JTF International Holdings Ltd (8479) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of JTF International Holdings Ltd HK$0.57, price HK$0.48, upside +19.6%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2150 – HK$0.8100 · fair‑value band HK$0.4306 – HK$0.7176 · the HK$0.4800 price screens below the HK$0.5741 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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JTF International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in blending and selling fuel oil in the People's Republic of China. It also sells refined oil and other petrochemical products. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, the People's Republic of China.
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JTF International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in blending and selling fuel oil in the People's Republic of China. It also sells refined oil and other petrochemical products. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, the People's Republic of China. JTF International Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Thrive Shine Limited.
Stock analysis
JTF International Holdings Ltd (8479) currently trades at HK$0.4800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.5741, implying the stock looks roughly 16.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of HK$1.24 per share, and 18 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$0.4800 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.3300, and 6 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.4306 (bear) to HK$0.7176 (bull), the price of HK$0.4800 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
JTF International Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 1.5B CNY in FY2022 versus 1.9B CNY in FY2018, a compound −5.3%/yr. Reported net income was 31.7M CNY in FY2022, compounding +2.3%/yr from FY2018.
Key figures
Market cap HK$698M (≈ $88.9M) · P/E ratio 15.0 · P/S ratio 0.31 · Net margin 2.1% · Return on equity 9.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.2% · Operating margin 3.6% · Revenue (TTM) 1.6B CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 57% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at 20%, 8479 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.4306Fair Value HK$0.5741Bull HK$0.7176
Price HK$0.4800 · Upside +19.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.75/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.8%
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−5.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2017 to 2022 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 3%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 9.0%/yr over ~5Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−21.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −23.0% a year for the price.
Compare JTF International Holdings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Oil & Gas” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Energy · 976 stocks
Beats the sector median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Above median
Fair Value upside+19.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9.5% · Above median
Return on assets5.5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)2.4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)3.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth23.1% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Energy median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "JTF International Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8479
Frequently asked questions
Is JTF International Holdings Ltd (8479) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.5741 versus a price of HK$0.4800, about +20% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 8479?
Our model-based fair value for JTF International Holdings Ltd is HK$0.5741 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.4800.
What is the quality score of 8479?
JTF International Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for JTF International Holdings Ltd (8479)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.5741 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.4306, optimistic scenario HK$0.7176. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the JTF International Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.5741, about +20% upside versus a price of HK$0.4800 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.4306, optimistic scenario HK$0.7176. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of JTF International Holdings Ltd (8479)?
JTF International Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into JTF International Holdings Ltd (8479)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, JTF International Holdings Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -21.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -2.5 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 8479 use?
Our models discount JTF International Holdings Ltd at 13.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For JTF International Holdings Ltd that is -21.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has JTF International Holdings Ltd (8479) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at JTF International Holdings Ltd grew -2.5 % a year. The price currently implies -21.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of JTF International Holdings Ltd (8479) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +11.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into JTF International Holdings Ltd (-21.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of JTF International Holdings Ltd (8479)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 25.73 %: that much free cash flow JTF International Holdings Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of JTF International Holdings Ltd (8479)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For JTF International Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.5741 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.4800. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is JTF International Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 8479 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.4800, fair value HK$0.5741, a gap of about +20% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8479?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.4800); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.5741). For JTF International Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.0941 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is JTF International Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values JTF International Holdings Ltd at about HK$698M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.4800; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.5741 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8479?
Our models span a range for JTF International Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.4306, base HK$0.5741, optimistic HK$0.7176 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.4800). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 8479?
JTF International Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.0 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.5741 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.4, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 8.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of JTF International Holdings Ltd (8479)?
Balance-sheet figures for JTF International Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 9.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8479 from its 52-week high?
JTF International Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.4800, about 41% below its 52-week high of HK$0.8100 and 57% above the low of HK$0.3050 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.5741 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to JTF International Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value SHLPH, PXP, ANDHRAPET, PERC, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is JTF International Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.4800, calculated fair value HK$0.5741 (+20%), Quality Score 59/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8479 calculated?
We run JTF International Holdings Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.5741, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. JTF International Holdings Ltd currently trades 16 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of JTF International Holdings Ltd (8479)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was HK$0.4800. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.5741, about +20% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with JTF International Holdings Ltd right now?
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of JTF International Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of JTF International Holdings Ltd (8479)?
The market capitalisation of JTF International Holdings Ltd is HK$698M (≈ $88.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of JTF International Holdings Ltd (8479)?
The price-to-sales ratio of JTF International Holdings Ltd is 0.31 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of JTF International Holdings Ltd (8479)?
The net margin of JTF International Holdings Ltd is 2.1% (fiscal year 2022). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of JTF International Holdings Ltd (8479)?
The return on equity (ROE) of JTF International Holdings Ltd is 9.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of JTF International Holdings Ltd (8479)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of JTF International Holdings Ltd is 13.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of JTF International Holdings Ltd (8479)?
The operating margin of JTF International Holdings Ltd is 3.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at JTF International Holdings Ltd (8479)?
Revenue at JTF International Holdings Ltd is growing +23.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at JTF International Holdings Ltd (8479)?
Earnings per share at JTF International Holdings Ltd are growing +278% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does JTF International Holdings Ltd (8479) hold?
JTF International Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, 102M CNY net (fiscal year 2022). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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