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6128 (6128) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · Market cap HK$55.5M

6 6128 6128 · HK
PriceHK$0.0590
Fair ValueHK$0.0360
Upside-39.0%
Quality21/100
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Evidence: Low Range HK$0.0360 – HK$0.0419

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated today

Share price −13.2% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$0.4000 HK$0.0440 Fair Value HK$0.0360 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range HK$0.0440 – HK$0.4000 · fair‑value band HK$0.0360 – HK$0.0419 · the HK$0.0590 price screens above the HK$0.0360 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

6128 (6128) currently trades at HK$0.0590, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0360 — implying the stock looks roughly 39.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 21/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$138M. Revenue declined 35.5% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$196M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$138M
Revenue growth (YoY) -35.5%
Net margin -265%
Return on equity -227%
Free cash flow −HK$51.0M FY2025
Operating margin -130%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0600
Net debt HK$196M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

6128 reported revenue of HK$138M in FY2025 versus HK$391M in FY2021, a compound −23.0%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$365M in FY2025.

Revenue −23.0%/yr
FY21 HK$391M
FY22 HK$341M
FY23 HK$292M
FY24 HK$188M
FY25 HK$138M
Net income
FY21 −HK$53.5M
FY22 −HK$69.7M
FY23 −HK$113M
FY24 −HK$111M
FY25 −HK$365M

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Similar stocks

6 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BHP Group BHP $85.78 $60.26 -30%
Rio Tinto Group RTNTF $129.57 $76.59 -41%
RIO RIO A$179.44 A$99.42 -45%
Grupo México, S.A. GMBXF $12.66 $9.58 -24%
CMOC Group CMCLY $148.88 $120.33 -19%
Vale S.A VALEN 260.19 MXN 124.80 MXN -52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 6128 (6128) undervalued?
As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0360 versus a price of HK$0.0590 — about −39% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 6128?
Our model-based fair value for 6128 is HK$0.0360 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.0590.
What is the quality score of 6128?
6128 has a Quality Score of 21/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of 6128 (6128)?
6128 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$138M (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.