Fortinet, Inc (FTNT) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $118B
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +0.9% over the past month.
A strong business, but screening 72% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 80/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($92.19). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide ($34.23 to $92.19). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $39.41 – $168.29 · fair‑value band $34.23 – $92.19 · the $160.11 price screens above the $44.96 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Fortinet, Inc (FTNT) currently trades at $160.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $44.96, implying the stock looks roughly 71.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 80/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Fortinet, Inc generated revenue of $7.1B at a net margin of 27.5%. Revenue grew 20.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 132.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $34.23 (bear case) to $92.19 (bull case); at $160.11, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 128% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -53% fair-value upside, at -72%, FTNT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($81.44) versus Asset-Based ($1.13). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 76 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 82
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Fortinet, Inc. provides cybersecurity and convergence of networking and security solutions worldwide. The company offers FortiOS, a unified operating system designed to address cybersecurity threats; FortiASIC application-specific integrated circuit (ASIC)-based security processing units; FortiCloud, a private cloud software as a service platform; FortiAI, …
Full company description
Fortinet, Inc. provides cybersecurity and convergence of networking and security solutions worldwide. The company offers FortiOS, a unified operating system designed to address cybersecurity threats; FortiASIC application-specific integrated circuit (ASIC)-based security processing units; FortiCloud, a private cloud software as a service platform; FortiAI, which provides a dual-layered defense across the Fortinet Security Fabric; FortiEndpoint, which converges secure connectivity, endpoint protection, and capabilities into a single agent; and OT Security, which protect the engineered systems that underpin infrastructure and supply chains. It also provides secure networking solutions that focus on the convergence of networking and security; network firewall solutions comprising FortiGate data centers, hyperscale, and distributed firewalls; wireless local area network solutions; and secure connectivity solutions. In addition, the company offers the Fortinet Unified Secure Access Service Edge solutions that include firewall, software-defined wide-area network, secure web gateway, cloud access services broker, data loss prevention, and zero trust network access; and web application firewalls, cloud network security with virtualized firewalls, cloud-native firewalls, cloud-native application protection, and code security. Further, it provides AI-driven security operation solutions, which include a suite of cybersecurity solutions, as well as FortiEDR, FortiXDR, FortiNDR, FortiSandbox, FortiDeceptor, FortiDLP, and FortiRecon. Additionally, the company offers FortiGuard Labs, a cybersecurity threat intelligence and research organization; FortiGuard and Other Security Services, a suite of AI-powered security capabilities that consists of FortiGuard application, content, device, NOC/SOC, and web security services; and FortiCare technical support services. Fortinet, Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Sunnyvale, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Fortinet, Inc reported revenue of $6.8B in FY2025 versus $3.3B in FY2021, a compound +19.4%/yr. Reported net income was $1.9B in FY2025, compounding +32.2%/yr from FY2021.
FTNT screens 72% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- What Makes Fortinet (FTNT) a Strong Momentum Stock: Buy Now?
- Here is Why Growth Investors Should Buy Fortinet (FTNT) Now
Peer Group
Software - Infrastructure · 367 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 44/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $384.00 | $274.17 | -29% |
| Oracle Corporation ORAC | C$9.08 | C$2.94 | -68% |
| Palantir Technologies Inc 1PLTR | €112.86 | €12.03 | -89% |
| Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS | €381.50 | €118.28 | -69% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$114.53 | A$70.69 | -38% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $79.94 | $44.89 | -44% |
| Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 | ¥71.60 | ¥34.00 | -53% |
| Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS | ₹11,651 | ₹5,821 | -50% |
| One97 Communications Limited PAYTM | ₹1,342 | ₹181.50 | -86% |
| Sangfor Technologies Inc 300454 | ¥88.80 | ¥16.46 | -81% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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