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ADX Energy Ltd (ADX) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · AU · Market cap A$23.4M

AE ADX Energy Ltd ADX · AU
PriceA$0.0260
Fair ValueA$0.0218
Upside-16.0%
Quality80/100
Evidence: Low

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 26, 2026 — revised from A$0.0200 to A$0.0218 (+9.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −7.7% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

A$0.0423 A$0.0238 Fair Value A$0.0218 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range A$0.0238 – A$0.0423 · the A$0.0260 price screens above the A$0.0218 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

ADX Energy Ltd (ADX) currently trades at A$0.0260, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0218 — implying the stock looks roughly 16.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 80/100 (high quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$10.8M. Revenue declined 18.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -69.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$2.0M. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$10.8M
Revenue growth (YoY) -18.8%
Net margin -109%
Return on equity -69.6%
Free cash flow −A$7.6M FY2025
Operating margin -144%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) A$-0.0200
Net cash A$2.0M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

ADX Energy Ltd engages in the exploration, appraisal, and production of oil and gas properties. The company operates through three segments: Sicily Channel Offshore Exploration and Evaluation; Romania Exploration and Appraisal/Development; and Austria Production, Appraisal/Development and Exploration. It holds a portfolio of properties located in Austria, Italy, and Romania. The company was formerly known as Audax Resources Ltd. and changed its name to ADX Energy Ltd in June 2010. ADX Energy Ltd was incorporated in 1983 and is headquartered in Claremont, Australia.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

ADX Energy Ltd reported revenue of A$10.5M in FY2025 versus A$9.7M in FY2021, a compound +2.1%/yr. Reported net income was −A$11.8M in FY2025.

Revenue +2.1%/yr
FY21 A$9.7M
FY22 A$14.5M
FY23 A$12.9M
FY24 A$10.1M
FY25 A$10.5M
Net income
FY21 −A$4.2M
FY22 −A$2.3M
FY23 −A$4.1M
FY24 −A$7.9M
FY25 −A$11.8M

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Similar stocks

6 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CNOOC Limited 600938 ¥30.54 ¥28.25 -7%
COP COP $119.92 $88.68 -26%
COPH34 COPH34 R$50.30 R$38.44 -24%
YCP YCP €95.32 €91.80 -4%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $47.21 $70.51 +49%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $140.28 $106.89 -24%

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Frequently asked questions

Is ADX Energy Ltd (ADX) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0218 versus a price of A$0.0260 — about −16% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of ADX?
Our 21-model fair value for ADX Energy Ltd is A$0.0218 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.0260.
What is the quality score of ADX?
ADX Energy Ltd has a Quality Score of 80/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of ADX Energy Ltd (ADX)?
ADX Energy Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$10.8M (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ADX?
The net profit margin of ADX Energy Ltd is about -109.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.