Oracle Corporation (ORCL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Oracle Corporation is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Oracle Corporation
ORCL · USWeak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $57.97 – $324.63 · fair‑value band $82.49 – $173.04 · the $147.61 price screens above the $117.84 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 17, 2026.
Company profile
Oracle Corporation offers products and services that address enterprise information technology environments worldwide.
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Oracle Corporation offers products and services that address enterprise information technology environments worldwide. Its Oracle cloud software as a service offering include various cloud software applications, including Oracle Fusion cloud enterprise resource planning ERP, Oracle Fusion cloud enterprise performance management EPM, Oracle Fusion cloud supply chain and manufacturing management SCM, Oracle Fusion cloud human capital management HCM, and NetSuite applications suite, Oracle Health applications, as well as Oracle Fusion Sales, Service, and Marketing. The company also offers cloud-based industry solutions for various industries; Oracle cloud license and on-premise license; and Oracle license support services. In addition, it provides cloud and license business' infrastructure technologies, such as the Oracle Database and MySQL Database; Java, a software development language; and middleware, including development tools and others. The company's cloud and license business' infrastructure technologies also comprise cloud-based compute, storage, and networking capabilities; and Oracle autonomous database, as well as AI, Internet-of-Things, machine learning, digital assistant, and blockchain. Further, it provides hardware products and other hardware-related software offerings, including Oracle engineered systems, enterprise servers, storage solutions, industry-specific hardware, virtualization software, operating systems, management software, and related hardware support services, and consulting and advanced customer services. It markets and sells its cloud, license, hardware, support, and services offerings directly to businesses in various industries, government agencies, and educational institutions, as well as through indirect channels. Oracle Corporation has a strategic alliance with Metron, Inc. The company was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
Stock analysis
Oracle Corporation (ORCL) currently trades at $147.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $117.84, implying the stock looks roughly 25.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $117.84 per share, and 3 of the 14 models we run sit above the $147.61 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $54.46, and 11 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $82.49 (bear) to $173.04 (bull), the price of $147.61 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Oracle Corporation reported revenue of $67.4B in FY2026 versus $42.4B in FY2022, a compound +12.2%/yr. Reported net income was $17.1B in FY2026, compounding +26.3%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $430B · P/E ratio 26.0 · P/S ratio 6.60 · EPS (TTM) $5.67 · Dividend yield 1.4% · Net margin 25.4% · Return on equity 53.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 62 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −20%, ORCL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 14 models by family
Notify me when ORCL reaches fair value
Put ORCL on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.
Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 12
Revenue & earnings trend
ORCL screens 25% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →
Recent news
- Oracle (ORCL) Cloud Revenue Jumps 121% and its Backlog Hits $664 Billion. Can it Actually Deliver?
- Could Oracle's Debt Load Derail Its AI Cloud Ambitions?
Compare Oracle Corporation with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 377 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Information Technology sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $493.48 | $542.83 | +10% |
| Palantir Technologies Inc PLTR | $172.56 | $42.96 | −75% |
| Palo Alto Networks, Inc PANW | $375.09 | $114.50 | −69% |
| CrowdStrike Holdings CRWD | $242.49 | $34.64 | −86% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $172.37 | $164.92 | −4% |
| Synopsys, Inc SNPS | $378.47 | $177.06 | −53% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$109.44 | A$141.48 | +29% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $83.35 | $71.79 | −14% |
| Twilio Inc TWLO | $238.88 | $59.44 | −75% |
| NetApp, Inc NTAP | $191.49 | $154.83 | −19% |
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Frequently asked questions
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Key figures of Oracle Corporation
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