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Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited (BTL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited A$0.06, price A$0.26, upside -77.1%, quality 21 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Energy · AU · ISIN AU0000401770

BE Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited

BTL · AU

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value A$0.0595 · Strongly overvalued (−77%)
!Quality 21/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −33.2 %/yr)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/6)
!Narrow moat 6/100
!Insider activity 30/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.4000 A$0.1150 Fair Value A$0.0595 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.1150 – A$0.4000 · fair‑value band A$0.0425 – A$0.0850 · the A$0.2600 price screens above the A$0.0595 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited, together its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of oil and natural gas in Australia. It holds a 100% working interest in approximately 28 million acres of exploration tenements located in the Beetaloo Sub-basin, Northern Territory, Australia.

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Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited, together its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of oil and natural gas in Australia. It holds a 100% working interest in approximately 28 million acres of exploration tenements located in the Beetaloo Sub-basin, Northern Territory, Australia. The company was formerly known as Empire Energy Group Limited and changed its name to Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited and changed its name to in June 2025. Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.

Stock analysis

Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited (BTL) currently trades at A$0.2600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0595, implying the stock looks roughly 337.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0425 (bear) to A$0.0850 (bull), the price of A$0.2600 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 21/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited reported revenue of A$1.0M in FY2024 versus A$6.5M in FY2020, a compound −36.9%/yr. Reported net income was −A$19.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$377M (≈ $265M) · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0200 · Return on equity −13.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.6% · Operating margin −1,582% · Revenue (TTM) A$544K · Free cash flow −A$66.1M · Net debt A$7.7M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 58% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −77%, BTL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0425 Fair Value A$0.0595 Bull A$0.0850
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0500 A$0.0700 A$0.1000 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0500 A$0.0700 A$0.1000 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 21/100

Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 22
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 9
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 59
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−83.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−50.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−33.2%
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−65.3% (2019) → −2,117.8% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

BTL screens 337% overvalued. Compare with CNOOC Limited →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 307 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/5 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −77% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.73× · Pricier than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CNOOC Limited 0883 HK$23.68 HK$39.95 +69%
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $125.27 $90.15 −28%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $47.77 $52.55 +10%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $139.52 $165.02 +18%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $56.31 $33.34 −41%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $184.50 $242.64 +32%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $46.93 $51.62 +10%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$31.13 A$23.59 −24%
EQT Corporation EQT $50.81 $55.89 +10%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $355.24 $318.28 −10%

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Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited · Fair Value
A$0.0595 −337%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BTL

Frequently asked questions

Is Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited (BTL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0595 versus a price of A$0.2600, about −77% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BTL?
Our model-based fair value for Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited is A$0.0595 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.2600.
What is the quality score of BTL?
Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited has a Quality Score of 21/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited (BTL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0595 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0425, optimistic scenario A$0.0850. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0595, about −77% upside versus a price of A$0.2600 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0425, optimistic scenario A$0.0850. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited (BTL)?
Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$544K (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited (BTL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited it is A$0.0595 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of A$0.2600. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, BTL trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.2600, fair value A$0.0595, a gap of about −77% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BTL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.2600); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0595). For Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited the two are A$0.2005 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited worth?
The market values Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited at about A$377M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is A$0.2600; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0595 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BTL?
Our models span a range for Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited: cautious scenario A$0.0425, base A$0.0595, optimistic A$0.0850 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price A$0.2600). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited (BTL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −13.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 21/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BTL from its 52-week high?
Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited trades at A$0.2600, about 30% below its 52-week high of A$0.3700 and 58% above the low of A$0.1650 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0595 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited?
From the same area (Energy) we also value CNOOC Limited, ConocoPhillips explores for,, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price A$0.2600, calculated fair value A$0.0595 (−77%), Quality Score 21/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BTL calculated?
We run Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0595, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited (BTL)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was A$0.2600. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0595, about −77% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0850). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (21/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (A$0.0425 to A$0.0850) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited (BTL)?
The market capitalisation of Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited is A$377M (≈ $265M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited (BTL)?
Earnings per share at Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited are A$−0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited (BTL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited is −13.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited (BTL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited is −7.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited (BTL)?
The operating margin of Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited is −1,582% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much free cash flow does Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited (BTL) generate?
The free cash flow of Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited is −A$66.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited (BTL) carry?
The net debt of Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited is A$7.7M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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