Afentra PLC (AET) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Afentra PLC £0.31, price £0.68, upside -54.3%, quality 25 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.0935 – £0.8690 · fair‑value band £0.2500 – £0.3700 · the £0.6790 price screens above the £0.3100 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
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Afentra plc, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an upstream oil and gas company primarily in Africa. The company is involved in the appraisal, exploration, development, and production of oil and gas. It holds 34 % interest in an exploration project in the onshore Odewayne block onshore located in Somaliland.
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Afentra plc, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an upstream oil and gas company primarily in Africa. The company is involved in the appraisal, exploration, development, and production of oil and gas. It holds 34 % interest in an exploration project in the onshore Odewayne block onshore located in Somaliland. The company holds a 30 % non-operated interest in the producing Block 3/05 in Offshore Angola; a 21.33 % non-operated interest in the adjacent development Block 3/05A in the Lower Congo Basin; and a 40% non-operating interest in the exploration Block 23 in the Kwanza Basin. Further, it holds 45% non-operated interest in the prospective Block KON19 and KON15 located in the western part of the Onshore Kwanza Basin. Afentra plc was formerly known as Sterling Energy plc and changed its name to Afentra plc in May 2021. The company was incorporated in 1983 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Afentra PLC (AET) currently trades at £0.6790, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.3100, 54.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of £0.7900 per share, and 2 of the 6 models we run sit above the £0.6790 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at £0.1800, and 4 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: £0.2500 (bear) to £0.3700 (bull), the price of £0.6790 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Afentra PLC reported revenue of $117M in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$3.3M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 184M GBX · P/S ratio 1.20 · EPS (TTM) £−0.0300 · Net margin −2.8% · Return on equity −8.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.4% · Operating margin 25.3% · Revenue (TTM) $153M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 80% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −54%, AET screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear £0.2500Fair Value £0.3100Bull £0.3700
Price £0.6790 · Upside -54.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Revenue growth 1 year
−35.4%
Revenue growth 31 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−558.1% (2018) → 25.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 279 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score25 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−54.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets8.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)−6.8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)25.3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth75.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.22× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
P/B2.59× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)1.58× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA4.4× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 84
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)89· sector 85
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 70
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Afentra PLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AET
Frequently asked questions
Is Afentra PLC (AET) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.3100 versus a price of £0.6790, about −54% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AET?
Our model-based fair value for Afentra PLC is £0.3100 (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £0.6790.
What is the quality score of AET?
Afentra PLC has a Quality Score of 25/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Afentra PLC (AET)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £0.3100 (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario £0.2500, optimistic scenario £0.3700. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Afentra PLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £0.3100, about −54% upside versus a price of £0.6790 (overvalued). Cautious scenario £0.2500, optimistic scenario £0.3700. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Afentra PLC (AET)?
Afentra PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $153M (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Afentra PLC (AET)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Afentra PLC it is £0.3100 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of £0.6790. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Afentra PLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, AET trades above its calculated fair value: price £0.6790, fair value £0.3100, a gap of about −54% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AET?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£0.6790); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£0.3100). For Afentra PLC the two are £0.3690 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Afentra PLC worth?
The market values Afentra PLC at about 184M GBX (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is £0.6790; our models calculate a fair value of £0.3100 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AET?
Our models span a range for Afentra PLC: cautious scenario £0.2500, base £0.3100, optimistic £0.3700 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price £0.6790). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Afentra PLC (AET)?
Balance-sheet figures for Afentra PLC (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity −8.7%, debt of 0.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 25/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AET from its 52-week high?
Afentra PLC trades at £0.6790, about 22% below its 52-week high of £0.8690 and 80% above the low of £0.3770 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £0.3100 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Afentra PLC?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Afentra PLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price £0.6790, calculated fair value £0.3100 (−54%), Quality Score 25/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AET calculated?
We run Afentra PLC through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £0.3100, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Afentra PLC itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Afentra PLC (AET)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was £0.6790. Our model-based fair value is £0.3100, about −54% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Afentra PLC right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£0.3700). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (25/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Afentra PLC
How large is the market capitalisation of Afentra PLC (AET)?
The market capitalisation of Afentra PLC is 184M GBX. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Afentra PLC (AET)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Afentra PLC is 1.20 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Afentra PLC (AET)?
Earnings per share at Afentra PLC are £−0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Afentra PLC (AET)?
The net margin of Afentra PLC is −2.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Afentra PLC (AET)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Afentra PLC is −8.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Afentra PLC (AET)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Afentra PLC is 4.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Afentra PLC (AET)?
The operating margin of Afentra PLC is 25.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Afentra PLC (AET)?
Revenue at Afentra PLC is growing +75.0% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Afentra PLC (AET)?
Earnings per share at Afentra PLC are growing −76.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Afentra PLC (AET) generate?
The free cash flow of Afentra PLC is −$25.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Afentra PLC (AET) carry?
The net debt of Afentra PLC is $21.8M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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