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BGM Group (BGM) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $77.9M

BG BGM Group logo BGM Group BGM · US
Price$0.3381
Fair Value$0.1100
Upside-67.5%
Quality34/100
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Evidence: Low Range $0.0900 – $0.1200

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026 — revised from $1.06 to $0.1100 (−89.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −9.8% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$11.75 $0.2612 Fair Value $0.1100 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $0.2612 – $11.75 · fair‑value band $0.0900 – $0.1200 · the $0.3381 price screens above the $0.1100 fair value. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

BGM Group (BGM) currently trades at $0.3381, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1100 — implying the stock looks roughly 67.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $29.9M. Revenue grew 13.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -16.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $9.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.0900 (bear case) to $0.1200 (bull case); at $0.3381, the current price sits above that range. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside — at -67%, BGM screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $29.9M
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.9%
Return on equity -16.5%
Free cash flow −$3.4M FY2024
Operating margin -15.6%
EPS (TTM) $-0.2900
More key figures
Net cash $9.8M FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

BGM Group Ltd., through its subsidiaries, operates as a pharmaceutical and chemical company in China. It offers oxytetracycline products, including Qilian Shan oxytetracycline tablets to prevent and treat a range of diseases in chickens, turkeys, cattle, swine, and human; and Qilian Shan oxytetracycline active pharmaceutical ingredients, which are used by pharmaceutical companies in the manufacturing of medications that use oxytetracycline as an active ingredient. The company also provides licorice products, such as Gan Di Xin, a medicine made from raw licorice materials; Qilian Shan licorice extract, an ingredient for pharmaceutical companies to manufacture traditional licorice tablets; and Qilian Shan licorice liquid extract, an ingredient for medical preparation companies to produce compound licorice oral solutions. In addition, it offers traditional Chinese medicine derivatives products comprising Ahan antibacterial paste that is used to treat refractory chronic skin diseases; …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

BGM Group reported revenue of $25.1M in FY2024 versus $50.0M in FY2020, a compound −15.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.4M in FY2024.

Revenue −15.8%/yr
FY20 $50.0M
FY21 $57.1M
FY22 $64.9M
FY23 $46.5M
FY24 $25.1M
Net income
FY20 $5.1M
FY21 $3.2M
FY22 $1.1M
FY23 −$7.8M
FY24 −$1.4M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BGM Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BGM

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10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

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Zoetis Inc Z1TS34 R$26.19 R$26.01 -1%
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Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB ₹6,623 ₹1,461 -78%
PharmaEssentia Corporation 6446 1,285 TWD 221.01 TWD -83%
Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited TORNTPHARM ₹4,421 ₹1,504 -66%
Cipla Limited CIPLA ₹1,416 ₹1,466 +4%
Zydus Lifesciences Limited ZYDUSLIFE ₹1,086 ₹515.38 -53%
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited DRREDDY ₹1,291 ₹1,053 -18%

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Frequently asked questions

Is BGM Group (BGM) undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1100 versus a price of $0.3381 — about −67% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of BGM?
Our model-based fair value for BGM Group is $0.1100 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.3381.
What is the quality score of BGM?
BGM Group has a Quality Score of 34/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of BGM Group (BGM)?
BGM Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $29.9M (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BGM?
The net profit margin of BGM Group is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.