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Birchcliff Energy Ltd (BIREF) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $1.2B

Price$4.56
Fair Value$3.95
Upside-13.3%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $1.74 – $3.95

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

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Analysis

Birchcliff Energy Ltd (BIREF) currently trades at $4.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.95 — implying the stock looks roughly 13.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Birchcliff Energy Ltd., an intermediate oil and natural gas company, engages in the exploration, development, and production of natural gas, light oil, condensate, and other natural gas liquids in Western Canada. The company holds 91% working interest in the Pouce Coupe area is located northwest of Grande Prairie, Alberta; and 75% working interest in the Gordondale area is located northwest of Grande Prairie, Alberta. It also holds interest in Elmworth area located in west of Grande Prairie, Alberta. Birchcliff Energy Ltd. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Birchcliff Energy Ltd (BIREF) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.95 versus a price of $4.56 — about −13% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of BIREF?
Our 21-model fair value for Birchcliff Energy Ltd is $3.95 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $4.56.
What is the quality score of BIREF?
Birchcliff Energy Ltd has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.