8383 (8383) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Market cap HK$44.8M
Fair value as of: Jul 3, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Share price +22.3% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range HK$0.1040 – HK$0.4200 · fair‑value band HK$0.1000 – HK$0.1800 · the HK$0.2800 price screens above the HK$0.1500 fair value. As of Jul 3, 2026.
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8383 (8383) currently trades at HK$0.2800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1500 — implying the stock looks roughly 46.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, 8383 generated revenue of HK$226M at a net margin of -13.2%. Revenue declined 35.3% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$161M. Fundamentals as of Jul 3, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2018 – FY2022 · reported fiscal years
8383 reported revenue of HK$271M in FY2022 versus HK$180M in FY2018, a compound +10.8%/yr. Reported net income was HK$5.9M in FY2022, compounding −4.4%/yr from FY2018.
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Similar stocks
6 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 3, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smurfit Kappa Group SMFTF | $44.20 | $27.40 | -38% |
| Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW | $38.95 | $62.16 | +60% |
| Packaging Corporation PKG | $234.03 | $123.93 | -47% |
| International Paper Company IP | $31.85 | $48.43 | +52% |
| Amcor plc AMCR | $40.43 | $18.79 | -54% |
| Ball Corporation B1LL34 | R$141.68 | R$105.09 | -26% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.