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Impala Platinum Holdings (IMPUY) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $10.8B

IP Impala Platinum Holdings logo Impala Platinum Holdings IMPUY · US
Price$12.19
Fair Value$17.16
Upside+40.8%
Quality45/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 7.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.77% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/11)
Moderate moat 51/100
Evidence: High Range $10.07 – $18.70 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $46.10 to $17.16 (−62.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +11.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 41% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (45/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($10.07 to $18.70) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$22.96 $3.05 Fair Value $17.16 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.05 – $22.96 · fair‑value band $10.07 – $18.70 · the $12.19 price screens below the $17.16 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Impala Platinum Holdings (IMPUY) currently trades at $12.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $17.16, implying the stock looks roughly 40.8% undervalued today. We read business quality at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Impala Platinum Holdings generated revenue of $104B at a net margin of 7.9%. Revenue grew 43.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.3%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 21.9. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $10.07 (bear case) to $18.70 (bull case); at $12.19, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 56% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at 41%, IMPUY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $20.12 $28.21 $43.81 80
Residual Income $73.48 $68.96 $49.38 76
ROIC Compounder $24.19 $26.30 $28.15 72
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $20.56 $26.53 $43.95 38
Owner Earnings $39.77 $75.79 $151.43 31
5Y Revenue Exit $32.47 $54.20 $97.43 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $91.96 $182.06 $349.71 41
5Y P/E Exit $23.07 $36.45 $53.87 38
10Y Revenue Exit $27.96 $53.08 $83.53 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $71.03 $167.32 $354.50 37
10Y P/E Exit $22.32 $35.03 $57.33 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $5.76 $40.18 $56.39 54
Lynch FV $12.25 $17.50 $22.76 50
PEG = 1.0 $12.25 $17.50 $22.76 46
EPV $24.19 $26.30 $28.15 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $15.20 $31.61 $50.14 70
DDM Multi-Stage $15.20 $26.65 $33.17 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $12.71 $16.95 $21.18 63
P/S Multiple $10.80 $14.40 $18.00 58
P/B Multiple $10.80 $14.40 $18.00 55
EV/EBIT $47.43 $59.40 $71.37 53
EV/EBITDA $121.17 $157.72 $194.27 54
EV/Revenue $35.73 $46.10 $56.47 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $53.79 $72.07 $107.57 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $20.12 $28.21 $43.81 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income $73.48 $68.96 $49.38 76
ROIC Compounder $24.19 $26.30 $28.15 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $16.26 $23.23 $30.20 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($72.07) versus Multiples ($16.95). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $104B
Revenue growth (YoY) +43.7%
Net margin 7.9%
Return on equity 8.3%
Free cash flow $509M FY2025
P/E ratio 21.9
More key figures
Operating margin 21.9%
EPS (TTM) $0.5500
Dividend yield 2.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +400%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 39
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 55
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 28
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 44
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 73
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited engages in the mining, concentrating, refining, and sells of platinum group metals (PGMs) and associated base metals in South Africa, Zimbabwe, and Canada. The company produces platinum, palladium, rhodium, nickel, and by-products, as well as ruthenium, iridium, and gold.

Full company description

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited engages in the mining, concentrating, refining, and sells of platinum group metals (PGMs) and associated base metals in South Africa, Zimbabwe, and Canada. The company produces platinum, palladium, rhodium, nickel, and by-products, as well as ruthenium, iridium, and gold. It has mining operations on the Bushveld Complex located in South Africa; and the Great Dyke situated in Zimbabwe, as well as the Canadian Shield. The company was incorporated in 1957 and is based in Illovo, South Africa.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Impala Platinum Holdings reported revenue of $85.5B in FY2025 versus $130B in FY2021, a compound −9.9%/yr. Reported net income was $761M in FY2025, compounding −64.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 56/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$85.5B
Latest YoY
−1.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−10.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+4.1%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y)
+36.8%
Revenue −9.9%/yr
FY21 $130B
FY22 $118B
FY23 $107B
FY24 $86.4B
FY25 $85.5B
Net income −64.3%/yr
FY21 $47.0B
FY22 $32.0B
FY23 $4.9B
FY24 −$17.3B
FY25 $761M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Impala Platinum Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/IMPUY

Peer Group

Other Precious Metals & Mining · 101 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Above median
Fair Value upside +41% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 22% · Above median
Revenue growth 44% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.8% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.9× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 21.3× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 88 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 41
PAST 33 · sector 0
HEALTH 99 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 55 · sector 15

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fresnillo plc FRES 579.75 MXN 558.30 MXN -4%
Hecla Mining Company HL $14.52 $8.15 -44%
Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A. BVN $29.82 $29.96 +0%
Sibanye Stillwater Limited SBSW $8.12 $9.90 +22%
China Gold International Resources Corp CGG C$24.78 C$18.48 -25%
Artemis Gold Inc ARTG C$32.98 C$21.86 -34%
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp TFPM $28.10 $16.03 -43%
Sino-Platinum Metals Co 600459 ¥21.26 ¥13.23 -38%
Perpetua Resources Corp PPTA C$26.10 C$5.85 -78%
Zhaojin International Gold Co 000506 ¥13.15 ¥2.84 -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Impala Platinum Holdings (IMPUY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $17.16 versus a price of $12.19, about +41% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of IMPUY?
Our model-based fair value for Impala Platinum Holdings is $17.16 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $12.19.
What is the quality score of IMPUY?
Impala Platinum Holdings has a Quality Score of 45/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Impala Platinum Holdings (IMPUY)?
Impala Platinum Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $104B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of IMPUY?
The net profit margin of Impala Platinum Holdings is about 7.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Impala Platinum Holdings pay a dividend?
Impala Platinum Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.77% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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