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Arras Minerals Corp. (ARK) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 2, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Arras Minerals Corp. stock C$0.10, price C$1.01, that is 89.9% below the price, quality 24 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials CA · ISIN CA04271V1058

AM Arras Minerals Corp. logo Thin data Nov 3, 2026

Arras Minerals Corp.

ARK · V
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 90% below what the stock costs today.

Fair value C$0.1020 · Strongly overvalued (−89.9%)
Quality 24/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (0/7)
Narrow moat 3/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$1.94 C$0.1250 Fair Value C$0.1020 Jun 2022 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

53‑month range C$0.1250 – C$1.94 · fair‑value band C$0.0680 – C$0.1275 · the C$1.01 price screens above the C$0.1020 fair value. As of Nov 3, 2026.

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Company profile

Arras Minerals Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, evaluation, and development of mineral properties Kazakhstan. The company explores copper and gold. It holds an option to acquire a 100% interest in the Beskauga project located in Kazakhstan.

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The company also holds 100% interest in the Elemes copper-gold porphyry project which consists of two exploration licenses which covers an area of 531.2 square kilometers located in the Ekibastuz; and Tay project covering an area of 118 square kilometers located in northeastern Kazakhstan.

Arras Mineral Corp. was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Stock analysis

Arras Minerals Corp. (ARK) currently trades at C$1.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.1020, 89.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: C$0.0680 (bear) to C$0.1275 (bull), the price of C$1.01 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Arras Minerals Corp. reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2022. Reported net income was −$11.0M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap C$141M (≈ $101M) Micro · EPS (TTM) C$−0.1000 · Return on equity −47.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −63.2% · Free cash flow −C$5.4M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 3 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 87% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at −90%, ARK screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear C$0.0680 Fair Value C$0.1020 Bull C$0.1275
Price C$1.01 · Downside -89.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) C$0.0800 C$0.1200 C$0.1500 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.0800 C$0.1200 C$0.1500 52

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 24/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 100
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 50
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 43
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

ARK screens overvalued: fair value 90% below the price. Compare with PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Precious Metals & Mining · 99 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 24 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −89.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −75.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 0.0% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 7.26× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Sibanye Stillwater Limited SBSW $8.74 $12.10 +38% vs ARK
China Gold International Resources Corp CGG C$30.98 C$42.48 +37% vs ARK
Hecla Mining Company HL $13.54 $14.88 +10% vs ARK
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp TFPM $28.87 $30.94 +7% vs ARK
Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A. BVN $26.85 $26.98 +0% vs ARK
International Gemological Institute Limited IGIL ₹398.25 ₹338.90 −15% vs ARK
Sino-Platinum Metals Co 600459 ¥16.11 ¥13.23 −18% vs ARK
Artemis Gold Inc ARTG C$36.14 C$15.82 −56% vs ARK
Perpetua Resources Corp PPTA $16.15 $5.16 −68% vs ARK
PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk AMMN 3,680 IDR 888.63 IDR −76% vs ARK

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Arras Minerals Corp.: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Arras Minerals Corp. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ARK

Frequently asked questions

Is Arras Minerals Corp. (ARK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.1020 versus a price of C$1.01, about 90% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ARK?
Our model-based fair value for Arras Minerals Corp. is C$0.1020 (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$1.01.
What is the quality score of ARK?
Arras Minerals Corp. has a Quality Score of 24/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Arras Minerals Corp. (ARK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.1020 (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.0680, optimistic scenario C$0.1275. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Arras Minerals Corp. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.1020, about 90% lower versus a price of C$1.01 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.0680, optimistic scenario C$0.1275. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Arras Minerals Corp. (ARK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Arras Minerals Corp. it is C$0.1020 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of C$1.01. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Arras Minerals Corp. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, ARK trades above its calculated fair value: price C$1.01, fair value C$0.1020, a gap of about −90% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ARK?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$1.01); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.1020). For Arras Minerals Corp. the two are C$0.9080 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Arras Minerals Corp. worth?
The market values Arras Minerals Corp. at about C$141M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is C$1.01; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.1020 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ARK?
Our models span a range for Arras Minerals Corp.: cautious scenario C$0.0680, base C$0.1020, optimistic C$0.1275 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price C$1.01). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Arras Minerals Corp. (ARK)?
Balance-sheet figures for Arras Minerals Corp. (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity −47.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 24/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ARK from its 52-week high?
Arras Minerals Corp. trades at C$1.01, about 48% below its 52-week high of C$1.94 and 87% above the low of C$0.5400 (as of Nov 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.1020 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Arras Minerals Corp.?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk, Hecla Mining Company, China Gold International Resources Corp, Sibanye Stillwater Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Arras Minerals Corp. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price C$1.01, calculated fair value C$0.1020 (−90%), Quality Score 24/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ARK calculated?
We run Arras Minerals Corp. through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.1020, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Arras Minerals Corp. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Arras Minerals Corp. (ARK)?
The closing price on Nov 2, 2026 was C$1.01. Our model-based fair value is C$0.1020, about 90% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Arras Minerals Corp. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.1275). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (24/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (C$0.0680 to C$0.1275) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Arras Minerals Corp.

How large is the market capitalisation of Arras Minerals Corp. (ARK)?
The market capitalisation of Arras Minerals Corp. is C$141M (≈ $101M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Arras Minerals Corp. (ARK)?
Earnings per share at Arras Minerals Corp. are C$−0.1000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Arras Minerals Corp. (ARK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Arras Minerals Corp. is −47.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Arras Minerals Corp. (ARK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Arras Minerals Corp. is −63.2% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Arras Minerals Corp. (ARK) generate?
The free cash flow of Arras Minerals Corp. is −C$5.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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