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The Williams Companies, Inc (WMB) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $89.7B

TW The Williams Companies, Inc logo The Williams Companies, Inc WMB · US
Price$71.76
Fair Value$12.03
Upside-83.2%
Quality57/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 23.1% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
2.71% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
Wide moat 75/100
Evidence: Medium Range $8.79 – $21.03 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026

From 20 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Share price −4.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 83% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($21.03). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($8.79 to $21.03) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$78.82 $19.00 Fair Value $12.03 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $19.00 – $78.82 · fair‑value band $8.79 – $21.03 · the $71.76 price screens above the $12.03 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

The Williams Companies, Inc (WMB) currently trades at $71.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.03, implying the stock looks roughly 83.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, The Williams Companies, Inc generated revenue of $12.1B at a net margin of 23.1%. Revenue grew 9.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.7%. Net debt stands at $29.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $8.79 (bear case) to $21.03 (bull case); at $71.76, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -32% fair-value upside, at -83%, WMB screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $13.97 $18.50 $74.59 76
Rev-Margin DCF $9.15 74
ROIC Compounder $5.31 $9.91 $16.59 72
All 20 models by family
DCF Models
5Y Revenue Exit $10.69 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $11.25 $35.95 $64.22 41
5Y P/E Exit $13.89 $29.03 38
10Y Revenue Exit $5.90 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $2.02 $20.93 $45.42 37
10Y P/E Exit $5.91 $19.44 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $14.56 $37.30 $48.54 54
PEG = 1.0 $6.98 $9.98 $12.97 46
EPV $5.31 $9.91 $13.94 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $32.11 $42.81 $53.52 63
P/S Multiple $18.32 $24.43 $30.53 58
P/B Multiple $23.56 $31.42 $39.27 55
EV/EBIT $26.30 $42.49 $58.68 53
EV/EBITDA $31.51 $49.44 $67.38 54
EV/Revenue $2.14 $9.47 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.24 $7.02 $10.47 50
Growth DCF
Rev-Margin DCF $9.15 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $13.97 $18.50 $74.59 76
ROIC Compounder $5.31 $9.91 $16.59 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $25.03 $35.75 $46.48 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($35.75) versus Asset-Based ($7.02). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $12.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.0%
Net margin 23.1%
Return on equity 19.7%
Free cash flow $1.0B FY2025
P/E ratio 31.8
More key figures
Operating margin 33.6%
EPS (TTM) $2.28
Dividend yield 2.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +25.0%
Net debt $29.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 11
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 64
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

The Williams Companies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy infrastructure company primarily in the United States. It operates through Transmission, Power & Gulf, Northeast G&P, West, and Gas & NGL Marketing Services segments.

Full company description

The Williams Companies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy infrastructure company primarily in the United States. It operates through Transmission, Power & Gulf, Northeast G&P, West, and Gas & NGL Marketing Services segments. The Transmission, Power & Gulf segment comprises Transco, NWP, and Mountain West interstate natural gas pipelines, and their related natural gas storage facilities, as well as natural gas gathering and processing; and crude oil production handling and transportation assets in the Gulf Coast region. The Northeast G&P segment engages in the midstream gathering, processing, and fractionation activities in the Marcellus Shale region primarily in Pennsylvania and New York, and the Utica Shale region of eastern Ohio. The West segment consists of gas gathering, processing, and treating operations in the Rocky Mountain region of Colorado and Wyoming, the Barnett Shale region of north-central Texas, the Eagle Ford Shale region of South Texas, the Haynesville Shale region of northwest Louisiana, the Mid-Continent region that includes the Anadarko and Permian basins, and the DJ Basin of Colorado; and operates natural gas liquid (NGL) fractionation and storage assets in central Kansas near Conway. The Gas & NGL Marketing Services segment provides wholesale marketing, trading, storage, and transportation of natural gas for natural gas utilities, municipalities, power generators, and producers; asset management services; and transports and markets NGLs. The company owns and operates approximately 32,000 miles of pipelines. The Williams Companies, Inc. was founded in 1908 and is headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

The Williams Companies, Inc reported revenue of $12.0B in FY2025 versus $10.6B in FY2021, a compound +3.0%/yr. Reported net income was $2.6B in FY2025, compounding +14.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$12.0B
Latest YoY
+13.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+2.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+9.1%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y)
+3.4%
Revenue +3.0%/yr
FY21 $10.6B
FY22 $11.0B
FY23 $10.9B
FY24 $10.5B
FY25 $12.0B
Net income +14.6%/yr
FY21 $1.5B
FY22 $2.0B
FY23 $3.2B
FY24 $2.2B
FY25 $2.6B

WMB screens 83% overvalued. Compare with Enbridge Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The Williams Companies, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WMB

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Midstream · 86 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −83% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 23% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 34% · Above median
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 2.13× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 32.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 7.01× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 7.41× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 89.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 17.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 2.30× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 45 · sector 42
PAST 79 · sector 41
HEALTH 0 · sector 55
DIVIDEND 54 · sector 99

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Enbridge Inc ENB $56.46 $47.20 -16%
Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD $38.31 $24.74 -35%
TC Energy Corporation TRP C$97.79 C$42.00 -57%
Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI $32.54 $11.12 -66%
Energy Transfer LP, ET $19.91 $17.69 -11%
ONEOK, Inc OKE $93.52 $64.05 -32%
Targa Resources Corp TRGP $273.35 $79.61 -71%
MPLX LP owns and MPLX $57.17 $37.05 -35%
Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG $255.83 $211.18 -17%
Venture Global, Inc VG $13.80 $14.42 +4%

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Frequently asked questions

Is The Williams Companies, Inc (WMB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $12.03 versus a price of $71.76, about −83% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of WMB?
Our model-based fair value for The Williams Companies, Inc is $12.03 (as of Jul 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $71.76.
What is the quality score of WMB?
The Williams Companies, Inc has a Quality Score of 57/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of The Williams Companies, Inc (WMB)?
The Williams Companies, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $12.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of WMB?
The net profit margin of The Williams Companies, Inc is about 23.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 23.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does The Williams Companies, Inc pay a dividend?
The Williams Companies, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.83% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 20, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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