AdNeo Limited (AD1) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · AU · Market cap A$11.8M

Below-average quality, and screening another 15% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0235). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Weak quality (21/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
• The models converge in a tight band (A$0.0208 to A$0.0235), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
• Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0130 – A$0.4400 · fair‑value band A$0.0208 – A$0.0235 · the A$0.0300 price screens above the A$0.0255 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

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Analysis

AdNeo Limited (AD1) currently trades at A$0.0300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0255, implying the stock looks roughly 15.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 21/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, AdNeo Limited generated revenue of A$7.3M at a net margin of -48.2%. Revenue grew 117.7% year over year. Net debt stands at A$3.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$0.0208 (bear case) to A$0.0235 (bull case); at A$0.0300, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -15%, AD1 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (A$0.2000) versus Multiples (A$0.0300). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

AdNeo Limited, a technology company, provides and delivers of software services and technology platforms through Software as a Service (SaaS) solution in Australia.

Full company description

AdNeo Limited, a technology company, provides and delivers of software services and technology platforms through Software as a Service (SaaS) solution in Australia. The company's solutions include ApplyDirect, which provides recruitment marketing platforms and related digital services; Jobtale that offers a purpose-built recruitment platform to create job ads to attract talent; and Art of Mentoring, which provides strategic mentoring programs that work to satisfy human connection; Oliver Grance, that specialized in digital product design and development, brand strategy, content creation, and user experience design, as well as other related supporting and consulting services. The company was formerly known as AD1 Holdings Limited and changed its name to AdNeo Limited in December 2024. AdNeo Limited was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Melbourne, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

AdNeo Limited reported revenue of A$4.9M in FY2025 versus A$5.3M in FY2021, a compound −2.3%/yr. Reported net income was −A$5.3M in FY2025.

AD1 screens 15% overvalued. Compare with International Business Machines Corporation →

Peer Group

Information Technology Services · 475 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.