Elm Company (7203) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · SA · Market cap 52.6B SAR
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 10 days ago
Share price −1.3% over the past month.
A strong business, but screening 31% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 75/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The model range is unusually wide (283.04 SAR to 1,136 SAR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.
How to read this chart
53‑month range 157.68 SAR – 1,239 SAR · fair‑value band 283.04 SAR – 1,136 SAR · the 678.00 SAR price screens above the 467.55 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.
Analysis
Elm Company (7203) currently trades at 678.00 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 467.55 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 31.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Elm Company generated revenue of 10.1B SAR at a net margin of 22.4%. Revenue grew 31.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 47.7%. Net debt stands at 791M SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 283.04 SAR (bear case) to 1,136 SAR (bull case); at 678.00 SAR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -31%, 7203 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (873.56 SAR) versus Asset-Based (31.16 SAR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Elm Company, together with its subsidiaries, provides information security services in Saudi Arabia. It operates through Digital Business, Business Process Outsourcing, and Professional Services segments.
Full company description
Elm Company, together with its subsidiaries, provides information security services in Saudi Arabia. It operates through Digital Business, Business Process Outsourcing, and Professional Services segments. The company provides integrated technology business solutions; advisory and professional services in data analysis and artificial intelligence; installation, maintenance, and support services; consultation services; computer system programming and consultancy; information technology services; data processing; and website hosting services. It also engages in the establishment, development, operation, and management of communications and information technology facilities; management of call and service centers; investment activities; and retail sale of information and communication equipment in specialized stores. In addition, the company offers system analysis; software maintenance and web page design; customer service; financial technology solutions; cybersecurity; research and development; bus transport of passengers between cities; catering; inspection services for systems; marketing services; reservation services for tourist accommodation units; and reception and farewell services for pilgrims. Further, it designs and programs software; develops applications; establishes infrastructure for hosting websites on the Internet; exchanges credit information; manages and operates data information centers; imports, develops, sell, and maintains hardware, software, information systems, and communication networks; and provides sites for buying and selling through the Internet, as well as training and workforce development services. The company was formerly known as Al-ELM Information Security Company. Elm Company was incorporated in 1988 and is based in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Elm Company reported revenue of 9.5B SAR in FY2025 versus 3.8B SAR in FY2021, a compound +25.4%/yr. Reported net income was 2.1B SAR in FY2025, compounding +38.6%/yr from FY2021.
7203 screens 31% overvalued. Compare with International Business Machines Corporation →
Peer Group
Information Technology Services · 475 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| International Business Machines Corporation IBM | $235.92 | $143.90 | -39% |
| Accenture plc ACNN | 2,460 MXN | 250.95 MXN | -90% |
| Infosys Limited INFY | ₹1,156 | ₹1,457 | +26% |
| HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH | ₹1,204 | ₹1,230 | +2% |
| Wipro Limited WIPRO | ₹178.43 | ₹226.81 | +27% |
| Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM | ₹1,455 | ₹1,086 | -25% |
| Samsung SDS Co 018260 | 199,300 KRW | 196,390 KRW | -1% |
| Persistent Systems Limited PERSISTENT | ₹5,059 | ₹2,364 | -53% |
| Hyundai Autoever Corporation 307950 | 393,000 KRW | 133,088 KRW | -66% |
| Coforge Limited COFORGE | ₹1,541 | ₹702.84 | -54% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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