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American Express Company (AXP) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $213B

AE American Express Company logo American Express Company AXP · US
Price$342.46
Fair Value$206.40
Upside-39.7%
Quality65/100
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Evidence: High Range $154.80 – $397.69

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Share price +13.2% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$372.49 $283.48 Fair Value $206.40 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $283.48 – $372.49 · fair‑value band $154.80 – $397.69 · the $342.46 price screens above the $206.40 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

American Express Company (AXP) currently trades at $342.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $206.40 — implying the stock looks roughly 39.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, American Express Company generated revenue of $68.8B at a net margin of 16.3%. Revenue grew 11.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 34.4%. Net debt stands at $10.1B. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $68.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.6%
Net margin 16.3%
Return on equity 34.4%
Free cash flow $16.0B FY2025
P/E ratio 19.5
More key figures
Operating margin 21.3%
EPS (TTM) $16.03
Dividend yield 1.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +17.6%
Net debt $10.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

American Express Company, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated payments company in the United States, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, the Asia Pacific, Australia, New Zealand, Latin America, Canada, the Caribbean, and internationally. It operates through four segments: U.S. Consumer Services, Commercial Services, International Card Services, and Global Merchant and Network Services. The company offers credit and charge cards and complementary products and services, including travel, dining, and lifestyle and expense management products and services; and banking and other payment and financing products and services, including deposits and non-card lending. It also provides merchant acquisition and processing, servicing and settlement, fraud prevention, and point-of-sale marketing and information products and services, as well as network services. The company offers its products and services to consumers, small businesses, mid-sized companies, and large …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

American Express Company reported revenue of $80.5B in FY2025 versus $44.4B in FY2021, a compound +16.0%/yr. Reported net income was $10.8B in FY2025, compounding +7.7%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +16.0%/yr
FY21 $44.4B
FY22 $55.6B
FY23 $67.4B
FY24 $74.2B
FY25 $80.5B
Net income +7.7%/yr
FY21 $8.1B
FY22 $7.5B
FY23 $8.4B
FY24 $10.1B
FY25 $10.8B

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Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

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Frequently asked questions

Is American Express Company (AXP) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $206.40 versus a price of $342.46 — about −40% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of AXP?
Our model-based fair value for American Express Company is $206.40 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $342.46.
What is the quality score of AXP?
American Express Company has a Quality Score of 65/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of American Express Company (AXP)?
American Express Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $68.8B (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AXP?
The net profit margin of American Express Company is about 16.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does American Express Company pay a dividend?
American Express Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.13% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.