Grupo México, S.A. (GMBXF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Grupo México, S.A. $9.85, price $12.85, upside -23.4%, quality 78 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Grupo México, S.A.
GMBXF · USGreat Company, Expensive PriceHigh Quality, but the stock trades above estimated Fair Value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.66 – $14.32 · fair‑value band $6.09 – $13.88 · the $12.85 price screens above the $9.85 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
Company profile
Grupo México, S.A.B. de C.V. produces copper worldwide. It operates through Mining, Transportation, and Infrastructure divisions. The Mining division is involved in the operation of underground and open pit mines, smelters, refineries, and other plants. This division also provides copper, silver, molybdenum, zinc, sulfuric acid, gold, and selenium products.
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Grupo México, S.A.B. de C.V. produces copper worldwide. It operates through Mining, Transportation, and Infrastructure divisions. The Mining division is involved in the operation of underground and open pit mines, smelters, refineries, and other plants. This division also provides copper, silver, molybdenum, zinc, sulfuric acid, gold, and selenium products. The Transportation division offers general and intermodal freight services by rail, passenger services, as well as auxiliary management services for terminals and intra-terminal hauls; and ground transportation and warehousing. The Infrastructure division engages in building infrastructure and industrial plants, and ocean and land drilling; provision of engineering services, drilling services for oil and water exploration, and energy production services; construction of infrastructure works, project engineering services; operation and highway conservation; real estate project development, and construction and administration of shopping centers. In addition, it is involved in operation of cycle plants and wind farm; generation of energy; and oil transportation. Grupo México, S.A.B. de C.V. was founded in 1890 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.
Stock analysis
Grupo México, S.A. (GMBXF) currently trades at $12.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.85, 23.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $10.67 per share, and 4 of the 26 models we run sit above the $12.85 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $2.00, and 22 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $6.09 (bear) to $13.88 (bull), the price of $12.85 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 78/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Grupo México, S.A. reported revenue of $19.4B in FY2025 versus $14.8B in FY2021, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was $5.4B in FY2025, compounding +7.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $97.6B · P/E ratio 18.1 · P/S ratio 5.02 · EPS (TTM) $0.7100 · Dividend yield 2.6% · Net margin 27.7% · Return on equity 25.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 19.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 76% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −23%, GMBXF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
Earlier news
- Is Grupo Mexico, S.A.B. de C.V. (GMBXF) Outperforming Other Conglomerates Stocks This Year?
- Grupo Mexico, S.A.B. de C.V. (GMBXF) Forms 'Hammer Chart Pattern': Time for Bottom Fishing?
- SAAVI ENERGÍA ANNOUNCES THE CLOSING OF THE MERGER TRANSACTION WITH GRUPO MÉXICO, S.A.B DE C.V.
- Grupo México (BMV:GMEXICO B) Stock Sees Modest Fair Value Lift As Analysts Raise Targets
Compare Grupo México, S.A. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 441 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Materials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 61.10 SAR | 67.21 SAR | +10% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥17.08 | ¥19.15 | +12% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹588.95 | ₹647.85 | +10% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥57.18 | ¥29.56 | −48% |
| Korea Zinc Company 010130 | 1,116,000 KRW | 646,063 KRW | −42% |
| Boliden AB BOL | kr 521.00 | kr 464.45 | −11% |
| Western Mining Co 601168 | ¥35.19 | ¥38.71 | +10% |
| Ivanhoe Mines Ltd IVN | C$12.06 | C$4.46 | −63% |
| Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549 | ¥46.90 | ¥23.62 | −50% |
| Vedanta Limited VEDL | ₹266.35 | ₹655.92 | +146% |
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Key figures of Grupo México, S.A.
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