Arrow Electronics Inc (ARW) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Arrow Electronics Inc is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Arrow Electronics Inc for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $90.32 – $234.83 · fair‑value band $105.07 – $123.40 · the $219.31 price screens above the $105.07 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.
Arrow Electronics, Inc. sources and engineers technology for manufacturers, service providers, and users of enterprise computing solutions in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates in two segments, Global Components and Global Enterprise Computing Solutions.
Show more
Arrow Electronics, Inc. sources and engineers technology for manufacturers, service providers, and users of enterprise computing solutions in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates in two segments, Global Components and Global Enterprise Computing Solutions. The Global Components segment markets and distributes electronic components, including semiconductor products and related services; interconnect, passive, and electromechanical products comprising capacitors, resistors, potentiometers, power supplies, relays, switches, and connectors; and computing and memory products, as well as other products and services. Its Global Enterprise Computing Solutions segment offers computing solutions, such as datacenter, cloud, security, and analytics solutions, as well as engineering and integration support, warehousing and logistics, marketing resources, and authorized hardware and software training services. The company serves original equipment manufacturers, value-added resellers, managed service providers, contract manufacturers, and other commercial customers. Arrow Electronics, Inc. was founded in 1935 and is based in Centennial, Colorado.
Stock analysis
Arrow Electronics Inc (ARW) currently trades at $219.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $105.07, implying the stock looks roughly 108.7% overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $275.64 per share, and 5 of the 17 models we run sit above the $219.31 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $81.89, and 12 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $105.07 (bear) to $123.40 (bull), the price of $219.31 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Arrow Electronics Inc reported revenue of $30.9B in FY2025 versus $34.5B in FY2021, a compound −2.7%/yr. Reported net income was $571M in FY2025, compounding −15.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $11.5B · P/E ratio 15.8 · P/S ratio 0.29 · EPS (TTM) $13.84 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 1.9% · Return on equity 11.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 115% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at −52%, ARW screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $105.07Fair Value $105.07Bull $123.40
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($10.05 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.28/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.5%
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.7%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+7.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+7.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−1% vs 8%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 3%
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (96 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronics & Computer Distribution · 154 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score46 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−47% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)11% · Above median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)2% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth39% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.47× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Electronics & Computer Distribution median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)15.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B1.58× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)0.31× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA10.3× · Pricier than median
PEG0.95× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 59
PAST (return on equity)45· sector 34
HEALTH (low debt)77· sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 59
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Arrow Electronics Inc (ARW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $105.07 versus a price of $219.31, about −52% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ARW?
Our model-based fair value for Arrow Electronics Inc is $105.07 (as of Sep 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $219.31.
What is the quality score of ARW?
Arrow Electronics Inc has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Arrow Electronics Inc (ARW)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $105.07 (as of Sep 18, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario $105.07, optimistic scenario $123.40. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Arrow Electronics Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $105.07, about −52% upside versus a price of $219.31 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $105.07, optimistic scenario $123.40. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Arrow Electronics Inc (ARW)?
Arrow Electronics Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $33.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 18, 2026).
Does Arrow Electronics Inc pay a dividend?
Arrow Electronics Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.15% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 18, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Arrow Electronics Inc (ARW)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Arrow Electronics Inc it is $105.07 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026), against a price of $219.31. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Arrow Electronics Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 18, 2026, ARW trades above its calculated fair value: price $219.31, fair value $105.07, a gap of about −52% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ARW?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($219.31); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($105.07). For Arrow Electronics Inc the two are $114.24 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Arrow Electronics Inc worth?
The market values Arrow Electronics Inc at about $11.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 18, 2026). Per share that is $219.31; our models calculate a fair value of $105.07 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ARW?
Our models span a range for Arrow Electronics Inc: cautious scenario $105.07, base $105.07, optimistic $123.40 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026, price $219.31). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ARW?
Arrow Electronics Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.8 (as of Sep 18, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $105.07 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.9, P/B 1.6, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 10.3.
What is the PEG ratio of ARW?
The PEG ratio of Arrow Electronics Inc is 0.95 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 18, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Arrow Electronics Inc (ARW)?
Balance-sheet figures for Arrow Electronics Inc (as of Sep 18, 2026): return on equity 11.3%, debt of 0.47 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ARW from its 52-week high?
Arrow Electronics Inc trades at $219.31, about 6% below its 52-week high of $233.30 and 115% above the low of $101.79 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $105.07 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Arrow Electronics Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value TD SYNNEX Corporation, Unisplendour Corporation, Rexel S.A, Avnet, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Arrow Electronics Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 18, 2026: price $219.31, calculated fair value $105.07 (−52%), Quality Score 46/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ARW calculated?
We run Arrow Electronics Inc through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $105.07, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Arrow Electronics Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Arrow Electronics Inc (ARW)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $219.31. Our model-based fair value is $105.07, about −52% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Arrow Electronics Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($123.40). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Arrow Electronics Inc (ARW) come from?
Earnings per share at Arrow Electronics Inc grew +9.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +9.8 %, EBIT margin −0.1 %, tax rate +0.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Arrow Electronics Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Arrow Electronics Inc (ARW)?
The market capitalisation of Arrow Electronics Inc is $11.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Arrow Electronics Inc (ARW)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Arrow Electronics Inc is 0.29 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Arrow Electronics Inc (ARW)?
Earnings per share at Arrow Electronics Inc are $13.84 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Arrow Electronics Inc (ARW)?
The dividend yield of Arrow Electronics Inc is 0.1% (payout 2.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Arrow Electronics Inc (ARW)?
The net margin of Arrow Electronics Inc is 1.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Arrow Electronics Inc (ARW)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Arrow Electronics Inc is 11.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Arrow Electronics Inc (ARW)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Arrow Electronics Inc is 6.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Arrow Electronics Inc (ARW)?
The operating margin of Arrow Electronics Inc is 4.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Arrow Electronics Inc (ARW)?
Revenue at Arrow Electronics Inc is growing +39.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Arrow Electronics Inc (ARW)?
Earnings per share at Arrow Electronics Inc are growing +201% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Arrow Electronics Inc (ARW) generate?
The free cash flow of Arrow Electronics Inc is −$37.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Arrow Electronics Inc (ARW) carry?
The net debt of Arrow Electronics Inc is $2.8B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Arrow Electronics Inc in the live analysis
One click puts Arrow Electronics Inc on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Broad data
Sep 18, 2026