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Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies (ALHGR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies stock €1.74, price €3.32, that is 47.6% below the price, quality 41 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials FR · ISIN FR0013451044

HG Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies logo Thin data Nov 2, 2026

Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies

ALHGR · PA
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 48% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Revenue last quarter +87% vs. a year ago.
Quality 41/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +101.7 %/yr in EUR)
Fair value €1.74 · Strongly overvalued (−47.6%)
Loss-making · -78.4% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/10)
Narrow moat 10/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€29.28 €3.08 Fair Value €1.74 Sep 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €3.08 – €29.28 · fair‑value band €1.30 – €2.60 · the €3.32 price screens above the €1.74 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 2, 2026.

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Company profile

Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies Societe anonyme designs, produces, distributes, and markets clinker-free decarbonized cement products in France. The company serves construction, exterior fittings, renewable energies, networks, floor treatment, waste processing, and agricultural markets.

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It also exports its products. The company was founded in 2014 and is based in Rives de l'Yon, France.

Stock analysis

Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies (ALHGR) currently trades at €3.32, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €1.74, 48% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: €1.30 (bear) to €2.60 (bull), the price of €3.32 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies reported revenue of €16.8M in FY2025 versus €2.4M in FY2021, a compound +63.1%/yr. Reported net income was −€14.8M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap €54.6M Micro · P/S ratio 2.76 · EPS (TTM) €−0.9900 · Net margin −78.4% · Return on equity −25.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.5% (5-year average) · Operating margin −90.4% · Revenue (TTM) €19.9M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −48%, ALHGR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €1.30 Fair Value €1.74 Bull €2.60
Price €3.32 · Downside -47.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) €1.30 €1.74 €2.60 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €1.30 €1.74 €2.60 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 37
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 44
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 48
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 24
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 15
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 61
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+27.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+96.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+101.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+93.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1,338.3% (2020) → −53.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

ALHGR screens overvalued: fair value 48% below the price. Compare with CRH plc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Materials · 257 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −47.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −14.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −78.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −90.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 86.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.41× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.98× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 2.74× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 30
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 13
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)80 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
China Jushi Co 600176 ¥27.45 ¥28.04 +2% vs ALHGR
Heidelberg Materials AG HEI €173.80 €177.45 +2% vs ALHGR
Holcim AG HOLN CHF 73.26 CHF 66.54 −9% vs ALHGR
Amrize AG AMRZ $41.87 $35.08 −16% vs ALHGR
CRH plc CRH $94.81 $75.09 −21% vs ALHGR
Vulcan Materials Company VMC $282.72 $132.92 −53% vs ALHGR
Martin Marietta Materials, Inc MLM $518.15 $214.62 −59% vs ALHGR
Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM ₹3,227 ₹1,245 −61% vs ALHGR
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹12,450 ₹4,721 −62% vs ALHGR
James Hardie Industries plc JHX A$39.20 A$10.28 −74% vs ALHGR

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Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALHGR

Frequently asked questions

Is Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies (ALHGR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €1.74 versus a price of €3.32, about 48% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ALHGR?
Our model-based fair value for Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies is €1.74 (as of Nov 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €3.32.
What is the quality score of ALHGR?
Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies (ALHGR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €1.74 (as of Nov 2, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario €1.30, optimistic scenario €2.60. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €1.74, about 48% lower versus a price of €3.32 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €1.30, optimistic scenario €2.60. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies (ALHGR)?
Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €19.9M (latest available figure, as of Nov 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies (ALHGR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies it is €1.74 per share (as of Nov 2, 2026), against a price of €3.32. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 2, 2026, ALHGR trades above its calculated fair value: price €3.32, fair value €1.74, a gap of about −48% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ALHGR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€3.32); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€1.74). For Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies the two are €1.58 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies worth?
The market values Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies at about €54.6M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 2, 2026). Per share that is €3.32; our models calculate a fair value of €1.74 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ALHGR?
Our models span a range for Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies: cautious scenario €1.30, base €1.74, optimistic €2.60 per share (as of Nov 2, 2026, price €3.32). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies (ALHGR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies (as of Nov 2, 2026): return on equity −25.1%, debt of 0.41 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ALHGR from its 52-week high?
Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies trades at €3.32, about 34% below its 52-week high of €5.04 and 8% above the low of €3.08 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €1.74 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value CRH plc, Holcim AG, Martin Marietta Materials, Inc, Vulcan Materials Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 2, 2026: price €3.32, calculated fair value €1.74 (−48%), Quality Score 41/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ALHGR calculated?
We run Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €1.74 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies (ALHGR)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was €3.32. Our model-based fair value is €1.74, about 48% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€2.60). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (€1.30 to €2.60) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies

How large is the market capitalisation of Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies (ALHGR)?
The market capitalisation of Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies is €54.6M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies (ALHGR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies is 2.76 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies (ALHGR)?
Earnings per share at Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies are €−0.9900. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies (ALHGR)?
The net margin of Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies is −78.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies (ALHGR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies is −25.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies (ALHGR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies is −7.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies (ALHGR)?
The operating margin of Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies is −90.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies (ALHGR)?
Revenue at Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies is growing +86.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +96.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies (ALHGR) generate?
The free cash flow of Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies is −€18.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies (ALHGR) carry?
The net debt of Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies is €24.3M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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