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Burnham Holdings (BURCB) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Burnham Holdings is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · US · ISIN US1222951089

BH Burnham Holdings logo Some data Sep 13, 2026

Burnham Holdings

BURCB · US

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value $17.28 · Undervalued (+47%)
!Quality 49/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +6.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -8.0% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·7.83% dividend yield
!Narrow moat 22/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$16.15 $8.81 Fair Value $17.28 May 2017 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $8.81 – $16.15 · fair‑value band $15.15 – $19.05 · the $11.75 price screens below the $17.28 fair value. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Burnham Holdings, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of boilers and related heating, ventilation, and air conditioning products and accessories for residential, commercial, and industrial applications in the United States, Canada, and Mexico.

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Burnham Holdings, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of boilers and related heating, ventilation, and air conditioning products and accessories for residential, commercial, and industrial applications in the United States, Canada, and Mexico. It offers interior comfort solutions for homes and small buildings; full-service commercial industrial installation and service contracting company specializing in boiler, heat recovery and chilled water systems; and vertical integration. The company sells its residential products through wholesale distributors to builders, heating contractors, fuel dealers, and utilities for resale to end-use customers; and commercial products through independent sales representatives, directly to contractors, or end users. Burnham Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Lancaster, Pennsylvania.

Stock analysis

Burnham Holdings (BURCB) currently trades at $11.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $17.28, implying the stock looks roughly 32.0% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $37.55 per share, and 6 of the 8 models we run sit above the $11.75 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $8.29, and 2 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $15.15 (bear) to $19.05 (bull), the price of $11.75 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Burnham Holdings reported revenue of $258M in FY2025 versus $219M in FY2021, a compound +4.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$28.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $55.0M · P/E ratio 5.0 · P/S ratio 0.21 · EPS (TTM) $2.36 · Dividend yield 7.8% · Net margin −11.0% · Return on equity −25.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at 47%, BURCB screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $15.15 Fair Value $17.28 Bull $19.05
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.01 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV $13.70 $15.44 $16.86 74
ROIC Compounder $13.70 $15.44 $16.86 72
Gordon GGM $6.54 $8.29 $9.80 69
All 8 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV $13.70 $15.44 $16.86 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $6.54 $8.29 $9.80 69
DDM Multi-Stage $6.54 $8.34 $10.08 67
Multiples
EV/EBIT $27.96 $37.55 $47.13 66
EV/EBITDA $32.28 $43.31 $54.33 67
EV/Revenue $19.73 $28.52 $37.32 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $11.06 $14.82 $22.12 54
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $13.70 $15.44 $16.86 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 81

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
52W Momentum 59
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 13/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.6%
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.3% (2020) → 4.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare Burnham Holdings with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Products & Equipment · 250 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside +47% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 2% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 7.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.11× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.0× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.53× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.21× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Trane Technologies plc TT $442.52 $208.50 −53%
Johnson Controls International plc JCI $146.01 $38.59 −74%
Carrier Global Corporation CARR $57.46 $16.85 −71%
Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO €71.52 €93.50 +31%
Geberit AG GEBN CHF 546.40 CHF 297.73 −46%
Lennox International Inc LII $366.04 $294.98 −19%
Madison Air Solutions Corporation MAIR $25.21 $15.34 −39%
Kingspan Group KRX €102.50 €66.79 −35%
Masco Corporation MAS $68.52 $53.22 −22%
Carlisle Companies Incorporated CSL $335.24 $340.70 +2%

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Burnham Holdings · Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Burnham Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BURCB

Frequently asked questions

Is Burnham Holdings (BURCB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $17.28 versus a price of $11.75, about +47% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BURCB?
Our model-based fair value for Burnham Holdings is $17.28 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $11.75.
What is the quality score of BURCB?
Burnham Holdings has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Burnham Holdings (BURCB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $17.28 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario $15.15, optimistic scenario $19.05. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Burnham Holdings stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $17.28, about +47% upside versus a price of $11.75 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $15.15, optimistic scenario $19.05. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Burnham Holdings (BURCB)?
Burnham Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $269M (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Burnham Holdings pay a dividend?
Burnham Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.83% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Burnham Holdings (BURCB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Burnham Holdings it is $17.28 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of $11.75. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Burnham Holdings stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, BURCB trades below its calculated fair value: price $11.75, fair value $17.28, a gap of about +47% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BURCB?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($11.75); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($17.28). For Burnham Holdings the two are $5.53 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Burnham Holdings worth?
The market values Burnham Holdings at about $55.0M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is $11.75; our models calculate a fair value of $17.28 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BURCB?
Our models span a range for Burnham Holdings: cautious scenario $15.15, base $17.28, optimistic $19.05 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price $11.75). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BURCB?
Burnham Holdings trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.0 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $17.28 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 0.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Burnham Holdings (BURCB)?
Balance-sheet figures for Burnham Holdings (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −25.7%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Burnham Holdings?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Trane Technologies plc, Johnson Controls International plc, Carrier Global Corporation, Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Burnham Holdings stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price $11.75, calculated fair value $17.28 (+47%), Quality Score 49/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BURCB calculated?
We run Burnham Holdings through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $17.28, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Burnham Holdings currently trades 47 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Burnham Holdings right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($15.15). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of Burnham Holdings (BURCB) come from?
Earnings per share at Burnham Holdings grew +4.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.6 %, EBIT margin +0.4 %, tax rate +1.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Burnham Holdings

How large is the market capitalisation of Burnham Holdings (BURCB)?
The market capitalisation of Burnham Holdings is $55.0M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Burnham Holdings (BURCB)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Burnham Holdings is 0.21 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Burnham Holdings (BURCB)?
Earnings per share at Burnham Holdings are $2.36 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Burnham Holdings (BURCB)?
The dividend yield of Burnham Holdings is 7.8% (payout 39.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Burnham Holdings (BURCB)?
The net margin of Burnham Holdings is −11.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Burnham Holdings (BURCB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Burnham Holdings is −25.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Burnham Holdings (BURCB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Burnham Holdings is 5.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Burnham Holdings (BURCB)?
The operating margin of Burnham Holdings is 6.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Burnham Holdings (BURCB)?
Revenue at Burnham Holdings is growing +2.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Burnham Holdings (BURCB) generate?
The free cash flow of Burnham Holdings is −$7.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Burnham Holdings (BURCB) carry?
The net debt of Burnham Holdings is $9.9M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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