Avis Budget Group (CAR) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $6.2B
Avis Budget Group
CAR · US
Fair value as of: Jun 25, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Fair value updated Jun 25, 2026 — revised from $1,064 to $156.85 (−85.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −11.7% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $99.05 – $806.49 · fair‑value band $85.67 – $228.02 · the $175.29 price screens above the $156.85 fair value. As of Jun 25, 2026.
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Avis Budget Group (CAR) currently trades at $175.29, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $156.85 — implying the stock looks roughly 10.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Avis Budget Group generated revenue of $11.8B at a net margin of -5.7%. Revenue grew 4.1% year over year. Net debt stands at $30.7B. Fundamentals as of Jun 25, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Avis Budget Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides car and truck rentals, car sharing, and ancillary products and services to businesses and consumers in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, Asia, and Australasia. The company operates the Avis brand, which offers vehicle rental and other mobility solutions to the commercial and leisure segments of the travel industry and the Zipcar brand, a car sharing network that offers vehicle rental and other mobility solutions comprising budget car rental and budget truck. It also operates various other car rental brands, such as Payless, Apex, Maggiore, Morini Rent, FranceCars, AmicoBlu, Turiscar, and ACL Hire and McNicoll vehicle Hire. The company was formerly known as Cendant Corporation and changed its name to Avis Budget Group, Inc. in September 2006. Avis Budget Group, Inc. was founded in 1946 and is based in Parsippany, New Jersey.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Avis Budget Group reported revenue of $11.7B in FY2025 versus $9.3B in FY2021, a compound +5.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$889M in FY2025.
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Similar stocks
6 more Rental & Leasing Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Rentals, Inc URI | $1,093 | $378.08 | -65% |
| Sunbelt Rentals Holdings SUNB | $80.00 | $34.61 | -57% |
| AerCap Holdings AER | $136.44 | $309.54 | +127% |
| Ayvens ALLDF | $14.00 | $23.65 | +69% |
| Ryder System, Inc R | $270.25 | $204.91 | -24% |
| Localiza Rent a Car S.A RENT3 | R$40.82 | R$52.15 | +28% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.