Expert Systems Holdings Ltd (8319) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Expert Systems Holdings Ltd HK$0.15, price HK$0.10, upside +47.1%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Expert Systems Holdings Ltd
8319 · HKUndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0720 – HK$0.1450 · fair‑value band HK$0.1500 – HK$0.1700 · the HK$0.1020 price screens below the HK$0.1500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Company profile
Expert Systems Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides information technology (IT) infrastructure solutions, IT infrastructure management services, and develops artificial intelligence (AI) products and services.
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Expert Systems Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides information technology (IT) infrastructure solutions, IT infrastructure management services, and develops artificial intelligence (AI) products and services. It offers infrastructure and cloud products, such as system/server/storage, next gen/HCI, high performance computing, software defined data center, middleware, and application software products; cyber security and networking products, including data and cloud security, endpoint security, and networking products; application modernization products comprising AI, container orchestration, and DevOps products; and laptop/PC/workstation, printing/imaging, thin client, and mobility products. The company also provides IT life cycle; digital transformation; infrastructure solutions, such as capacity planning, virtualization, and backup and recovery; project management and deployment; maintenance and support; and consulting and application management services. In addition, it offers IT hardware maintenance, helpdesk, IT outsourcing and workflow automation services. The company serves corporate and institutional customers in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau, Singapore, and internationally. Expert Systems Holdings Limited was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Kwun Tong, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Expert Systems Holdings Ltd (8319) currently trades at HK$0.1020, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1500, implying the stock looks roughly 32.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$0.7500 per share, and 22 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$0.1020 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.0600, and 4 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.1500 (bear) to HK$0.1700 (bull), the price of HK$0.1020 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Expert Systems Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$1,000M in FY2026 versus HK$682M in FY2022, a compound +10.0%/yr. Reported net income was HK$3.9M in FY2026, compounding −29.1%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap HK$82.0M (≈ $10.4M) · P/S ratio 0.09 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0200 · Dividend yield 4.9% · Net margin 0.4% · Return on equity 1.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.7% · Operating margin −0.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 44% fair-value upside, at 47%, 8319 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Compare Expert Systems Holdings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Information Technology Services · 469 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Information Technology sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Hong Kong Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| International Business Machines Corporation IBM | $219.93 | $186.56 | −15% |
| Accenture plc ACN | $183.37 | $305.06 | +66% |
| Tata Consultancy Services Limited TCS | ₹2,082 | ₹2,993 | +44% |
| Infosys Limited INFY | ₹994.10 | ₹1,691 | +70% |
| HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH | ₹1,258 | ₹1,926 | +53% |
| Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation CTSH | $56.84 | $138.62 | +144% |
| Amadeus IT Group AMS | €53.48 | €65.98 | +23% |
| Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc BR | $163.77 | $159.88 | −2% |
| Fidelity National Information Services, Inc FIS | $33.35 | $32.72 | −2% |
| CDW Corporation CDW | $129.71 | $165.54 | +28% |
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