Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp (SHLPH) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · PH · Market cap 28.7B PHP
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 6.25 PHP to 11.28 PHP (+80.6%) since Jul 10, 2026.
A solid business, screening 34% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- Our model range runs from 8.47 PHP (bear) to 14.12 PHP (bull), base 11.28 PHP. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 55/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 4.57 PHP – 22.45 PHP · fair‑value band 8.47 PHP – 14.12 PHP · the 8.44 PHP price screens below the 11.28 PHP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp (SHLPH) currently trades at 8.44 PHP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 11.28 PHP, implying the stock looks roughly 33.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 21.2 (as of Jul 10, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 8.47 PHP (bear case) to 14.12 PHP (bull case); at 8.44 PHP, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 83% above its 52-week low. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 15% fair-value upside, at 34%, SHLPH screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (18.31 PHP) versus Growth Earnings (4.15 PHP). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp reported revenue of 244B PHP in FY2024 versus 157B PHP in FY2020, a compound +11.6%/yr. Reported net income was 1.3B PHP in FY2024.
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Peer Group
Energy · 1240 stocks
How this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Oil & Gas” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)
Valuation Multiples vs Energy median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indian Oil Corporation 530965 | ₹138.50 | ₹335.43 | +142% |
| 500104 500104 | ₹390.35 | ₹1,184 | +203% |
| 538567 538567 | ₹1,159 | ₹1,947 | +68% |
| PXP PXP | 2.48 PHP | 0.3200 PHP | -87% |
| JTF International Holdings 8479 | HK$0.6100 | HK$0.6700 | +10% |
| ANDHRAPET ANDHRAPET | ₹43.98 | ₹15.06 | -66% |
| PERC PERC | 4.19 PHP | 12.10 PHP | +189% |
| OV OV | 0.0080 PHP | 0.0082 PHP | +2% |
| Ratio Oil Explorations (1992) " Limited RATIL | 4.38 ILA | 3.98 ILA | -9% |
| Shell plc SHELL | 854.00 CZK | 980.26 CZK | +15% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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