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Adneo Ltd (AD1) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Adneo Ltd A$0.02, price A$0.02, upside +1.9%, quality 21 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Technology · AU · ISIN AU000000AD13

AL Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Adneo Ltd

AD1 · AU

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value A$0.0163 · Fairly valued (+1.9%)
!Quality 21/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +7.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -48.2% net margin (TTM)
!Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/6)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

A$0.4400 A$0.0130 Fair Value A$0.0163 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0130 – A$0.4400 · fair‑value band A$0.0147 – A$0.0163 · the A$0.0160 price screens below the A$0.0163 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

AdNeo Limited, a technology company, provides and delivers of software services and technology platforms through Software as a Service (SaaS) solution in Australia.

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AdNeo Limited, a technology company, provides and delivers of software services and technology platforms through Software as a Service (SaaS) solution in Australia. The company's solutions include ApplyDirect, which provides recruitment marketing platforms and related digital services; Jobtale that offers a purpose-built recruitment platform to create job ads to attract talent; and Art of Mentoring, which provides strategic mentoring programs that work to satisfy human connection; Oliver Grance, that specialized in digital product design and development, brand strategy, content creation, and user experience design, as well as other related supporting and consulting services. The company was formerly known as AD1 Holdings Limited and changed its name to AdNeo Limited in December 2024. AdNeo Limited was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Melbourne, Australia.

Stock analysis

Adneo Ltd (AD1) currently trades at A$0.0160, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0163, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 1.8%).

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0147 (bear) to A$0.0163 (bull), the price of A$0.0160 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 21/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Adneo Ltd reported revenue of A$4.9M in FY2025 versus A$5.3M in FY2021, a compound −2.3%/yr. Reported net income was −A$5.3M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$11.8M (≈ $8.2M) · P/S ratio 1.61 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0200 · Net margin −108% · Return on equity −245% · Return on assets (EBIT) −30.6% · Operating margin −52.7% · Revenue (TTM) A$7.3M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 36 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 44% fair-value upside, at 2%, AD1 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0147 Fair Value A$0.0163 Bull A$0.0163
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0300 67
All 1 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0300 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 21/100

Of which business quality 20 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 6
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 31
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 29/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +21.8% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−70.0% (2020) → −33.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Information Technology Services · 464 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 20 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +1.9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −20.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −48.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −52.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 117.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)36 · sector 43
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 29
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 35
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 43

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
International Business Machines Corporation IBM $219.93 $186.56 −15%
Accenture plc ACN $183.37 $305.06 +66%
Tata Consultancy Services Limited TCS ₹2,082 ₹2,993 +44%
Infosys Limited INFY ₹994.10 ₹1,691 +70%
HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH ₹1,243 ₹1,926 +55%
Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation CTSH $56.84 $138.62 +144%
Amadeus IT Group AMS €52.80 €65.98 +25%
Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc BR $161.15 $159.88 −1%
Fidelity National Information Services, Inc FIS $33.35 $32.72 −2%
CDW Corporation CDW $129.71 $165.54 +28%

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Adneo Ltd · Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Adneo Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AD1

Frequently asked questions

Is Adneo Ltd (AD1) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0163 versus a price of A$0.0160, about +2% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of AD1?
Our model-based fair value for Adneo Ltd is A$0.0163 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0160.
What is the quality score of AD1?
Adneo Ltd has a Quality Score of 21/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Adneo Ltd (AD1)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0163 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0147, optimistic scenario A$0.0163. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Adneo Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0163, about +2% upside versus a price of A$0.0160 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario A$0.0147, optimistic scenario A$0.0163. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Adneo Ltd (AD1)?
Adneo Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$7.3M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Adneo Ltd (AD1)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Adneo Ltd it is A$0.0163 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of A$0.0160. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Adneo Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, AD1 trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.0160, fair value A$0.0163, a gap of about +2% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AD1?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0160); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0163). For Adneo Ltd the two are A$0.0003 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Adneo Ltd worth?
The market values Adneo Ltd at about A$11.8M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0160; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0163 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AD1?
Our models span a range for Adneo Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0147, base A$0.0163, optimistic A$0.0163 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price A$0.0160). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Adneo Ltd (AD1)?
Balance-sheet figures for Adneo Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 21/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AD1 from its 52-week high?
Adneo Ltd trades at A$0.0160, about 63% below its 52-week high of A$0.0430 and 23% above the low of A$0.0130 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0163 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Adneo Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value International Business Machines Corporation, Accenture plc, Tata Consultancy Services Limited, Infosys Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Adneo Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price A$0.0160, calculated fair value A$0.0163 (+2%), Quality Score 21/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AD1 calculated?
We run Adneo Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0163, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Adneo Ltd currently trades 2 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Adneo Ltd (AD1)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was A$0.0160. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0163, about +2% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Adneo Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The models converge in a tight band (A$0.0147 to A$0.0163), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Adneo Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Adneo Ltd (AD1)?
The market capitalisation of Adneo Ltd is A$11.8M (≈ $8.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Adneo Ltd (AD1)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Adneo Ltd is 1.61 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Adneo Ltd (AD1)?
Earnings per share at Adneo Ltd are A$−0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Adneo Ltd (AD1)?
The net margin of Adneo Ltd is −108% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Adneo Ltd (AD1)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Adneo Ltd is −245% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Adneo Ltd (AD1)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Adneo Ltd is −30.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Adneo Ltd (AD1)?
The operating margin of Adneo Ltd is −52.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Adneo Ltd (AD1)?
Revenue at Adneo Ltd is growing +118% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Adneo Ltd (AD1) generate?
The free cash flow of Adneo Ltd is −A$530K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Adneo Ltd (AD1) carry?
The net debt of Adneo Ltd is A$3.5M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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