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Future Data Group Ltd (8229) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · HK · Market cap HK$468M

FD Future Data Group Ltd 8229 · HK
PriceHK$0.8650
Fair ValueHK$0.3200
Upside-63.0%
Quality48/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -9.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 20/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.2700 – HK$0.3800 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price +0.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 63% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.3800). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$1.06 HK$0.1190 Fair Value HK$0.3200 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1190 – HK$1.06 · fair‑value band HK$0.2700 – HK$0.3800 · the HK$0.8650 price screens above the HK$0.3200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Future Data Group Ltd (8229) currently trades at HK$0.8650, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3200, implying the stock looks roughly 63.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Future Data Group Ltd generated revenue of HK$414M at a net margin of -9.5%. Revenue grew 14.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -29.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$54.1M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.2700 (bear case) to HK$0.3800 (bull case); at HK$0.8650, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 204% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at -63%, 8229 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.2900 HK$0.3300 HK$0.4000 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.2900 HK$0.3600 HK$0.4500 74
Gordon GGM HK$0.0800 HK$0.0900 HK$0.1000 70
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.2800 HK$0.3300 HK$0.4100 38
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.2900 HK$0.3500 HK$0.4500 39
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.2800 HK$0.3300 HK$0.3800 36
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.0800 HK$0.0900 HK$0.1000 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.0800 HK$0.1000 HK$0.1200 61
Multiples
EV/Revenue HK$0.3000 HK$0.3800 HK$0.4500 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1100 HK$0.1400 HK$0.2100 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.2900 HK$0.3300 HK$0.4000 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.2900 HK$0.3600 HK$0.4500 74

Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$0.3800) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.0900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$414M
Revenue growth (YoY) +14.7%
Net margin -9.5%
Return on equity -29.5%
Free cash flow HK$10.3M FY2025
Operating margin -6.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0300
EPS growth (YoY) +45.9%
Net cash HK$54.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 7
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 49
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 90
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 88
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 93
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Future Data Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides system integration and maintenance services in South Korea and Hong Kong. It offers integrated systems with network connectivity, cloud computing, and security elements. The company also engages in the development and distribution of non-fungible token; and metaverse business.

Full company description

Future Data Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides system integration and maintenance services in South Korea and Hong Kong. It offers integrated systems with network connectivity, cloud computing, and security elements. The company also engages in the development and distribution of non-fungible token; and metaverse business. It serves small and medium enterprises, multinational corporations, and government-owned entities. It has a strategic cooperation agreement with Bangning Network Technology Co., Ltd. to build an AI-driven intelligent brand operations and an omni-channel AI e-commerce operation platform. Future Data Group Limited was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Future Data Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$414M in FY2025 versus HK$721M in FY2021, a compound −12.9%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$39.2M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 18/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$414M
Latest YoY
−5.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−12.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−9.4%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.6%
Revenue −12.9%/yr
FY21 HK$721M
FY22 HK$618M
FY23 HK$482M
FY24 HK$438M
FY25 HK$414M
Net income
FY21 HK$7.3M
FY22 −HK$3.3M
FY23 −HK$16.4M
FY24 −HK$16.4M
FY25 −HK$39.2M

8229 screens 63% overvalued. Compare with International Business Machines Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Future Data Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8229

Peer Group

Information Technology Services · 490 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −63% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -6% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 15% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.3% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.51× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.14× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 5.8× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 33
FUTURE 74 · sector 30
PAST 0 · sector 35
HEALTH 98 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 25 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
International Business Machines Corporation IBM $235.98 $175.76 -26%
Accenture plc ACNN 2,460 MXN 300.07 MXN -88%
Tata Consultancy Services Limited TCS ₹2,350 ₹3,473 +48%
Infosys Limited INFY ₹1,176 ₹1,998 +70%
HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH ₹1,365 ₹1,722 +26%
Wipro Limited WIPRO ₹183.94 ₹314.26 +71%
Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM ₹1,625 ₹1,521 -6%
Samsung SDS Co 018260 235,500 KRW 235,321 KRW -0%
Persistent Systems Limited PERSISTENT ₹5,474 ₹3,259 -40%
Hyundai Autoever Corporation 307950 433,000 KRW 186,323 KRW -57%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Future Data Group Ltd (8229) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3200 versus a price of HK$0.8650, about −63% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8229?
Our model-based fair value for Future Data Group Ltd is HK$0.3200 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.8650.
What is the quality score of 8229?
Future Data Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Future Data Group Ltd (8229)?
Future Data Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$414M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8229?
The net profit margin of Future Data Group Ltd is about -9.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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