.47 price screens below the €15.46 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

SES S.A (SESG) currently trades at €5.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €15.46, implying the stock looks roughly 182.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, SES S.A generated revenue of €3.0B at a net margin of -4.7%. Revenue grew 66.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.0%. Net debt stands at €5.9B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €5.32 (bear case) to €18.88 (bull case); at €5.47, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at 183%, SESG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM €5.27 €7.93 €10.68 70
DDM Multi-Stage €5.27 €7.45 €9.82 61
EV/EBITDA €14.08 €23.05 €32.03 54
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings €1.55 €6.93 31
5Y EBITDA Exit €4.20 €15.33 €27.73 41
10Y EBITDA Exit €0.0500 €8.37 €18.60 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €5.27 €7.93 €10.68 70
DDM Multi-Stage €5.27 €7.45 €9.82 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA €14.08 €23.05 €32.03 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €3.80 €5.09 €7.60 50

Widest divergence: Multiples (€23.05) versus Asset-Based (€5.09). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €3.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) +66.4%
Net margin -4.7%
Return on equity -3.0%
Free cash flow €229M FY2025
Operating margin 11.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €-0.3600
EPS growth (YoY) +1,796%
Net debt €5.9B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 10
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 47
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 9
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 64
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 43
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 21
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

SES S.A. provides satellite-based data transmission capacity and ancillary services worldwide. The company offers content connectivity solutions, including network spanning satellite and ground infrastructure to create, deliver, and manage video and data solutions.

Full company description

SES S.A. provides satellite-based data transmission capacity and ancillary services worldwide. The company offers content connectivity solutions, including network spanning satellite and ground infrastructure to create, deliver, and manage video and data solutions. It also provides data connectivity services through its fleet of geostationary earth orbit and medium earth orbit satellites, and ground infrastructures to the aviation, media and broadcast, cloud, cruise, energy, government, maritime, and telco and mobile network operator industries. In addition, the company provides linear video aggregation and distribution to direct-to-home, direct-to-cable, and internet protocol TV homes; channel management solutions comprising playout; and capacity, live feeds and redundancy features for sports and events organizations. It serves broadcasters, platform operators, and content owners. The company was formerly known as SES Global SA and changed its name to SES S.A. in December 2006. SES S.A. was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Betzdorf, Luxembourg.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

SES S.A reported revenue of €2.6B in FY2025 versus €1.8B in FY2021, a compound +10.7%/yr. Reported net income was −€95.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 46/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€2.6B
Latest YoY
+31.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+10.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.5%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y)
+2.9%
Revenue +10.7%/yr
FY21 €1.8B
FY22 €1.9B
FY23 €2.0B
FY24 €2.0B
FY25 €2.6B
Net income
FY21 €453M
FY22 −€35.0M
FY23 −€905M
FY24 €15.0M
FY25 −€95.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SES S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SESG

Peer Group

Broadcasting · 69 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside +183% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Revenue growth 66% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 2.10× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Broadcasting median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.39× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.23× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 15.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 6.9× · Cheaper than median
PEG 3.77× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 36
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 3
HEALTH 0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 47

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Broadcasting stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nexstar Media Group NXST $183.71 $78.52 -57%
PT Elang Mahkota Teknologi Tbk, through its subsidiaries, EMTK 505.00 IDR 1,094 IDR +117%
MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V MFEB €3.64 €5.38 +48%
Jiangsu Broadcasting Cable Information Network Corporation 600959 ¥3.07 ¥1.14 -63%
Sun TV Network Limited SUNTV ₹489.20 ₹586.58 +20%
MBC Group 4072 20.06 SAR 19.56 SAR -2%
Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co 600037 ¥7.13 ¥3.64 -49%
PT Surya Citra Media Tbk, SCMA 206.00 IDR 229.91 IDR +12%
Zee Entertainment Enterprises Limited ZEEL ₹92.61 ₹53.22 -43%
Sinclair, Inc SBGI $15.42 $4.29 -72%

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Frequently asked questions

Is SES S.A (SESG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €15.46 versus a price of €5.47, about +183% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SESG?
Our model-based fair value for SES S.A is €15.46 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €5.47.
What is the quality score of SESG?
SES S.A has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of SES S.A (SESG)?
SES S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €3.0B (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SESG?
The net profit margin of SES S.A is about -4.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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