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Sunbelt Rentals Holdings (SUNB) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $30.2B

SR Sunbelt Rentals Holdings logo Sunbelt Rentals Holdings SUNB · US
Price$80.92
Fair Value$65.76
Upside-18.7%
Quality59/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 11.9% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
1.53% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
Moderate moat 62/100
Evidence: High Range $43.14 – $84.88 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $44.77 to $65.76 (+46.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +17.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 19% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($43.14 to $84.88) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 months)

$85.18 $62.44 Fair Value $65.76 Mar 2026 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

5‑month range $62.44 – $85.18 · fair‑value band $43.14 – $84.88 · the $80.92 price screens above the $65.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Sunbelt Rentals Holdings (SUNB) currently trades at $80.92, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $65.76, implying the stock looks roughly 18.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Sunbelt Rentals Holdings generated revenue of $10.9B at a net margin of 12.7%. Revenue grew 2.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.1%. Net debt stands at $10.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $43.14 (bear case) to $84.88 (bull case); at $80.92, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -21% fair-value upside, at -19%, SUNB screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $76.54 $116.93 $173.08 80
Residual Income $21.10 $27.49 $87.85 76
Rev-Margin DCF $44.45 $72.31 $103.39 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $74.27 $118.55 $183.30 38
Owner Earnings $70.28 $112.62 $174.54 31
5Y Revenue Exit $44.45 $71.11 $103.63 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $76.02 $128.33 $187.47 41
5Y P/E Exit $43.01 $68.51 $93.95 38
10Y Revenue Exit $53.24 $79.52 $111.85 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $74.52 $118.58 $174.01 37
10Y P/E Exit $53.74 $77.75 $104.68 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $21.99 $57.80 $75.46 54
PEG = 1.0 $11.07 $15.81 $20.56 46
EPV $22.54 $29.14 $34.92 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $10.40 $21.17 $34.29 70
DDM Multi-Stage $10.40 $16.04 $22.08 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $48.50 $64.67 $80.84 63
P/S Multiple $41.23 $54.97 $68.71 58
P/B Multiple $40.68 $54.24 $67.80 55
EV/EBIT $54.76 $78.71 $102.67 53
EV/EBITDA $89.74 $125.36 $160.97 54
EV/Revenue $30.54 $50.96 $71.37 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $9.04 $12.11 $18.08 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $76.54 $116.93 $173.08 80
Rev-Margin DCF $44.45 $72.31 $103.39 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $21.10 $27.49 $87.85 76
ROIC Compounder $23.38 $33.25 $45.04 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $38.11 $54.44 $70.77 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($79.52) versus Asset-Based ($12.11). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $10.9B
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.7%
Net margin 12.7%
Return on equity 18.1%
Free cash flow $3.4B FY2026
P/E ratio 23.6
More key figures
Operating margin 18.7%
EPS (TTM) $3.26
Dividend yield 1.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -6.8%
Net debt $10.1B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 46
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 24
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 98
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 39
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 76
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 16
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 63
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the construction, industrial, and general equipment rental business under the Sunbelt Rentals brand name in the United States, the United Kingdom, and Canada.

Full company description

Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the construction, industrial, and general equipment rental business under the Sunbelt Rentals brand name in the United States, the United Kingdom, and Canada. It provides pumps, power generation, heating, cooling, scaffolding, traffic management, temporary flooring, structures and fencing, trench shoring, and lifting solutions. The company offers its products and services for airports, highways and bridges, office buildings, data centres, schools and universities, shopping centres, residential, remodeling, manufacturing plants, and green energy applications in the construction markets; maintenance, repair, and operations of office and apartment complexes, data and shopping centers, and golf courses, as well as industrial, entertainment and conference venues; entertainment and special events, such as national and sporting events, concerts, film and television production, theme parks, festivals, farmers' markets, local 5k runs, and cycle races; emergency response and restoration applications comprising fire, hurricanes, flooding, tornadoes, winter storms, residential emergencies, health emergencies, alternative care facilities, points of distribution, and healthcare testing facilities; and state and local government facilities, including government, hospitals, parks and recreation departments, and schools and universities, as well as for pavement/kerb repairs. The company was founded in 1947 and is based in Fort Mill, South Carolina.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Sunbelt Rentals Holdings reported revenue of $11.2B in FY2026 versus $8.0B in FY2022, a compound +8.8%/yr. Reported net income was $1.3B in FY2026, compounding +1.4%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 79/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$11.2B
Latest YoY
+3.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+4.9%
Revenue +8.8%/yr
FY22 $8.0B
FY23 $9.7B
FY24 $10.9B
FY25 $10.8B
FY26 $11.2B
Net income +1.4%/yr
FY22 $1.3B
FY23 $1.6B
FY24 $1.6B
FY25 $1.5B
FY26 $1.3B

SUNB screens 19% overvalued. Compare with United Rentals, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SUNB

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Rental & Leasing Services · 96 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −19% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 20% · Above median
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.5% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.95× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Rental & Leasing Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 23.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 4.07× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.71× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 8.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 13.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 1.37× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 8 · sector 51
FUTURE 45 · sector 18
PAST 70 · sector 26
HEALTH 53 · sector 69
DIVIDEND 31 · sector 34

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Rental & Leasing Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Rentals, Inc URI $1,045 $449.86 -57%
AerCap Holdings AER $146.97 $301.51 +105%
U-Haul Holding UHAL $67.35 $7.21 -89%
Ryder System, Inc R $273.06 $111.57 -59%
Localiza Rent a Car S.A RENT3 R$40.35 R$37.01 -8%
Element Fleet Management Corp EFN C$29.83 C$15.06 -50%
BOC Aviation Limited 2588 HK$77.40 HK$18.61 -76%
GATX Corporation GATX $178.48 $140.90 -21%
Avis Budget Group CAR $156.35 $157.38 +1%
WillScot Holdings WSC $27.25 $43.19 +58%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sunbelt Rentals Holdings (SUNB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $65.76 versus a price of $80.92, about −19% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SUNB?
Our model-based fair value for Sunbelt Rentals Holdings is $65.76 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $80.92.
What is the quality score of SUNB?
Sunbelt Rentals Holdings has a Quality Score of 59/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sunbelt Rentals Holdings (SUNB)?
Sunbelt Rentals Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $10.9B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SUNB?
The net profit margin of Sunbelt Rentals Holdings is about 12.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sunbelt Rentals Holdings pay a dividend?
Sunbelt Rentals Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.40% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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