Genie Networks Limited (8298) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Genie Networks Limited stock TWD 4.36, price TWD 38.00, upside -88.5%, quality 55 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value 30%+ above price?No
Quality 50+?Yes
In an uptrend?Yes
Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with oneYes, for free
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 16.72 TWD – 55.89 TWD · fair‑value band 4.02 TWD – 4.99 TWD · the 38.00 TWD price screens above the 4.36 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 23, 2026.
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Genie Networks Limited provides networking and security solutions worldwide. It offers GenieATM, GenieATM FLB, GenieATM visual portal, GenieATM MSP server, GenieATM traffic optimizer, GenieAnalytics, and GenieAnalytics deep trace.
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The company also offers AI-enabled network security, data correlation for forensic insights, network traffic analytics, insight-driven optimization, DDoS protection, managed service enabling, and traffic data exploration solutions.
It serves Internet service providers, government organizations, academic institutions, and large-scale enterprises. Genie Networks Limited was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Taipei, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Genie Networks Limited (8298) currently trades at 38.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 4.36 TWD, 88.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 10.49 TWD per share, and 1 of the 11 models we run sit above the 38.00 TWD price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 0.9600 TWD, and 10 of the 11 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 4.02 TWD (bear) to 4.99 TWD (bull), the price of 38.00 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Genie Networks Limited reported revenue of 177M TWD in FY2024 versus 198M TWD in FY2020, a compound −2.7%/yr. Reported net income was 2.9M TWD in FY2024, compounding −32.2%/yr from FY2020.
Key figures
Market cap 974M TWD (≈ $29.9M) Micro · P/E ratio 9.2 · P/S ratio 2.94 · EPS (TTM) 4.15 TWD · Dividend yield 5.3% · Net margin 32.2% · Return on equity 41.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 104% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at −89%, 8298 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (0.9600 TWD to 66.02 TWD). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear4.02 TWDFair Value 4.36 TWDBull4.99 TWD
Price 38.00 TWD · Upside -88.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2024 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (2.15 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.27/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.4%
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−31.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−36.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.3%
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−22% → −1%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 5.3%/yr over ~6Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 344 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Above median
Fair Value upside−88.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)41.3% · Top 25%
Return on assets0.8% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)32.2% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−4.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)181.2% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)5.3% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)9.2× · Cheapest 25%
P/B3.45× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)2.94× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA7.9× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 22
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 59
PAST (return on equity)100· sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)100· sector 28
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Genie Networks Limited (8298) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 4.36 TWD versus a price of 38.00 TWD, about −89% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8298?
Our model-based fair value for Genie Networks Limited is 4.36 TWD (as of Oct 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 38.00 TWD.
What is the quality score of 8298?
Genie Networks Limited has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Genie Networks Limited (8298)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 4.36 TWD (as of Oct 23, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario 4.02 TWD, optimistic scenario 4.99 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Genie Networks Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 4.36 TWD, about −89% upside versus a price of 38.00 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 4.02 TWD, optimistic scenario 4.99 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Genie Networks Limited (8298)?
Genie Networks Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 331M TWD (latest available figure, as of Oct 23, 2026).
Does Genie Networks Limited pay a dividend?
Genie Networks Limited currently shows a dividend yield of 5.26% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Genie Networks Limited (8298)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Genie Networks Limited it is 4.36 TWD per share (as of Oct 23, 2026), against a price of 38.00 TWD. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Genie Networks Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 23, 2026, 8298 trades above its calculated fair value: price 38.00 TWD, fair value 4.36 TWD, a gap of about −89% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8298?
No. The price is what the market pays today (38.00 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (4.36 TWD). For Genie Networks Limited the two are 33.64 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Genie Networks Limited worth?
The market values Genie Networks Limited at about 974M TWD (market capitalisation, as of Oct 23, 2026). Per share that is 38.00 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 4.36 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8298?
Our models span a range for Genie Networks Limited: cautious scenario 4.02 TWD, base 4.36 TWD, optimistic 4.99 TWD per share (as of Oct 23, 2026, price 38.00 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 8298?
Genie Networks Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.2 (as of Oct 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 4.36 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.5, P/S 2.9, EV/EBITDA 7.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Genie Networks Limited (8298)?
Balance-sheet figures for Genie Networks Limited (as of Oct 23, 2026): return on equity 41.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8298 from its 52-week high?
Genie Networks Limited trades at 38.00 TWD, about 32% below its 52-week high of 55.89 TWD and 104% above the low of 18.60 TWD (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 4.36 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Genie Networks Limited?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Oracle Corporation, Palo Alto Networks, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Genie Networks Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 23, 2026: price 38.00 TWD, calculated fair value 4.36 TWD (−89%), Quality Score 55/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8298 calculated?
We run Genie Networks Limited through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 4.36 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Genie Networks Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Genie Networks Limited (8298)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was 38.00 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 4.36 TWD, about −89% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Genie Networks Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (4.99 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Genie Networks Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Genie Networks Limited (8298)?
The market capitalisation of Genie Networks Limited is 974M TWD (≈ $29.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Genie Networks Limited (8298)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Genie Networks Limited is 2.94 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Genie Networks Limited (8298)?
Earnings per share at Genie Networks Limited are 4.15 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Genie Networks Limited (8298)?
The dividend yield of Genie Networks Limited is 5.3% (payout 48.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Genie Networks Limited (8298)?
The net margin of Genie Networks Limited is 32.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Genie Networks Limited (8298)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Genie Networks Limited is 41.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Genie Networks Limited (8298)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Genie Networks Limited is 2.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Genie Networks Limited (8298)?
The operating margin of Genie Networks Limited is −4.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Genie Networks Limited (8298)?
Revenue at Genie Networks Limited is growing +181% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Genie Networks Limited (8298)?
Earnings per share at Genie Networks Limited are growing +110% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Genie Networks Limited (8298) generate?
The free cash flow of Genie Networks Limited is −17.7M TWD (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Genie Networks Limited (8298) hold?
Genie Networks Limited holds more cash than debt, 78.9M TWD net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Oct 23, 2026