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Awilco LNG ASA (ALNG) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · NO · Market cap 819M NOK

AL Awilco LNG ASA ALNG · OL
Pricekr 3.25
Fair Valuekr 3.26
Upside+0.3%
Quality52/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -36.1% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: High Range kr 2.20 – kr 4.32 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 20, 2026, revised from kr 0.1400 to kr 3.26 (+2,228.6%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −8.7% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (kr 2.20 to kr 4.32) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 7.97 kr 1.23 Fair Value kr 3.26 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 1.23 – kr 7.97 · fair‑value band kr 2.20 – kr 4.32 · the kr 3.25 price screens below the kr 3.26 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Awilco LNG ASA (ALNG) currently trades at kr 3.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 3.26, implying the stock looks roughly 0.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Awilco LNG ASA generated revenue of 39.5M NOK at a net margin of -36.1%. Revenue declined 19.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -11.3%. Net debt stands at 213M NOK. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 2.20 (bear case) to kr 4.32 (bull case); at kr 3.25, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -39% fair-value upside, at 0%, ALNG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF kr 3.49 kr 10.25 80
Gordon GGM kr 20.26 kr 21.89 kr 24.22 70
DDM Multi-Stage kr 20.26 kr 24.22 kr 29.11 61
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 3.26 kr 10.94 38
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 1.63 41
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 0.6986 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM kr 20.26 kr 21.89 kr 24.22 70
DDM Multi-Stage kr 20.26 kr 24.22 kr 29.11 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 6.75 kr 9.08 kr 13.51 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 3.49 kr 10.25 80

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (kr 21.89) versus DCF Models (kr 3.26). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 39.5M NOK
Revenue growth (YoY) -19.8%
Net margin -36.1%
Return on equity -11.3%
Free cash flow 17.2M NOK FY2025
Operating margin -37.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) kr -1.04
EPS growth (YoY) -90.9%
Net debt 213M NOK FY2020

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 5
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 23
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 31
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 24
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

ALNG ASA, together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates liquefied natural gas (LNG) vessels in Norway. The company owns two 156,000 cbm TFDE membrane LNG vessels. It also provides technical management services. The company was formerly known as Awilco LNG ASA and changed its name to ALNG ASA in June 2026.

Full company description

ALNG ASA, together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates liquefied natural gas (LNG) vessels in Norway. The company owns two 156,000 cbm TFDE membrane LNG vessels. It also provides technical management services. The company was formerly known as Awilco LNG ASA and changed its name to ALNG ASA in June 2026. ALNG ASA was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Oslo, Norway.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Awilco LNG ASA reported revenue of kr 41.6M in FY2025 versus kr 59.6M in FY2021, a compound −8.6%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 11.2M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 35/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
41.6M NOK
Latest YoY
−38.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.1%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.2%
Revenue −8.6%/yr
FY21 kr 59.6M
FY22 kr 51.5M
FY23 kr 80.7M
FY24 kr 67.6M
FY25 kr 41.6M
Net income
FY21 kr 21.1M
FY22 kr 5.8M
FY23 kr 38.3M
FY24 kr 17.1M
FY25 −kr 11.2M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Awilco LNG ASA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALNG

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Midstream · 89 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Above median
Fair Value upside +0% · Top 25%
Return on assets -0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -36% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -37% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -20% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.5% · Below median
Debt / equity 1.32× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.70× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.22× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 5.1× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE34 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 44
PAST0 · sector 42
HEALTH34 · sector 56
DIVIDEND69 · sector 90

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Enbridge Inc ENB $51.44 $35.83 -30%
The Williams Companies, Inc WMB $73.70 $11.73 -84%
Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD $37.92 $24.74 -35%
TC Energy Corporation TRP C$88.72 C$24.53 -72%
Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI $31.73 $10.92 -66%
Energy Transfer LP, ET $20.95 $11.45 -45%
MPLX LP owns and MPLX $59.94 $36.42 -39%
ONEOK, Inc OKE $92.47 $58.62 -37%
Targa Resources Corp TRGP $268.67 $79.61 -70%
Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG $268.11 $199.99 -25%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Awilco LNG ASA (ALNG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 3.26 versus a price of kr 3.25, about +0% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ALNG?
Our model-based fair value for Awilco LNG ASA is kr 3.26 (as of Aug 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 3.25.
What is the quality score of ALNG?
Awilco LNG ASA has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Awilco LNG ASA (ALNG)?
Awilco LNG ASA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 39.5M NOK (latest available figure, as of Aug 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ALNG?
The net profit margin of Awilco LNG ASA is about -36.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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