Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp (SHLPH) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp PHP 10.98, price PHP 7.91, upside +38.8%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 4.57 PHP – 22.45 PHP · fair‑value band 10.91 PHP – 13.70 PHP · the 7.91 PHP price screens below the 10.98 PHP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
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Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp (SHLPH) currently trades at 7.91 PHP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 10.98 PHP, implying the stock looks roughly 27.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 12.67 PHP per share, and 13 of the 23 models we run sit above the 7.91 PHP price.
Bear case: the Growth Earnings group reads lowest at 3.90 PHP, and 10 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 10.91 PHP (bear) to 13.70 PHP (bull), the price of 7.91 PHP sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp reported revenue of 244B PHP in FY2024 versus 157B PHP in FY2020, a compound +11.6%/yr. Reported net income was 1.3B PHP in FY2024.
Key figures
Market cap 28.7B PHP (≈ $458M) · P/E ratio 21.2 · P/S ratio 0.11 · EPS (TTM) −5.90 PHP · Net margin 0.5% · Return on equity −3,258% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −5% fair-value upside, at 39%, SHLPH screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 10.91 PHPFair Value 10.98 PHPBull 13.70 PHP
Price 7.91 PHP · Upside +38.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.43/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.2%
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in PHP ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in PHP: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−7.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−7.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 3%
Compare Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Oil & Gas” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Energy · 973 stocks
Beats the sector median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Above median
Fair Value upside+38.8% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0.0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)0.5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.47× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Energy median · lower = cheaper
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Is Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp (SHLPH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 10.98 PHP versus a price of 7.91 PHP, about +39% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SHLPH?
Our model-based fair value for Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp is 10.98 PHP (as of Oct 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 7.91 PHP.
What is the quality score of SHLPH?
Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp (SHLPH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 10.98 PHP (as of Oct 1, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario 10.91 PHP, optimistic scenario 13.70 PHP. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 10.98 PHP, about +39% upside versus a price of 7.91 PHP (undervalued). Cautious scenario 10.91 PHP, optimistic scenario 13.70 PHP. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp (SHLPH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp it is 10.98 PHP per share (as of Oct 1, 2026), against a price of 7.91 PHP. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 1, 2026, SHLPH trades below its calculated fair value: price 7.91 PHP, fair value 10.98 PHP, a gap of about +39% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SHLPH?
No. The price is what the market pays today (7.91 PHP); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (10.98 PHP). For Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp the two are 3.07 PHP per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp worth?
The market values Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp at about 28.7B PHP (market capitalisation, as of Oct 1, 2026). Per share that is 7.91 PHP; our models calculate a fair value of 10.98 PHP per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SHLPH?
Our models span a range for Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp: cautious scenario 10.91 PHP, base 10.98 PHP, optimistic 13.70 PHP per share (as of Oct 1, 2026, price 7.91 PHP). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SHLPH?
Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.2 (as of Oct 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 10.98 PHP is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp (SHLPH)?
Balance-sheet figures for Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp (as of Oct 1, 2026): debt of 0.47 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SHLPH from its 52-week high?
Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp trades at 7.91 PHP, about 36% below its 52-week high of 12.40 PHP and 43% above the low of 5.52 PHP (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 10.98 PHP is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp?
From the same area (Energy) we also value PXP, JTF International Holdings, ANDHRAPET, PERC, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 1, 2026: price 7.91 PHP, calculated fair value 10.98 PHP (+39%), Quality Score 55/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SHLPH calculated?
We run Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 10.98 PHP, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp currently trades 28 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp (SHLPH)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was 7.91 PHP. Our model-based fair value is 10.98 PHP, about +39% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (10.91 PHP). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp (SHLPH)?
The market capitalisation of Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp is 28.7B PHP (≈ $458M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp (SHLPH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp is 0.11 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp (SHLPH)?
Earnings per share at Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp are −5.90 PHP (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp (SHLPH)?
The net margin of Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp is 0.5% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp (SHLPH)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp is −3,258% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp (SHLPH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp is 0.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
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