HighCom Limited (HCL) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · AU · Market cap A$16.3M
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Share price +4.8% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (A$0.0700 to A$0.1300) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.1050 – A$0.7600 · fair‑value band A$0.0700 – A$0.1300 · the A$0.1100 price screens below the A$0.1100 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
HighCom Limited (HCL) currently trades at A$0.1100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.1100, implying the stock looks roughly 0.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, HighCom Limited generated revenue of A$32.4M at a net margin of -28.4%. Revenue declined 59.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -33.1%. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.0700 (bear case) to A$0.1300 (bull case); at A$0.1100, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 79% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at 0%, HCL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
HighCom Limited provides armors and technologies for defense sectors in Australia, the Asia Pacific, North America, Europe, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Armour Division and Technology Division. The company offers armour products comprising body armour, ballistic helmets, shields, composite armour panels, and platform structures.
Full company description
HighCom Limited provides armors and technologies for defense sectors in Australia, the Asia Pacific, North America, Europe, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Armour Division and Technology Division. The company offers armour products comprising body armour, ballistic helmets, shields, composite armour panels, and platform structures. It also provides uncrewed aerial systems, control systems, and sensors, as well as project management, engineering, integration, repair and maintenance services, product support, and training services. The company was formerly known as XTEK Limited and changed its name to HighCom Limited in November 2023. HighCom Limited was incorporated in 2003 and is based in Symonston, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
HighCom Limited reported revenue of A$48.3M in FY2025 versus A$28.2M in FY2021, a compound +14.4%/yr. Reported net income was −A$1.2M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Aerospace & Defense · 226 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| General Electric Company GE | $381.22 | $116.71 | -69% |
| RTX Corporation RTX | $195.93 | $88.37 | -55% |
| Airbus SE 1AIR | €213.25 | €86.20 | -60% |
| The Boeing Company BA | $217.11 | $48.20 | -78% |
| China CSSC Holdings 600150 | ¥34.31 | ¥21.90 | -36% |
| HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co 329180 | 466,000 KRW | 272,966 KRW | -41% |
| Hanwha Aerospace Co 012450 | 967,000 KRW | 573,468 KRW | -41% |
| ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi ASELS | 337.50 TRY | 130.70 TRY | -61% |
| Saab AB SAABB | kr 520.40 | kr 212.84 | -59% |
| Kongsberg Gruppen ASA KOG | kr 277.50 | kr 106.93 | -61% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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