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C3.ai, Inc. (AI1) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of C3.ai, Inc. MXN 62.18, price MXN 202, upside -69.2%, quality 27 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Technology · MX · Home US

CA Thin data Sep 24, 2026

C3.ai, Inc.

AI1 · MX

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 62.18 MXN · Strongly overvalued (−69.2%)
!Quality 27/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +6.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -188.0% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/8)
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

1,385 MXN 137.77 MXN Fair Value 62.18 MXN Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 137.77 MXN – 1,385 MXN · fair‑value band 41.04 MXN – 77.73 MXN · the 201.61 MXN price screens above the 62.18 MXN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

C3.ai, Inc. operates as an enterprise artificial intelligence application software company.

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C3.ai, Inc. operates as an enterprise artificial intelligence application software company. The company offers C3 agentic AI platform, an application development and runtime environment that enables customers to design, develop, and deploy enterprise AI applications; C3 AI CRM Suite, a customer relationship management solution; C3 Generative AI that enables to locate, retrieve, present information, disparate data stores, applications, and enterprise information systems; C3 AI Health Suite to accelerate healthcare innovation; and C3 AI Financial Services Suite. Its C3 AI Applications include C3 AI Asset Performance suite, which consists of C3 AI Reliability, C3 AI Process Optimization, and C3 AI Energy Management applications. The company's C3 AI Supply Chain Suite comprises C3 AI Supply Network Risk, C3 AI Inventory Optimization, C3 AI Demand Forecasting, C3 AI Production Schedule Optimization, and C3 AI Sourcing Optimization solutions; C3 AI Sustainability Suite includes C3 AI ESG and C3 AI Energy Management applications to decrease greenhouse gas emissions; and C3 AI Defense & Intelligence Suite. It provides C3 AI State and Local Government Suite that includes various applications, such as C3 Law Enforcement for state, county, and municipal law enforcement agencies; C3 AI Residential Property Appraisal and C3 AI Commercial Property Appraisal for county property assessors and appraisers; and C3 Generative AI for Government Programs and C3 Generative AI for Constituent Services for federal, state, and local governments. It has strategic partnerships with Microsoft Azure, AWS, Google Cloud, McKinsey & Company, Baker Hughes, Booz Allen, and others. The company has a strategic alliance with SMX Group, LLC for the development of mission critical AI in the secure environments. The company was formerly known as C3 IoT, Inc. and changed its name to C3.ai, Inc. in June 2019. C3.ai, Inc. was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Redwood City, California.

Stock analysis

C3.ai, Inc. (AI1) currently trades at 201.61 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 62.18 MXN, 69.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: 41.04 MXN (bear) to 77.73 MXN (bull), the price of 201.61 MXN sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

C3.ai, Inc. reported revenue of $250M in FY2026 versus $253M in FY2022, a compound −0.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$470M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap 29.3B MXN (≈ $1.6B) · P/S ratio 96.3 · EPS (TTM) −58.68 MXN · Net margin −188% · Return on equity −63.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −33.0% · Operating margin −214% · Revenue (TTM) $250M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −69%, AI1 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 41.04 MXN Fair Value 62.18 MXN Bull 77.73 MXN
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) 39.03 MXN 52.31 MXN 78.07 MXN 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 39.03 MXN 52.31 MXN 78.07 MXN 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 3
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 20/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−35.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−32.9% (2021) → −194.9% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

AI1 screens overvalued: fair value 69% below the price. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 332 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −68.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −33.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −188.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −52.5% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.46× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 6.42× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $512.90 $564.19 +10%
Palantir Technologies Inc PLTR $187.05 $42.16 −77%
Oracle Corporation ORCL $137.30 $112.26 −18%
CrowdStrike Holdings CRWD $264.75 $37.31 −86%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $176.33 $164.68 −7%
Synopsys, Inc SNPS $434.94 $249.20 −43%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $87.12 $58.32 −33%
Block, Inc XYZ $74.04 $76.95 +4%
NetApp, Inc NTAP $204.41 $157.26 −23%
Okta, Inc OKTA $202.18 $142.12 −30%

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C3.ai, Inc. · Fair Value
62.18 MXN −69%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "C3.ai, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AI1

Frequently asked questions

Is C3.ai, Inc. (AI1) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 62.18 MXN versus a price of 201.61 MXN, about −69% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AI1?
Our model-based fair value for C3.ai, Inc. is 62.18 MXN (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 201.61 MXN.
What is the quality score of AI1?
C3.ai, Inc. has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for C3.ai, Inc. (AI1)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 62.18 MXN (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 41.04 MXN, optimistic scenario 77.73 MXN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the C3.ai, Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 62.18 MXN, about −69% upside versus a price of 201.61 MXN (overvalued). Cautious scenario 41.04 MXN, optimistic scenario 77.73 MXN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of C3.ai, Inc. (AI1)?
C3.ai, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $250M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of C3.ai, Inc. (AI1)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For C3.ai, Inc. it is 62.18 MXN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 201.61 MXN. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is C3.ai, Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, AI1 trades above its calculated fair value: price 201.61 MXN, fair value 62.18 MXN, a gap of about −69% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AI1?
No. The price is what the market pays today (201.61 MXN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (62.18 MXN). For C3.ai, Inc. the two are 139.43 MXN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is C3.ai, Inc. worth?
The market values C3.ai, Inc. at about 29.3B MXN (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 201.61 MXN; our models calculate a fair value of 62.18 MXN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AI1?
Our models span a range for C3.ai, Inc.: cautious scenario 41.04 MXN, base 62.18 MXN, optimistic 77.73 MXN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 201.61 MXN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of C3.ai, Inc. (AI1)?
Balance-sheet figures for C3.ai, Inc. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −63.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 27/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AI1 from its 52-week high?
C3.ai, Inc. trades at 201.61 MXN, about 44% below its 52-week high of 363.00 MXN and 46% above the low of 137.77 MXN (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 62.18 MXN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to C3.ai, Inc.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Oracle Corporation, CrowdStrike Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is C3.ai, Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 201.61 MXN, calculated fair value 62.18 MXN (−69%), Quality Score 27/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AI1 calculated?
We run C3.ai, Inc. through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 62.18 MXN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. C3.ai, Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of C3.ai, Inc. (AI1)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was 201.61 MXN. Our model-based fair value is 62.18 MXN, about −69% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with C3.ai, Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (77.73 MXN). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (41.04 MXN to 77.73 MXN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of C3.ai, Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of C3.ai, Inc. (AI1)?
The market capitalisation of C3.ai, Inc. is 29.3B MXN (≈ $1.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of C3.ai, Inc. (AI1)?
The price-to-sales ratio of C3.ai, Inc. is 96.3 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of C3.ai, Inc. (AI1)?
Earnings per share at C3.ai, Inc. are −58.68 MXN. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of C3.ai, Inc. (AI1)?
The net margin of C3.ai, Inc. is −188% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of C3.ai, Inc. (AI1)?
The return on equity (ROE) of C3.ai, Inc. is −63.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of C3.ai, Inc. (AI1)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of C3.ai, Inc. is −33.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of C3.ai, Inc. (AI1)?
The operating margin of C3.ai, Inc. is −214% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at C3.ai, Inc. (AI1)?
Revenue at C3.ai, Inc. is growing −52.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does C3.ai, Inc. (AI1) generate?
The free cash flow of C3.ai, Inc. is −$192M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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