Arrow Electronics, Inc (ARW) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $10.4B
Arrow Electronics, Inc
ARW · US
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Share price +14.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 48% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($142.21). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $90.32 – $234.83 · fair‑value band $107.06 – $142.21 · the $222.29 price screens above the $115.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Arrow Electronics, Inc (ARW) currently trades at $222.29, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $115.40, implying the stock looks roughly 48.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Arrow Electronics, Inc generated revenue of $33.5B at a net margin of 2.2%. Revenue grew 39.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.3%. Net debt stands at $2.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $107.06 (bear case) to $142.21 (bull case); at $222.29, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 118% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -18% fair-value upside, at -48%, ARW screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($203.90) versus Dividend Discount ($5.21). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Arrow Electronics, Inc. sources and engineers technology for manufacturers, service providers, and users of enterprise computing solutions in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates in two segments, Global Components and Global Enterprise Computing Solutions.
Full company description
Arrow Electronics, Inc. sources and engineers technology for manufacturers, service providers, and users of enterprise computing solutions in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates in two segments, Global Components and Global Enterprise Computing Solutions. The Global Components segment markets and distributes electronic components, including semiconductor products and related services; interconnect, passive, and electromechanical products comprising capacitors, resistors, potentiometers, power supplies, relays, switches, and connectors; and computing and memory products, as well as other products and services. Its Global Enterprise Computing Solutions segment offers computing solutions, such as datacenter, cloud, security, and analytics solutions, as well as engineering and integration support, warehousing and logistics, marketing resources, and authorized hardware and software training services. The company serves original equipment manufacturers, value-added resellers, managed service providers, contract manufacturers, and other commercial customers. Arrow Electronics, Inc. was founded in 1935 and is based in Centennial, Colorado.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Arrow Electronics, Inc reported revenue of $30.9B in FY2025 versus $34.5B in FY2021, a compound −2.7%/yr. Reported net income was $571M in FY2025, compounding −15.3%/yr from FY2021.
ARW screens 48% overvalued. Compare with TD SYNNEX Corporation →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Countdown to Arrow Electronics (ARW) Q2 Earnings: A Look at Estimates Beyond Revenue and EPS
- Arrow Electronics to Post Q2 Results: What's in Store for the Stock?
Peer Group
Electronics & Computer Distribution · 151 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electronics & Computer Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 54/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electronics & Computer Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| TD SYNNEX Corporation SNX | $251.52 | $207.02 | -18% |
| Unisplendour Corporation 000938 | ¥38.59 | ¥11.79 | -69% |
| Rexel S.A RXL | €38.59 | €33.31 | -14% |
| Avnet, Inc AVT | $87.13 | $58.57 | -33% |
| WPG Holdings 3702 | 106.50 TWD | 102.31 TWD | -4% |
| Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry Co 000062 | ¥22.37 | ¥7.52 | -66% |
| Synnex Technology International Corporation 2347 | 85.30 TWD | 86.30 TWD | +1% |
| Nanjing Sunlord Electronics Corporation 300975 | ¥37.37 | ¥8.60 | -77% |
| Beijing Tricolor Technology Co 603516 | ¥106.52 | ¥23.39 | -78% |
| Insight Enterprises, Inc NSIT | $114.65 | $104.19 | -9% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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