PXP Energy Corp (PXP) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · PH · Market cap 10.1B PHP
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 0.3600 PHP to 0.3200 PHP (−11.1%) since Jul 10, 2026. Share price +18.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 89% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.4800 PHP). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (0.2400 PHP to 0.4800 PHP) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 2.00 PHP – 9.90 PHP · fair‑value band 0.2400 PHP – 0.4800 PHP · the 2.93 PHP price screens above the 0.3200 PHP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
PXP Energy Corp (PXP) currently trades at 2.93 PHP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.3200 PHP, implying the stock looks roughly 89.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Our scenario range runs from 0.2400 PHP (bear case) to 0.4800 PHP (bull case); at 2.93 PHP, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 15% fair-value upside, at -89%, PXP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
PXP Energy Corp reported revenue of 67.0M PHP in FY2024 versus 30.3M PHP in FY2020, a compound +22.0%/yr. Reported net income was −30.9M PHP in FY2024.
PXP screens 89% overvalued. Compare with Indian Oil Corporation →
Peer Group
Energy · 1240 stocks
How this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Oil & Gas” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)
Valuation Multiples vs Energy median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indian Oil Corporation 530965 | ₹138.50 | ₹335.43 | +142% |
| 500104 500104 | ₹390.35 | ₹1,184 | +203% |
| SHLPH SHLPH | 8.44 PHP | 6.25 PHP | -26% |
| 538567 538567 | ₹1,159 | ₹1,947 | +68% |
| JTF International Holdings 8479 | HK$0.6100 | HK$0.6700 | +10% |
| ANDHRAPET ANDHRAPET | ₹43.98 | ₹15.06 | -66% |
| PERC PERC | 4.19 PHP | 12.10 PHP | +189% |
| OV OV | 0.0080 PHP | 0.0082 PHP | +2% |
| Ratio Oil Explorations (1992) " Limited RATIL | 4.38 ILA | 3.98 ILA | -9% |
| Shell plc SHELL | 854.00 CZK | 980.26 CZK | +15% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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