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Booking Holdings (BKNG) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $130B

BH Booking Holdings logo Booking Holdings BKNG · US
Price$168.94
Fair Value$152.94
Upside-9.5%
Quality72/100
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Evidence: High Range $114.03 – $191.78

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from $187.11 to $152.94 (−18.3%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price +10.7% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$211.16 $140.73 Fair Value $152.94 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $140.73 – $211.16 · fair‑value band $114.03 – $191.78 · the $168.94 price screens above the $152.94 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Booking Holdings (BKNG) currently trades at $168.94, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $152.94 — implying the stock looks roughly 9.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Booking Holdings generated revenue of $27.7B at a net margin of 22.2%. Revenue grew 16.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 225.7%. Net debt stands at $2.1B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $27.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) +16.2%
Net margin 22.2%
Return on equity 226%
Free cash flow $9.1B FY2025
P/E ratio 22.1
More key figures
Operating margin 25.0%
EPS (TTM) $7.59
Dividend yield 1.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +240%
Net debt $2.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Booking Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides online and traditional travel and restaurant reservations and related services in the United States, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company operates Booking.com, which offers online accommodation reservations; and Priceline, which provides discount travel reservations services, as well as online accommodation, flight, rental car reservation services, vacation packages, cruises, activity, and affiliate programs. It also operates Agoda that offers online accommodation reservation, flight, ground transportation, and attractions. In addition, the company operates KAYAK, an online meta-search service that allows consumers to search and compare travel itineraries and prices; and OpenTable for booking online restaurant reservations, as well as reservation management services to restaurants. Further, it offers travel-related insurance products, payment facilitation, and restaurant management …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Booking Holdings reported revenue of $26.9B in FY2025 versus $11.0B in FY2021, a compound +25.2%/yr. Reported net income was $5.4B in FY2025, compounding +46.8%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +25.2%/yr
FY21 $11.0B
FY22 $17.1B
FY23 $21.4B
FY24 $23.7B
FY25 $26.9B
Net income +46.8%/yr
FY21 $1.2B
FY22 $3.1B
FY23 $4.3B
FY24 $5.9B
FY25 $5.4B

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Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

Similar stocks

6 more Travel Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

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Airbnb, Inc ABNB C$23.33 C$18.33 -21%
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd RCL $280.00 $128.75 -54%
Viking Holdings VIK $103.05 $61.24 -41%
Carnival Corporation CCL $30.19 $33.33 +10%
Trip.com Group 9961 HK$369.40 HK$781.93 +112%
Expedia Group EXPE $218.94 $226.34 +3%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Booking Holdings (BKNG) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $152.94 versus a price of $168.94 — about −9% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of BKNG?
Our model-based fair value for Booking Holdings is $152.94 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $168.94.
What is the quality score of BKNG?
Booking Holdings has a Quality Score of 72/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Booking Holdings (BKNG)?
Booking Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $27.7B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BKNG?
The net profit margin of Booking Holdings is about 22.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 22.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Booking Holdings pay a dividend?
Booking Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.96% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.