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PXP Energy Corp (PXP) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of PXP Energy Corp PHP 0.39, price PHP 2.96, upside -86.8%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Thin data
Oct 2, 2026
PXP Energy Corp
PXP · PSEWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
Quality 50/100
Fair value 0.3900 PHP · Strongly overvalued (−86.8%)
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.6 %/yr in PHP)
Loss-making · -46.1% net margin (FY2024)
Trails peers (1/8)
Narrow moat 30/100
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 2.00 PHP – 8.59 PHP · fair‑value band 0.2900 PHP – 0.5900 PHP · the 2.96 PHP price screens above the 0.3900 PHP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
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Stock analysis
PXP Energy Corp (PXP) currently trades at 2.96 PHP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.3900 PHP, 86.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: 0.2900 PHP (bear) to 0.5900 PHP (bull), the price of 2.96 PHP sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
PXP Energy Corp reported revenue of 67.0M PHP in FY2024 versus 30.3M PHP in FY2020, a compound +22.0%/yr. Reported net income was −30.9M PHP in FY2024.
Key figures
Market cap 10.1B PHP (≈ $161M) · EPS (TTM) −0.1576 PHP · Net margin −46.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −27.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −5% fair-value upside, at −87%, PXP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.2900 PHP
Fair Value 0.3900 PHP
Bull 0.5900 PHP
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham)
0.3200 PHP
0.4300 PHP
0.6400 PHP
51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
0.3200 PHP
0.4300 PHP
0.6400 PHP
51
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
50/100
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Profitability
6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
18
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
59
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
66
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
0/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.6%
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−437.5% (2019) → −43.1% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
PXP screens overvalued: fair value 87% below the price. Compare with SHLPH →
Compare PXP Energy Corp with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Oil & Gas” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Energy · 973 stocks
Beats the sector median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its sector peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Energy median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Energy sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Energy
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Oil & gas
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SHLPH SHLPH | 8.20 PHP | 6.08 PHP | −26% |
| JTF International Holdings 8479 | HK$0.4800 | HK$0.6800 | +42% |
| ANDHRAPET ANDHRAPET | ₹38.82 | ₹16.96 | −56% |
| PERC PERC | 4.76 PHP | 13.74 PHP | +189% |
| OV OV | 0.0099 PHP | 0.0099 PHP | +0% |
| Saudi Arabian Oil Company 2222 | 25.28 SAR | 20.14 SAR | −20% |
| Exxon Mobil Corporation XOM | $162.75 | $90.40 | −44% |
| Chevron Corporation CVX | $204.38 | $92.05 | −55% |
| PetroChina Company 601857 | ¥11.21 | ¥15.47 | +38% |
| TotalEnergies SE TTE | €74.51 | €70.97 | −5% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is PXP Energy Corp (PXP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.3900 PHP versus a price of 2.96 PHP, about −87% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PXP?
Our model-based fair value for PXP Energy Corp is 0.3900 PHP (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2.96 PHP.
What is the quality score of PXP?
PXP Energy Corp has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PXP Energy Corp (PXP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.3900 PHP (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.2900 PHP, optimistic scenario 0.5900 PHP. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PXP Energy Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.3900 PHP, about −87% upside versus a price of 2.96 PHP (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.2900 PHP, optimistic scenario 0.5900 PHP. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of PXP Energy Corp (PXP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PXP Energy Corp it is 0.3900 PHP per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of 2.96 PHP. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is PXP Energy Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, PXP trades above its calculated fair value: price 2.96 PHP, fair value 0.3900 PHP, a gap of about −87% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PXP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (2.96 PHP); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.3900 PHP). For PXP Energy Corp the two are 2.57 PHP per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PXP Energy Corp worth?
The market values PXP Energy Corp at about 10.1B PHP (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is 2.96 PHP; our models calculate a fair value of 0.3900 PHP per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PXP?
Our models span a range for PXP Energy Corp: cautious scenario 0.2900 PHP, base 0.3900 PHP, optimistic 0.5900 PHP per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price 2.96 PHP). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is PXP from its 52-week high?
PXP Energy Corp trades at 2.96 PHP, about 24% below its 52-week high of 3.90 PHP and 44% above the low of 2.05 PHP (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.3900 PHP is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PXP Energy Corp?
From the same area (Energy) we also value SHLPH, JTF International Holdings, ANDHRAPET, PERC, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PXP Energy Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price 2.96 PHP, calculated fair value 0.3900 PHP (−87%), Quality Score 50/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PXP calculated?
We run PXP Energy Corp through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.3900 PHP, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. PXP Energy Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PXP Energy Corp (PXP)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was 2.96 PHP. Our model-based fair value is 0.3900 PHP, about −87% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PXP Energy Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.5900 PHP). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (0.2900 PHP to 0.5900 PHP) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of PXP Energy Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of PXP Energy Corp (PXP)?
The market capitalisation of PXP Energy Corp is 10.1B PHP (≈ $161M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of PXP Energy Corp (PXP)?
Earnings per share at PXP Energy Corp are −0.1576 PHP. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of PXP Energy Corp (PXP)?
The net margin of PXP Energy Corp is −46.1% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PXP Energy Corp (PXP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PXP Energy Corp is −27.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
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