Baillie Gifford Shin Nippon PLC (BGS) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · GB · Market cap 319M GBX
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated today
Share price +6.8% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range £1.21 – £1.68 · fair‑value band £0.8300 – £1.38 · the £1.64 price screens above the £1.10 fair value. As of Jul 12, 2026.
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Baillie Gifford Shin Nippon PLC (BGS) currently trades at £1.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £1.10 — implying the stock looks roughly 32.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at £12.6M. Revenue grew 37.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.4%. Net debt stands at £53.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £0.8300 (bear case) to £1.38 (bull case); at £1.64, the current price sits above that range. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 53% fair-value upside — at -33%, BGS screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Baillie Gifford Shin Nippon PLC is a closed-ended equity mutual fund launched and managed by Baillie Gifford & Co Ltd. It is co-managed by Baillie Gifford & Co. The fund invests in the public equity markets of Japan. It seeks to invest in stocks of companies operating across diversified sectors. The fund primarily invests in value and growth stocks of small-cap companies having market capitalizations less than Yen 150 billion. It benchmarks the performance of its portfolio against the Tokyo Second Section Index, the TOPIX Small Index, and the JASDAQ Index. Baillie Gifford Shin Nippon PLC was formed on July 1, 1985 and is domiciled in the United Kingdom.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Baillie Gifford Shin Nippon PLC reported revenue of £12.6M in FY2026 versus −£175M in FY2022. Reported net income was £12.9M in FY2026.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.