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Amcor plc (AMC) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · AU · Market cap A$24.4B

AP Amcor plc AMC · AU
PriceA$57.95
Fair ValueA$18.79
Upside-67.6%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range A$14.09 – A$23.49

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from A$18.33 to A$18.79 (+2.5%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price +14.5% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

A$66.94 A$47.52 Fair Value A$18.79 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range A$47.52 – A$66.94 · fair‑value band A$14.09 – A$23.49 · the A$57.95 price screens above the A$18.79 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Amcor plc (AMC) currently trades at A$57.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$18.79 — implying the stock looks roughly 67.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Amcor plc generated revenue of A$22.2B at a net margin of 3.1%. Revenue grew 77.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.7%. Net debt stands at A$14.2B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$22.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) +77.4%
Net margin 3.1%
Return on equity 8.7%
Free cash flow A$810M FY2025
P/E ratio 30.4
More key figures
Operating margin 8.6%
EPS (TTM) A$1.74
Dividend yield 4.9%
EPS growth (YoY) -11.7%
Net debt A$14.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Amcor plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of packaging products in Europe, North America, Latin America, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates in two segments, Global Flexible Packaging Solutions and Global Rigid Packaging Solutions. The Global Flexible Packaging Solutions segment develops and supplies flexible packaging products, including polymer resin, aluminum, and fiber based flexible packaging products to the food and beverage, medical and pharmaceutical, fresh produce, snack food, personal care, and other industries. The Global Rigid Packaging Solutions segment manufactures rigid packaging containers, closures, dispensing and pharma devices, and related products for the food and beverage applications. The company sells its products through its direct sales force. The company was incorporated in 1926 and is headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Amcor plc reported revenue of A$15.0B in FY2025 versus A$12.9B in FY2021, a compound +3.9%/yr. Reported net income was A$511M in FY2025, compounding −14.1%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +3.9%/yr
FY21 A$12.9B
FY22 A$14.5B
FY23 A$14.7B
FY24 A$13.6B
FY25 A$15.0B
Net income −14.1%/yr
FY21 A$939M
FY22 A$805M
FY23 A$1.0B
FY24 A$730M
FY25 A$511M

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Similar stocks

6 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Smurfit Kappa Group SMFTF $44.20 $30.87 -30%
Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW $41.28 $40.96 -1%
Packaging Corporation PKG $216.64 $122.66 -43%
International Paper Company IP $33.83 $70.52 +108%
Ball Corporation B1LL34 R$146.83 R$18.44 -87%
Avery Dennison Corporation A1VY34 R$405.00 R$217.71 -46%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Amcor plc (AMC) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$18.79 versus a price of A$57.95 — about −68% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of AMC?
Our 21-model fair value for Amcor plc is A$18.79 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$57.95.
What is the quality score of AMC?
Amcor plc has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Amcor plc (AMC)?
Amcor plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$22.2B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AMC?
The net profit margin of Amcor plc is about 3.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Amcor plc pay a dividend?
Amcor plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.87% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.